Miroslaw Lewczuk vs Andrzej Krezel 1-3

TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series

TT Elite SeriesOSP 1 · Czestochowa

Played Oct 12Finished

Miroslaw Lewczuk

Home

1.91

At publish

Lost last 3

Form at publish

5–5Last 10Lost last 3

Final

1 – 3

Set by set

117711911811––

Andrzej Krezel

Away

1.80

At publish

Won last 1

Form at publish

4–6Last 10Won last 1

The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:40 and never touched: 54.0% is still 54.0%

Graded at full time

Andrzej Krezel to win

54.0%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Right

not sent

«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.

How it is goingMiroslaw Lewczuk above · Andrzej Krezel below

Set 1 · 11-7

Set 2 · 7-11

Set 3 · 9-11

Set 4 · 8-11

Point 75 set 4, 8-11 · our read held Andrzej Krezel at 54.0%

75 points played in total.

H2H Miroslaw Lewczuk 6–9 Andrzej Krezel Miroslaw Lewczuk has won 6 of their 15 meetings.

Last 10 · 3–7Same sideHead to head

Deep Dive by Market

One tab per market

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction

Match Winner

Krezel

Lewczuk 1.91/Krezel 1.80

Read onlywould have hit

What we said

54%

Krezel · sealed before the serve

What happened

1–3

Krezel won

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 23:40

54.0%Our read55.6%to break even at 1.80

short by 1.6pp

55.6% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.80 they are the same number)

What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.80 (51%)

Krezel

Correct

no bar to clear: a priced side always votes

H2H

6-9 in 15

Krezel

Correct

gap of 3 in 15, over the gap of 2

Rating (G2)

Lewczuk 1385 vs Krezel 1427

Krezel

Correct

both rated, 42 points apart, no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Lewczuk 40% vs Krezel 60%

Krezel

Correct

20pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Lewczuk 50% vs Krezel 40%

—

Too close

10pp gap, under the 15pp bar

Streak

Lewczuk -3 · Krezel +1

Lewczuk

Wrong

one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

4 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 54% · Coin-flip (leans Krezel) · sealed before the serve

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Lewczuk: form 40%, the price implies 52%

Market vs Signals

Market oddsLewczuk 1.909 / Krezel 1.80

Signal prob.46% / 54%

Edge (Krezel)-1.6pp (anti-value)

Same-day rematch · 3h before this match

Krezel beat Lewczuk 3-2.

Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically. The market typically prices this in, which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeLewczuk3wins

AwayKrezel7wins

3 of 10 to a deciderKrezel leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeLewczuk66.7%2 of 3

AwayKrezel85.7%6 of 7

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Lewczuk3Krezel7n = 10Krezel took 7 of 10

S2Lewczuk3Krezel7n = 10Krezel took 7 of 10

S3Lewczuk3Krezel7n = 10Krezel took 7 of 10

S4Lewczuk4Krezel2n = 6Lewczuk took 4 of 6

S5Lewczuk1Krezel2n = 3Krezel took 2 of 3

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home00%

3–1Four sets, home220%

3–2Decider, home110%

2–3Decider, away220%

1–3Four sets, away110%

0–3Straight, away440%

These 10 meetings

MetricLewczukKrezelL − KBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match33.238.3−5.1per matchSweeps04−43–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricLewczukKrezelBasisWin rate · lifetime513 / 1004 vs 127 / 31751.1%40.1%513 / 1004 vs 127 / 317Avg sets wonper match2.01.8per matchAvg pointsper match36.336.4per match

TT Elite Series · #13284141

Lewczuk1.91

50%won 5 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

Lost last 3

oldest → newest

70%takes the first set · 7 of 10

As underdog36% won 72 of 201

Down 0–1, comes back18% 22 of 120

Down 0–2, comes back5% 4 of 75

Krezel1.80

40%won 4 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

oldest → newest

60%takes the first set · 6 of 10

As favourite56% won 46 of 82

Up 2–0, closes it91% 31 of 34

Up 1–0, closes it78% 40 of 51

Miroslaw Lewczuk vs Andrzej Krezel 1-3 · TT Elite Series

Deep Dive by Market

Match Winner

Decision Summary

Miroslaw Lewczuk vs Andrzej Krezel 1-3 · TT Elite Series

Deep Dive by Market

Match Winner

Decision Summary

Today's matches are already sealed.