TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Lukas Svoboda vs Ondrej Mezera 2-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Oct 11Finished
Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 4
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
8118111181151012
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingLukas Svoboda above · Ondrej Mezera below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 11-5
Set 5 · 10-12
Point 95 set 5, 10-12
95 points played in total.
H2H Lukas Svoboda 8–3 Ondrej Mezera Ondrej Mezera has won 3 of their 11 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 1h before this match
Svoboda beat Mezera 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically. The market typically prices this in, which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSvoboda 1.363 / Mezera 3.00
Setka Cup · #13279481
Svoboda1.36
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 4
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite59% won 34 of 58
Up 2–0, closes it90% 17 of 19
Up 1–0, closes it74% 25 of 34
Mezera3.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog44% won 123 of 278
Down 0–1, comes back31% 51 of 166
Down 0–2, comes back18% 14 of 79
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSvoboda7wins
AwayMezera3wins
4 of 10 to a deciderSvoboda leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSvoboda71.4%5 of 7
AwayMezera33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Svoboda7Mezera3n = 10Svoboda took 7 of 10
S2Svoboda4Mezera6n = 10Mezera took 6 of 10
S3Svoboda4Mezera6n = 10Mezera took 6 of 10
S4Svoboda6Mezera2n = 8Svoboda took 6 of 8
S5Svoboda3Mezera1n = 4Svoboda took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricSvobodaMezeraS − MBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match41.137.3+3.8per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSvobodaMezeraBasisWin rate · lifetime74 / 144 vs 389 / 80851.4%48.1%74 / 144 vs 389 / 808Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.240.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
SvobodaSvoboda 1.36/Mezera 3.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
—
no pick shipped on this market
What happened
2–3
Mezera won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WOct 11 · 11:15L. Svoboda331111113O. Mezera142480
WOct 10 · 12:20L. Svoboda4211118123O. Mezera357711101
WOct 10 · 09:45L. Svoboda50118119113O. Mezera4361171182
LSep 27 · 14:30L. Svoboda4212551192O. Mezera491011116113
WAug 31 · 15:15L. Svoboda4291111113O. Mezera31119561
WAug 15 · 07:45L. Svoboda4011117113O. Mezera33581191
LAug 14 · 20:18L. Svoboda351151091O. Mezera3841112113
WAug 14 · 18:15L. Svoboda50147711113O. Mezera46121111392
LJul 7 · 15:15L. Svoboda216960O. Mezera331111113
WJul 6 · 16:18L. Svoboda561091111153O. Mezera51121169132
L. Svoboda10
WOct 11 · 11:15O. Mezera2.502480L. Svoboda1.501111113WOct 11 · 10:45L. Svoboda1.731111113L. Veigl2.005680WOct 11 · 09:45L. Svoboda2.00111178113R. Pisa1.7384111192WOct 10 · 12:20L. Svoboda1.6111118123O. Mezera2.207711101LOct 10 · 11:45L. Svoboda1.57811681M. Makara2.2511711113WOct 10 · 10:15J. Senk1.91171171192L. Svoboda1.80196117113WOct 10 · 09:45O. Mezera2.3861171182L. Svoboda1.53118119113LOct 9 · 20:53L. Svoboda2.257840L. Heinzl1.571111113WOct 9 · 19:45L. Heinzl1.571010111182L. Svoboda2.25121245113WOct 9 · 17:15J. Dolezal1.9154111182L. Svoboda1.80111175113
O. Mezera10
LOct 11 · 11:15O. Mezera2.502480L. Svoboda1.501111113WOct 11 · 10:15O. Mezera2.20481111113R. Pisa1.6111118482WOct 11 · 09:15O. Mezera2.2511911123L. Veigl1.577118101LOct 10 · 12:20L. Svoboda1.6111118123O. Mezera2.207711101LOct 10 · 11:15J. Senk1.7391111113O. Mezera2.00114481LOct 10 · 10:45O. Mezera2.2511114752M. Makara1.57771111113LOct 10 · 09:45O. Mezera2.3861171182L. Svoboda1.53118119113LOct 9 · 16:15A. Radkovsky1.801111113O. Mezera1.919560WOct 9 · 15:15O. Mezera2.38115811113A. Radkovsky1.5351111682LOct 9 · 14:15O. Mezera2.7511441192L. Rulc1.40611119113
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