Grzegorz Mucha vs Andrzej Krezel 1-3

TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series

TT Elite SeriesOSP 1 · Czestochowa

Played Oct 12Finished

Grzegorz Mucha

Home

1.83

At publish

Won last 3

Form at publish

7–3Last 10Won last 3

Final

1 – 3

Set by set

611411117911––

Andrzej Krezel

Away

1.83

At publish

Lost last 4

Form at publish

4–6Last 10Lost last 4

The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:40 and never touched: 54.0% is still 54.0%

Graded at full time

Grzegorz Mucha to win

54.0%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Wrong

not sent

How it is goingGrzegorz Mucha above · Andrzej Krezel below

Set 1 · 6-11

Set 2 · 4-11

Set 3 · 11-7

Set 4 · 9-11

Point 70 set 4, 9-11 · our read held Grzegorz Mucha at 54.0%

70 points played in total.

H2H Grzegorz Mucha 1–1 Andrzej Krezel Dead even across their 2 meetings.

Last 2 · 1–1Head to head

Deep Dive by Market

One tab per market

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction

Match Winner

Mucha

Mucha 1.83/Krezel 1.83

Read onlywould have missed

What we said

54%

Mucha · sealed before the serve

What happened

1–3

Krezel won

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 16:40

54.0%Our read54.6%to break even at 1.833

short by 0.6pp

54.6% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.833 they are the same number)

What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.83 (50%)

Krezel

Correct

no bar to clear: a priced side always votes

H2H

1-1 in 2

—

Too close

2 played, under the floor of 3

Rating (G2)

Mucha 1427 vs Krezel 1400

Mucha

Wrong

both rated, 28 points apart, no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Mucha 80% vs Krezel 20%

Mucha

Wrong

60pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Mucha 70% vs Krezel 40%

Mucha

Wrong

30pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Streak

Mucha +3 · Krezel -4

—

Too close

neither holds a run of 3 on their own

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

3 for, 2 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 54% · Coin-flip (leans Mucha) · sealed before the serve

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Krezel: form 20%, the price implies 55%

Market vs Signals

Market oddsMucha 1.833 / Krezel 1.833

Signal prob.54% / 46%

Edge (Mucha)-0.6pp

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 2 meetings

HomeMucha1wins

AwayKrezel1wins

1 of 2 to a deciderLevel at 1–1, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

Not enough first sets

Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.

Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate

Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate

How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed

3–0Straight, home0

3–1Four sets, home1

3–2Decider, home0

2–3Decider, away1

1–3Four sets, away0

0–3Straight, away0

These 2 meetings

MetricMuchaKrezelM − KBasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match44.042.5+1.5per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricMuchaKrezelBasisWin rate · lifetime203 / 401 vs 123 / 31150.6%39.6%203 / 401 vs 123 / 311Avg sets wonper match2.01.8per matchAvg pointsper match38.036.2per match

TT Elite Series · #13280423

Mucha1.83

70%won 7 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

Won last 3

oldest → newest

30%takes the first set · 3 of 10

Krezel1.83

40%won 4 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

Lost last 4

oldest → newest

40%takes the first set · 4 of 10

Grzegorz Mucha vs Andrzej Krezel 1-3 · TT Elite Series

Deep Dive by Market

Match Winner

Decision Summary

Grzegorz Mucha vs Andrzej Krezel 1-3 · TT Elite Series

Deep Dive by Market

Match Winner

Decision Summary

Today's matches are already sealed.