TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Oleksandr Badanin vs Viktor Hyriavyi 3-0 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Oct 5Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
116116115––––
Form at publish
1–9Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 07:57 and never touched: 79.0% is still 79.0%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Badanin to win
79.0%
79.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingOleksandr Badanin above · Viktor Hyriavyi below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-5
Point 50 set 3, 11-5 · our read held Oleksandr Badanin at 79.0%
50 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Badanin 26–16 Viktor Hyriavyi Viktor Hyriavyi has won 16 of their 42 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 07:5779.0%Our read80.0%to break even at 1.25
short by 1.0pp80.0% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.25 they are the same number)
What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.25 (75%)
Badanin
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
26-16 in 42
Badanin
Correct
gap of 10 in 42, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Badanin 1165 vs Hyriavyi 921
Badanin
Correct
both rated, 244 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Badanin 60% vs Hyriavyi 20%
Badanin
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Badanin 50% vs Hyriavyi 10%
Badanin
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Badanin -2 · Hyriavyi +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 79% · Strong (leans Badanin) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Badanin form (60%) is below what odds imply (80%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBadanin 1.25 / Hyriavyi 3.75
Signal prob.79% / 21%
Edge (Badanin)-1.0pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13245227
Badanin1.25
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite64% won 32 of 50
Up 2–0, closes it100% 19 of 19
Up 1–0, closes it90% 28 of 31
Hyriavyi3.75
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog24% won 28 of 118
Down 0–1, comes back13% 11 of 88
Down 0–2, comes back5% 3 of 65
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBadanin9wins
AwayHyriavyi1wins
3 of 10 to a deciderBadanin leads 9–1, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBadanin90%9 of 10
AwayHyriavyin = 0, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Badanin10Hyriavyi0n = 10Badanin took 10 of 10
S2Badanin7Hyriavyi3n = 10Badanin took 7 of 10
S3Badanin5Hyriavyi5n = 10split evenly
S4Badanin5Hyriavyi0n = 5Badanin took 5 of 5
S5Badanin2Hyriavyi1n = 3Badanin took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home550%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricBadaninHyriavyiB − HBasisWins91+8in 10 meetingsFirst set100+10of 10Avg pointsper match39.630.1+9.5per matchSweeps50+53–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBadaninHyriavyiBasisWin rate · lifetime156 / 326 vs 111 / 35447.9%31.4%156 / 326 vs 111 / 354Avg sets wonper match1.91.5per matchAvg pointsper match36.532.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
BadaninBadanin 1.25/Hyriavyi 3.75
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
79%
Badanin · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Badanin won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WOct 5 · 08:00O. Badanin331111113V. Hyriavyi176650
WOct 2 · 05:30O. Badanin331111113V. Hyriavyi155730
WSep 24 · 17:09O. Badanin351311113V. Hyriavyi2711790
WSep 24 · 12:00O. Badanin4411119133V. Hyriavyi389711111
WJun 15 · 08:00O. Badanin3911116113V. Hyriavyi27381151
WApr 30 · 09:00O. Badanin47117711113V. Hyriavyi4041111682
WApr 28 · 05:30O. Badanin531181211113V. Hyriavyi4481114742
WApr 1 · 10:33O. Badanin341211113V. Hyriavyi2410680
LApr 1 · 05:00O. Badanin4511791172V. Hyriavyi47611118113
WMar 27 · 07:30O. Badanin331111113V. Hyriavyi229670
O. Badanin10
LOct 5 · 06:30O. Badanin1.801211341A. Lysyi1.9114911113LOct 5 · 05:00O. Badanin2.3811127942M. Zavoloka1.533101111113WOct 4 · 09:59V. Khyzhnyak2.10101090O. Badanin1.671212113WOct 4 · 08:30R. Sveshnykov1.3311911992O. Badanin3.25911711113WOct 4 · 07:30O. Badanin1.537101111113S. Zherykhin2.3811124472LOct 4 · 06:30V. Yarovyi1.83731111113O. Badanin1.8311115982LOct 4 · 05:30O. Badanin1.5011781192V. Khyzhnyak2.50911114113WOct 2 · 09:58O. Badanin3.0041211113M. Zavoloka1.361110591WOct 2 · 09:00O. Badanin1.7361115113Y. Urezchenko2.001161391LOct 2 · 08:00M. Zavoloka1.441111123O. Badanin2.6379100
V. Hyriavyi10
WOct 5 · 07:00S. Honcharenko1.25311871V. Hyriavyi3.7511211113LOct 5 · 05:30A. Lysyi1.22121111123V. Hyriavyi4.001489101LOct 2 · 08:30V. Saakian1.171111123V. Hyriavyi4.5068100LOct 2 · 07:30V. Hyriavyi2.75891191Y. Urezchenko1.4011119113LOct 2 · 06:30M. Zavoloka1.111111113V. Hyriavyi6.009870LOct 2 · 05:30V. Hyriavyi3.255730O. Badanin1.331111113LSep 28 · 09:00V. Hyriavyi2.63591141V. Matviichuk1.4411114113LSep 28 · 08:00V. Khyzhnyak1.611111113V. Hyriavyi2.206750LSep 28 · 07:00S. Honcharenko1.25611411113V. Hyriavyi3.7511711742LSep 28 · 05:30A. Lysyi1.2881111113V. Hyriavyi3.50118791
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