Oleksandr Badanin vs Evgenii Bakin 2-3

TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup

Setka Cup

Played Oct 12Finished

Oleksandr Badanin

Home

1.62

At publish

Won last 1

Form at publish

5–5Last 10Won last 1

Final

2 – 3

Set by set

121010121412811711

Evgenii Bakin

Away

2.20

At publish

Lost last 4

Form at publish

3–7Last 10Lost last 4

The read, and what happenedsealed at 06:54 and never touched: 60.9% is still 60.9%

Graded at full time

Oleksandr Badanin to win

60.9%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Wrong

not sent

How it is goingOleksandr Badanin above · Evgenii Bakin below

Set 1 · 12-10

Set 2 · 10-12

Set 3 · 14-12

Set 4 · 8-11

Set 5 · 7-11

Point 107 set 5, 7-11 · our read held Oleksandr Badanin at 60.9%

107 points played in total.

H2H Oleksandr Badanin 7–5 Evgenii Bakin Evgenii Bakin has won 5 of their 12 meetings.

Last 10 · 5–5Head to head

Deep Dive by Market

One tab per market

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction

Match Winner

Badanin

Badanin 1.61/Bakin 2.20

Read onlywould have missed

What we said

60.9%

Badanin · sealed before the serve

What happened

2–3

Bakin won

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 06:54

60.9%Our read61.9%to break even at 1.615

short by 1.0pp

61.9% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.615 they are the same number)

What took a side4 for · 2 against · 0 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.61 (58%)

Badanin

Wrong

no bar to clear: a priced side always votes

H2H

7-5 in 12

Badanin

Wrong

gap of 2 in 12, over the gap of 2

Rating (G2)

Badanin 1148 vs Bakin 1173

Bakin

Correct

both rated, 25 points apart, no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Badanin 60% vs Bakin 20%

Badanin

Wrong

40pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Badanin 50% vs Bakin 30%

Badanin

Wrong

20pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Streak

Badanin +1 · Bakin -4

Bakin

Correct

one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

4 for, 0 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 61% · Slight lean (leans Badanin) · sealed before the serve

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Bakin: form 20%, the price implies 45%

Market vs Signals

Market oddsBadanin 1.615 / Bakin 2.20

Signal prob.61% / 39%

Edge (Badanin)-1.0pp (anti-value)

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeBadanin5wins

AwayBakin5wins

4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeBadanin60%3 of 5

AwayBakin60%3 of 5

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Badanin5Bakin5n = 10split evenly

S2Badanin6Bakin4n = 10Badanin took 6 of 10

S3Badanin6Bakin4n = 10Badanin took 6 of 10

S4Badanin3Bakin2n = 5Badanin took 3 of 5

S5Badanin0Bakin3n = 3Bakin took 3 of 3

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home330%

3–1Four sets, home110%

3–2Decider, home110%

2–3Decider, away330%

1–3Four sets, away00%

0–3Straight, away220%

These 10 meetings

MetricBadaninBakinBadanin − BakinBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match37.636.6+1.0per matchSweeps32+13–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricBadaninBakinBasisWin rate · lifetime152 / 319 vs 66 / 12747.7%52%152 / 319 vs 66 / 127Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.534.9per match

Setka Cup · #13281442

Badanin1.61

50%won 5 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

oldest → newest

70%takes the first set · 7 of 10

As favourite64% won 33 of 52

Up 2–0, closes it100% 21 of 21

Up 1–0, closes it88% 29 of 33

Bakin2.20

30%won 3 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

Lost last 4

oldest → newest

60%takes the first set · 6 of 10

As underdog9% won 2 of 22

Down 0–1, comes back0% 0 of 15

Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 12

Oleksandr Badanin vs Evgenii Bakin 2-3 · Setka Cup

Deep Dive by Market

Match Winner

Decision Summary

Oleksandr Badanin vs Evgenii Bakin 2-3 · Setka Cup

Deep Dive by Market

Match Winner

Decision Summary

Today's matches are already sealed.