Zdenek Kuksa vs Miroslav Hajek 3-0

TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup

Setka Cup

Played Oct 12Finished

Zdenek Kuksa

Home

2.38

At publish

Won last 1

Form at publish

5–5Last 10Won last 1

Final

3 – 0

Set by set

13111161311––––

Miroslav Hajek

Away

1.53

At publish

Won last 5

Form at publish

8–2Last 10Won last 5

The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:38 and never touched: 61.6% is still 61.6%

Graded at full time

Miroslav Hajek to win

61.6%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Wrong

not sent

How it is goingZdenek Kuksa above · Miroslav Hajek below

Set 1 · 13-11

Set 2 · 11-6

Set 3 · 13-11

Point 65 set 3, 13-11 · our read held Miroslav Hajek at 61.6%

65 points played in total.

H2H Zdenek Kuksa 1–2 Miroslav Hajek Zdenek Kuksa has won 1 of their 3 meetings.

Last 3 · 1–2Same sideHead to head

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One tab per market

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction

Match Winner

Hajek

Kuksa 2.38/Hajek 1.53

Read onlywould have missed

What we said

61.6%

Hajek · sealed before the serve

What happened

3–0

Kuksa won

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 09:38

61.6%Our read65.2%to break even at 1.533

short by 3.6pp

65.2% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.533 they are the same number)

What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.53 (61%)

Hajek

Wrong

no bar to clear: a priced side always votes

H2H

1-2 in 3

—

Too close

gap of 1, under the gap of 2

Rating (G2)

Kuksa 1572 vs Hajek 1641

Hajek

Wrong

both rated, 69 points apart, no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Kuksa 40% vs Hajek 100%

Hajek

Wrong

60pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Kuksa 50% vs Hajek 80%

Hajek

Wrong

30pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Streak

Kuksa +1 · Hajek +5

Hajek

Wrong

one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

5 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 62% · Slight lean (leans Hajek) · sealed before the serve

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Hajek: form 100%, the price implies 65%

Market vs Signals

Market oddsKuksa 2.375 / Hajek 1.533

Signal prob.38% / 62%

Edge (Hajek)-3.6pp (anti-value)

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 3 meetings

HomeKuksa1wins

AwayHajek2wins

2 of 3 to a deciderHajek leads 2–1, and 2 of those 3 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

Not enough first sets

Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.

Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Kuksa2Hajek1n = 3Kuksa took 2 of 3

S2Kuksa2Hajek1n = 3Kuksa took 2 of 3

S3Kuksa1Hajek2n = 3Hajek took 2 of 3

S4Kuksa2Hajek1n = 3Kuksa took 2 of 3

Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate

How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3. A scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home00%

3–1Four sets, home133%

3–2Decider, home00%

2–3Decider, away267%

1–3Four sets, away00%

0–3Straight, away00%

These 3 meetings

MetricKuksaHajekK − HBasisWins12−1in 3 meetingsFirst set21+1of 3Avg pointsper match39.743.7−4.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricKuksaHajekBasisWin rate · lifetime268 / 519 vs 361 / 68851.6%52.5%268 / 519 vs 361 / 688Avg sets wonper match2.12.2per matchAvg pointsper match39.939.7per match

Setka Cup · #13281198

Kuksa2.38

50%won 5 of 10 · last 10

Last match: 4 days ago (Oct 08)

oldest → newest

50%takes the first set · 5 of 10

As underdog48% won 48 of 100

Down 0–1, comes back19% 8 of 43

Down 0–2, comes back13% 3 of 24

Hajek1.53

80%won 8 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

Won last 5

oldest → newest

70%takes the first set · 7 of 10

As favourite55% won 78 of 141

Up 2–0, closes it92% 43 of 47

Up 1–0, closes it76% 63 of 83

Zdenek Kuksa vs Miroslav Hajek 3-0 · Setka Cup

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Match Winner

Decision Summary

Zdenek Kuksa vs Miroslav Hajek 3-0 · Setka Cup

Deep Dive by Market

Match Winner

Decision Summary

Today's matches are already sealed.