TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Miroslav Hajek vs Vit Herrmann 0-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Oct 8Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
1113911711––––
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:55 and never touched: 60.1% is still 60.1%
Graded at full timeMiroslav Hajek to win
60.1%
60.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMiroslav Hajek above · Vit Herrmann below
Set 1 · 11-13
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Point 62 set 3, 7-11 · our read held Miroslav Hajek at 60.1%
62 points played in total.
H2H Miroslav Hajek 5–1 Vit Herrmann Vit Herrmann has won 1 of their 6 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:5560.1%Our read63.7%to break even at 1.571
short by 3.6pp63.7% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.571 they are the same number)
What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Hajek
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
5-1 in 6
Hajek
Wrong
gap of 4 in 6, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hajek 1592 vs Herrmann 1556
Hajek
Wrong
both rated, 36 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hajek 60% vs Herrmann 40%
Hajek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hajek 50% vs Herrmann 30%
Hajek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Hajek +3 · Herrmann -1
Hajek
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% · Slight lean (leans Hajek) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHajek 1.571 / Herrmann 2.25
Signal prob.60% / 40%
Edge (Hajek)-3.6pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13261446
Hajek1.57
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite54% won 76 of 140
Up 2–0, closes it91% 40 of 44
Up 1–0, closes it75% 60 of 80
Herrmann2.25
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog50% won 65 of 129
Down 0–1, comes back32% 21 of 65
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 23
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeHajek5wins
AwayHerrmann1wins
1 of 6 to a deciderHajek leads 5–1, and 1 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHajek100%4 of 4
AwayHerrmannn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hajek4Herrmann2n = 6Hajek took 4 of 6
S2Hajek3Herrmann3n = 6split evenly
S3Hajek5Herrmann1n = 6Hajek took 5 of 6
S4Hajek3Herrmann1n = 4Hajek took 3 of 4
S5
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home233%
3–1Four sets, home233%
3–2Decider, home117%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away117%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 6 meetings
MetricHajekHerrmannHajek − HerrmannBasisWins51+4in 6 meetingsFirst set42+2of 6Avg pointsper match40.531.2+9.3per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHajekHerrmannBasisWin rate · lifetime358 / 686 vs 221 / 45152.2%49%358 / 686 vs 221 / 451Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.838.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
HajekHajek 1.57/Herrmann 2.25
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
60.1%
Hajek · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Herrmann won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
LOct 4 · 10:00M. Hajek33971161V. Herrmann3711114113
WAug 17 · 19:45M. Hajek361111143V. Herrmann2255120
WAug 7 · 08:19M. Hajek45121111113V. Herrmann341091321
WAug 7 · 07:15M. Hajek548111113113V. Herrmann44111371122
WJan 2 · 13:19M. Hajek331111113V. Herrmann226790
WJan 2 · 11:15M. Hajek4211911113V. Herrmann28111971
M. Hajek10
WOct 8 · 10:30V. Lopata2.2565130M. Hajek1.571111153WOct 8 · 10:00M. Svitac2.001591161M. Hajek1.7317116113WOct 7 · 12:24M. Hajek1.611211113L. Smazik2.2010890LOct 7 · 11:45M. Hajek1.67671341M. Svitac2.10111111113LOct 7 · 10:15V. Lopata2.38911147113M. Hajek1.53118121192LOct 7 · 09:45L. Smazik2.251211115113M. Hajek1.5714781162WOct 5 · 20:48M. Hajek1.57119119113L. Provaznik2.2561151192WOct 5 · 19:45M. Hajek1.6191211113J. Jnr2.201110471LOct 5 · 18:15L. Provaznik2.25911614153M. Hajek1.571181112132LOct 5 · 17:45Z. Kuksa2.5011118113M. Hajek1.50881151
V. Herrmann10
LOct 8 · 11:00M. Svitac1.4411127113V. Herrmann2.638101191WOct 8 · 09:30V. Lopata1.83111421172V. Herrmann1.838121113113WOct 7 · 20:59A. Pavlik1.44114471V. Herrmann2.6371111113LOct 7 · 19:15V. Herrmann2.75211571P. Orlowski1.4011811113LOct 7 · 18:15V. Herrmann2.6381111892A. Pavlik1.44115611113WOct 7 · 17:15V. Herrmann1.731111113P. Provaznik2.006780LOct 5 · 16:29V. Herrmann1.578141111102F. Kubos2.25111674123LOct 5 · 16:00M. Soukup2.1011118113V. Herrmann1.67721171LOct 5 · 15:00O. Horak2.2041111153V. Herrmann1.611188131LOct 5 · 13:30F. Kubos2.5091111113V. Herrmann1.50119951
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