Miroslaw Lewczuk vs Andrzej Krezel 2-3

TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series

TT Elite SeriesOSP 1 · Czestochowa

Played Oct 12Finished

Miroslaw Lewczuk

Home

1.91

At publish

Won last 2

Form at publish

6–4Last 10Won last 2

Final

2 – 3

Set by set

611119115611111

Andrzej Krezel

Away

1.80

At publish

Won last 1

Form at publish

4–6Last 10Won last 1

The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:25 and never touched: 54.0% is still 54.0%

Graded at full time

Andrzej Krezel to win

54.0%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Right

not sent

«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.

How it is goingMiroslaw Lewczuk above · Andrzej Krezel below

Set 1 · 6-11

Set 2 · 11-9

Set 3 · 11-5

Set 4 · 6-11

Set 5 · 1-11

Point 82 set 5, 1-11 · our read held Andrzej Krezel at 54.0%

82 points played in total.

H2H Miroslaw Lewczuk 6–8 Andrzej Krezel Miroslaw Lewczuk has won 6 of their 14 meetings.

Last 10 · 4–6Same sideHead to head

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Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction

Match Winner

Krezel

Lewczuk 1.91/Krezel 1.80

Read onlywould have hit

What we said

54%

Krezel · sealed before the serve

What happened

2–3

Krezel won

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 20:25

54.0%Our read55.6%to break even at 1.80

short by 1.6pp

55.6% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.80 they are the same number)

What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.80 (51%)

Krezel

Correct

no bar to clear: a priced side always votes

H2H

6-8 in 14

Krezel

Correct

gap of 2 in 14, over the gap of 2

Rating (G2)

Lewczuk 1424 vs Krezel 1410

Lewczuk

Wrong

both rated, 14 points apart, no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Lewczuk 80% vs Krezel 40%

Lewczuk

Wrong

40pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Lewczuk 60% vs Krezel 40%

Lewczuk

Wrong

20pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Streak

Lewczuk +2 · Krezel +1

—

Too close

neither holds a run of 3 on their own

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

2 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 54% · Coin-flip (leans Krezel) · sealed before the serve

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Krezel: form 40%, the price implies 56%

Market vs Signals

Market oddsLewczuk 1.909 / Krezel 1.80

Signal prob.46% / 54%

Edge (Krezel)-1.6pp (anti-value)

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeLewczuk4wins

AwayKrezel6wins

2 of 10 to a deciderKrezel leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeLewczuk75%3 of 4

AwayKrezel83.3%5 of 6

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Lewczuk4Krezel6n = 10Krezel took 6 of 10

S2Lewczuk3Krezel7n = 10Krezel took 7 of 10

S3Lewczuk3Krezel7n = 10Krezel took 7 of 10

S4Lewczuk4Krezel1n = 5Lewczuk took 4 of 5

Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home110%

3–1Four sets, home220%

3–2Decider, home110%

2–3Decider, away110%

1–3Four sets, away110%

0–3Straight, away440%

These 10 meetings

MetricLewczukKrezelL − KBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match33.035.8−2.8per matchSweeps14−33–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricLewczukKrezelBasisWin rate · lifetime513 / 1001 vs 125 / 31451.3%39.8%513 / 1001 vs 125 / 314Avg sets wonper match2.01.8per matchAvg pointsper match36.336.3per match

TT Elite Series · #13284663

Lewczuk1.91

60%won 6 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

Won last 2

oldest → newest

70%takes the first set · 7 of 10

As underdog36% won 72 of 201

Down 0–1, comes back18% 22 of 120

Down 0–2, comes back5% 4 of 75

Krezel1.80

40%won 4 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

oldest → newest

60%takes the first set · 6 of 10

As favourite56% won 46 of 82

Up 2–0, closes it91% 31 of 34

Up 1–0, closes it78% 40 of 51

Miroslaw Lewczuk vs Andrzej Krezel 2-3 · TT Elite Series

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Match Winner

Decision Summary

Miroslaw Lewczuk vs Andrzej Krezel 2-3 · TT Elite Series

Deep Dive by Market

Match Winner

Decision Summary

Today's matches are already sealed.