Zdenek Kuksa vs Leon Kolman 1-3

TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup

Setka Cup

Played Oct 12Finished

Zdenek Kuksa

Home

2.25

At publish

Won last 2

Form at publish

5–5Last 10Won last 2

Final

1 – 3

Set by set

711511118911––

Leon Kolman

Away

1.57

At publish

Won last 4

Form at publish

7–3Last 10Won last 4

The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:43 and never touched: 59.3% is still 59.3%

Graded at full time

Leon Kolman to win

59.3%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Right

not sent

«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.

How it is goingZdenek Kuksa above · Leon Kolman below

Set 1 · 7-11

Set 2 · 5-11

Set 3 · 11-8

Set 4 · 9-11

Point 73 set 4, 9-11 · our read held Leon Kolman at 59.3%

73 points played in total.

H2H Zdenek Kuksa 13–15 Leon Kolman Zdenek Kuksa has won 13 of their 28 meetings.

Last 10 · 3–7Same sideHead to head

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One tab per market

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction

Match Winner

Kolman

Kuksa 2.25/Kolman 1.57

Read onlywould have hit

What we said

59.3%

Kolman · sealed before the serve

What happened

1–3

Kolman won

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 10:43

59.3%Our read63.7%to break even at 1.571

short by 4.4pp

63.7% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.571 they are the same number)

What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.57 (59%)

Kolman

Correct

no bar to clear: a priced side always votes

H2H

13-15 in 28

Kolman

Correct

gap of 2 in 28, over the gap of 2

Rating (G2)

Kuksa 1588 vs Kolman 1602

Kolman

Correct

both rated, 14 points apart, no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Kuksa 60% vs Kolman 80%

Kolman

Correct

20pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Kuksa 50% vs Kolman 70%

Kolman

Correct

20pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Streak

Kuksa +2 · Kolman +4

Kolman

Correct

one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

6 for, 0 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 59% · Slight lean (leans Kolman) · sealed before the serve

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Kolman: form 80%, the price implies 64%

Market vs Signals

Market oddsKuksa 2.25 / Kolman 1.571

Signal prob.41% / 59%

Edge (Kolman)-4.4pp (anti-value)

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeKuksa3wins

AwayKolman7wins

2 of 10 to a deciderKolman leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeKuksan = 1, below the 3 needed

AwayKolman77.8%7 of 9

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Kuksa1Kolman9n = 10Kolman took 9 of 10

S2Kuksa5Kolman5n = 10split evenly

S3Kuksa4Kolman6n = 10Kolman took 6 of 10

S4Kuksa2Kolman6n = 8Kolman took 6 of 8

Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home00%

3–1Four sets, home110%

3–2Decider, home220%

2–3Decider, away00%

1–3Four sets, away550%

0–3Straight, away220%

These 10 meetings

MetricKuksaKolmanKuksa − KolmanBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set19−8of 10Avg pointsper match37.742.1−4.4per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricKuksaKolmanBasisWin rate · lifetime267 / 513 vs 368 / 70652.1%52.1%267 / 513 vs 368 / 706Avg sets wonper match2.12.2per matchAvg pointsper match39.940.5per match

Setka Cup · #13281192

Kuksa2.25

50%won 5 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

Won last 2

oldest → newest

50%takes the first set · 5 of 10

As underdog48% won 48 of 100

Down 0–1, comes back19% 8 of 43

Down 0–2, comes back13% 3 of 24

Kolman1.57

70%won 7 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

Won last 4

oldest → newest

50%takes the first set · 5 of 10

As favourite59% won 100 of 170

Up 2–0, closes it94% 45 of 48

Up 1–0, closes it71% 77 of 108

Zdenek Kuksa vs Leon Kolman 1-3 · Setka Cup

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Match Winner

Decision Summary

Zdenek Kuksa vs Leon Kolman 1-3 · Setka Cup

Deep Dive by Market

Match Winner

Decision Summary

Today's matches are already sealed.