Ondrej Mezera vs Michal Makara 0-3

TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup

Setka Cup

Played Oct 12Finished

Ondrej Mezera

Home

2.20

At publish

Lost last 2

Form at publish

3–7Last 10Lost last 2

Final

0 – 3

Set by set

7111113611––––

Michal Makara

Away

1.62

At publish

Won last 1

Form at publish

6–4Last 10Won last 1

The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:14 and never touched: 59.7% is still 59.7%

Graded at full time

Michal Makara to win

59.7%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Right

not sent

«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.

How it is goingOndrej Mezera above · Michal Makara below

Set 1 · 7-11

Set 2 · 11-13

Set 3 · 6-11

Point 59 set 3, 6-11 · our read held Michal Makara at 59.7%

59 points played in total.

H2H Ondrej Mezera 15–36 Michal Makara Ondrej Mezera has won 15 of their 51 meetings.

Last 10 · 3–7Same sideHead to head

Deep Dive by Market

One tab per market

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction

Match Winner

Makara

Mezera 2.20/Makara 1.61

Read onlywould have hit

What we said

59.7%

Makara · sealed before the serve

What happened

0–3

Makara won

The pickConfirm

Sealed 15:14

59.7%Our read61.9%to break even at 1.615

short by 2.2pp

61.9% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.615 they are the same number)

What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.61 (58%)

Makara

Correct

no bar to clear: a priced side always votes

H2H

15-36 in 51

Makara

Correct

gap of 21 in 51, over the gap of 2

Rating (G2)

Mezera 1570 vs Makara 1638

Makara

Correct

both rated, 68 points apart, no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Mezera 40% vs Makara 40%

—

Too close

0pp gap, under the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Mezera 30% vs Makara 60%

Makara

Correct

30pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Streak

Mezera -2 · Makara +1

—

Too close

neither holds a run of 3 on their own

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

4 for, 2 silent, and the gate let it through as Confirm.

Signal confidence: 60% · Slight lean (leans Makara) · sealed before the serve

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Makara: form 40%, the price implies 62%

Market vs Signals

Market oddsMezera 2.20 / Makara 1.615

Signal prob.40% / 60%

Edge (Makara)-2.2pp (anti-value)

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeMezera3wins

AwayMakara7wins

7 of 10 to a deciderMakara leads 7–3, and 7 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeMezera50%3 of 6

AwayMakara100%4 of 4

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Mezera6Makara4n = 10Mezera took 6 of 10

S2Mezera4Makara6n = 10Makara took 6 of 10

S3Mezera4Makara6n = 10Makara took 6 of 10

S4Mezera5Makara5n = 10split evenly

S5Mezera2Makara5n = 7Makara took 5 of 7

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home00%

3–1Four sets, home110%

3–2Decider, home220%

2–3Decider, away550%

1–3Four sets, away220%

0–3Straight, away00%

These 10 meetings

MetricMezeraMakaraMezera − MakaraBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match43.245.5−2.3per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricMezeraMakaraBasisWin rate · lifetime386 / 807 vs 510 / 106447.8%47.9%386 / 807 vs 510 / 1064Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match40.639.3per match

Setka Cup · #13281570

Mezera2.20

30%won 3 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

Lost last 2

oldest → newest

60%takes the first set · 6 of 10

As underdog45% won 125 of 279

Down 0–1, comes back31% 52 of 168

Down 0–2, comes back19% 15 of 81

Makara1.61

60%won 6 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

oldest → newest

60%takes the first set · 6 of 10

As favourite57% won 55 of 96

Up 2–0, closes it89% 25 of 28

Up 1–0, closes it73% 37 of 51

Ondrej Mezera vs Michal Makara 0-3 · Setka Cup

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Match Winner

Decision Summary

Ondrej Mezera vs Michal Makara 0-3 · Setka Cup

Deep Dive by Market

Match Winner

Decision Summary

Today's matches are already sealed.