Dominik Bartosik vs Grzegorz Mucha 0-3

TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series

TT Elite SeriesOSP 1 · Czestochowa

Played Oct 12Finished

Dominik Bartosik

Home

2.25

At publish

Lost last 1

Form at publish

5–5Last 10Lost last 1

Final

0 – 3

Set by set

811711911––––

Grzegorz Mucha

Away

1.57

At publish

Lost last 1

Form at publish

4–6Last 10Lost last 1

The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:25 and never touched: 58.9% is still 58.9%

Graded at full time

Grzegorz Mucha to win

58.9%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Right

not sent

«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.

How it is goingDominik Bartosik above · Grzegorz Mucha below

Set 1 · 8-11

Set 2 · 7-11

Set 3 · 9-11

Point 57 set 3, 9-11 · our read held Grzegorz Mucha at 58.9%

57 points played in total.

H2H Dominik Bartosik 0–1 Grzegorz Mucha Dominik Bartosik has won 0 of their 1 meetings.

Last 1 · 0–1Same sideHead to head

Deep Dive by Market

One tab per market

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction

Match Winner

Mucha

Bartosik 2.25/Mucha 1.57

Read onlywould have hit

What we said

58.9%

Mucha · sealed before the serve

What happened

0–3

Mucha won

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 23:25

58.9%Our read63.7%to break even at 1.571

short by 4.8pp

63.7% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.571 they are the same number)

What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.57 (59%)

Mucha

Correct

no bar to clear: a priced side always votes

H2H

0-1 in 1

—

Too close

1 played, under the floor of 3

Rating (G2)

Bartosik 1364 vs Mucha 1387

Mucha

Correct

both rated, 23 points apart, no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Bartosik 40% vs Mucha 20%

Bartosik

Wrong

20pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Bartosik 50% vs Mucha 40%

—

Too close

10pp gap, under the 15pp bar

Streak

Bartosik -1 · Mucha -1

—

Too close

neither holds a run of 3 on their own

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

2 for, 3 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 59% · Slight lean (leans Mucha) · sealed before the serve

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Mucha: form 20%, the price implies 64%

Market vs Signals

Market oddsBartosik 2.25 / Mucha 1.571

Signal prob.41% / 59%

Edge (Mucha)-4.8pp (anti-value)

Same-day rematch · 8h before this match

Mucha beat Bartosik 3-1.

Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically. The market typically prices this in, which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 1 meeting

HomeBartosik0wins

AwayMucha1wins

Mucha leads 1–0.

First set to match win · in this matchup

Not enough first sets

Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.

Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate

How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed

3–0Straight, home0

3–1Four sets, home0

3–2Decider, home0

2–3Decider, away0

1–3Four sets, away1

0–3Straight, away0

This 1 meeting

MetricBartosikMuchaB − MBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match33.036.0−3.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricBartosikMuchaBasisWin rate · lifetime13 / 27 vs 204 / 40748.2%50.1%13 / 27 vs 204 / 407Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match35.538.1per match

TT Elite Series · #13280417

Bartosik2.25

50%won 5 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

oldest → newest

30%takes the first set · 3 of 10

As underdog

Fewer than 10 matches in this role

Mucha1.57

40%won 4 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

oldest → newest

50%takes the first set · 5 of 10

As favourite64% won 126 of 196

Up 2–0, closes it97% 66 of 68

Up 1–0, closes it78% 85 of 109

Dominik Bartosik vs Grzegorz Mucha 0-3 · TT Elite Series

Deep Dive by Market

Match Winner

Decision Summary

Dominik Bartosik vs Grzegorz Mucha 0-3 · TT Elite Series

Deep Dive by Market

Match Winner

Decision Summary

Today's matches are already sealed.