TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Vit Herrmann vs Filip Kubos 2-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Oct 5Finished
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 4
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
81114161171141012
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
How it is goingVit Herrmann above · Filip Kubos below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 14-16
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 11-4
Set 5 · 10-12
Point 104 set 5, 10-12
104 points played in total.
H2H Vit Herrmann 6–3 Filip Kubos Filip Kubos has won 3 of their 9 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 3h before this match
Kubos beat Herrmann 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically. The market typically prices this in, which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Herrmann form (20%) is below what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHerrmann 1.571 / Kubos 2.25
Setka Cup · #13249881
Herrmann1.57
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite53% won 39 of 73
Up 2–0, closes it100% 16 of 16
Up 1–0, closes it76% 28 of 37
Kubos2.25
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog42% won 73 of 174
Down 0–1, comes back25% 25 of 101
Down 0–2, comes back11% 6 of 57
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeHerrmann6wins
AwayKubos3wins
5 of 9 to a deciderHerrmann leads 6–3, and 5 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHerrmann66.7%4 of 6
AwayKubos33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Herrmann6Kubos3n = 9Herrmann took 6 of 9
S2Herrmann5Kubos4n = 9Herrmann took 5 of 9
S3Herrmann4Kubos5n = 9Kubos took 5 of 9
S4Herrmann5Kubos3n = 8Herrmann took 5 of 8
S5Herrmann3Kubos2n = 5Herrmann took 3 of 5
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home111%
3–1Four sets, home222%
3–2Decider, home333%
2–3Decider, away222%
1–3Four sets, away111%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 9 meetings
MetricHerrmannKubosH − KBasisWins63+3in 9 meetingsFirst set63+3of 9Avg pointsper match44.040.0+4.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHerrmannKubosBasisWin rate · lifetime218 / 444 vs 354 / 71449.1%49.6%218 / 444 vs 354 / 714Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.438.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
HerrmannHerrmann 1.57/Kubos 2.25
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
—
no pick shipped on this market
What happened
2–3
Kubos won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
LOct 5 · 13:30V. Herrmann34119951F. Kubos4291111113
WOct 1 · 14:30V. Herrmann4181111113F. Kubos25116261
WSep 21 · 19:45V. Herrmann48117811113F. Kubos4291111562
WAug 8 · 10:00V. Herrmann331111113F. Kubos259880
WAug 2 · 15:30V. Herrmann50129511133F. Kubos471011114112
WJul 6 · 11:00V. Herrmann43101111113F. Kubos28126551
LJun 27 · 09:30V. Herrmann48101311862F. Kubos511211611113
WApr 6 · 11:15V. Herrmann521212116113F. Kubos511010131172
LMar 28 · 16:15V. Herrmann47117811102F. Kubos49911116123
V. Herrmann10
LOct 5 · 16:00M. Soukup2.1011118113V. Herrmann1.67721171LOct 5 · 15:00O. Horak2.2041111153V. Herrmann1.611188131LOct 5 · 13:30F. Kubos2.5091111113V. Herrmann1.50119951LOct 4 · 12:29V. Herrmann2.008760L. Provaznik1.731111113WOct 4 · 11:30L. Provaznik1.3011241152V. Herrmann3.40911119113WOct 4 · 11:00V. Herrmann2.631111113L. Kolman1.448350WOct 4 · 10:00V. Herrmann2.6311114113M. Hajek1.44971161WOct 3 · 12:30V. Herrmann2.10111129113R. Merkl1.6764111152LOct 3 · 12:00M. Svitac1.531312113V. Herrmann2.38111080LOct 3 · 11:00R. Merkl1.8011118113V. Herrmann1.91661181
F. Kubos10
LOct 5 · 15:30F. Kubos2.38861181O. Horak1.5311118113LOct 5 · 14:30F. Kubos2.008111591M. Soukup1.7311917113WOct 5 · 13:30F. Kubos2.5091111113V. Herrmann1.50119951LOct 4 · 21:00F. Kubos1.53125111042K. Jirousek2.381011612113WOct 4 · 20:00K. Jirousek2.501171051F. Kubos1.5041112113WOct 4 · 19:00J. Snr1.8311681152F. Kubos1.83511117113WOct 4 · 17:30O. Karpisek2.25101121192F. Kubos1.57128118113WOct 2 · 20:58F. Kubos2.501111113M. Cizek1.509660WOct 2 · 20:00L. Hendrych1.8012990F. Kubos1.911411113LOct 2 · 19:00M. Cizek1.5711116113F. Kubos2.25851151
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