Dominik Bartosik vs Jacek Zelezik 0-3

TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series

TT Elite SeriesOSP 1 · Czestochowa

Played Oct 12Finished

Dominik Bartosik

Home

2.50

At publish

Won last 1

Form at publish

5–5Last 10Won last 1

Final

0 – 3

Set by set

711411511––––

Jacek Zelezik

Away

1.46

At publish

Won last 9

Form at publish

9–1Last 10Won last 9

The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:05 and never touched: 65.9% is still 65.9%

Graded at full time

Jacek Zelezik to win

65.9%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Right

not sent

«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.

How it is goingDominik Bartosik above · Jacek Zelezik below

Set 1 · 7-11

Set 2 · 4-11

Set 3 · 5-11

Point 49 set 3, 5-11 · our read held Jacek Zelezik at 65.9%

49 points played in total.

H2H Dominik Bartosik 0–1 Jacek Zelezik Dominik Bartosik has won 0 of their 1 meetings.

Last 1 · 0–1Same sideHead to head

Deep Dive by Market

One tab per market

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction

Match Winner

Zelezik

Bartosik 2.50/Zelezik 1.46

Read onlywould have hit

What we said

65.9%

Zelezik · sealed before the serve

What happened

0–3

Zelezik won

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 22:05

65.9%Our read68.5%to break even at 1.46

short by 2.6pp

68.5% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.46 they are the same number)

What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.46 (63%)

Zelezik

Correct

no bar to clear: a priced side always votes

H2H

0-1 in 1

—

Too close

1 played, under the floor of 3

Rating (G2)

Bartosik 1372 vs Zelezik 1663

Zelezik

Correct

both rated, 292 points apart, no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Bartosik 60% vs Zelezik 100%

Zelezik

Correct

40pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Bartosik 50% vs Zelezik 90%

Zelezik

Correct

40pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Streak

Bartosik +1 · Zelezik +9

Zelezik

Correct

one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

5 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 66% · Clear lean (leans Zelezik) · sealed before the serve

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Zelezik: form 100%, the price implies 68%

Market vs Signals

Market oddsBartosik 2.50 / Zelezik 1.46

Signal prob.34% / 66%

Edge (Zelezik)-2.6pp (anti-value)

Same-day rematch · 3h before this match

Zelezik beat Bartosik 3-1.

Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically. The market typically prices this in, which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 1 meeting

HomeBartosik0wins

AwayZelezik1wins

Zelezik leads 1–0.

First set to match win · in this matchup

Not enough first sets

Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.

Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate

How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed

3–0Straight, home0

3–1Four sets, home0

3–2Decider, home0

2–3Decider, away0

1–3Four sets, away1

0–3Straight, away0

This 1 meeting

MetricBartosikZelezikB − ZBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match36.043.0−7.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricBartosikZelezikBasisWin rate · lifetime13 / 26 vs 437 / 77450%56.5%13 / 26 vs 437 / 774Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.336.6per match

TT Elite Series · #13285433

Bartosik2.50

50%won 5 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

oldest → newest

30%takes the first set · 3 of 10

As underdog

Fewer than 10 matches in this role

Zelezik1.46

90%won 9 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

Won last 9

oldest → newest

60%takes the first set · 6 of 10

As favourite72% won 209 of 289

Up 2–0, closes it96% 123 of 128

Up 1–0, closes it83% 159 of 192

Dominik Bartosik vs Jacek Zelezik 0-3 · TT Elite Series

Deep Dive by Market

Match Winner

Decision Summary

Dominik Bartosik vs Jacek Zelezik 0-3 · TT Elite Series

Deep Dive by Market

Match Winner

Decision Summary

Today's matches are already sealed.