Oleksandr Osadchyi vs Oleksandr Lipeiko 3-0

TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup

Setka Cup

Played Oct 12Finished

Oleksandr Osadchyi

Home

1.50

At publish

Won last 4

Form at publish

7–3Last 10Won last 4

Final

3 – 0

Set by set

1311110118––––

Oleksandr Lipeiko

Away

2.50

At publish

Won last 4

Form at publish

5–5Last 10Won last 4

The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:02 and never touched: 65.7% is still 65.7%

Graded at full time

Oleksandr Osadchyi to win

65.7%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Right

Sent to Pro: Oleksandr Osadchyi @ 1.50 · Won

How it is goingOleksandr Osadchyi above · Oleksandr Lipeiko below

Set 1 · 13-11

Set 2 · 11-0

Set 3 · 11-8

Point 54 set 3, 11-8 · our read held Oleksandr Osadchyi at 65.7%

54 points played in total.

H2H Oleksandr Osadchyi 9–5 Oleksandr Lipeiko Oleksandr Lipeiko has won 5 of their 14 meetings.

Last 10 · 7–3Same sideHead to head

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Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction

Match Winner

Osadchyi

Osadchyi 1.50/Lipeiko 2.50

Hit

What we said

65.7%

Osadchyi · sealed before the serve

Sent to Pro: Oleksandr Osadchyi @ 1.50 · Won

What happened

3–0

Osadchyi won

The pick

Sealed 09:02

Sent to Pro: Oleksandr Osadchyi @ 1.50 · Won

65.7%Our read66.7%to break even at 1.50

short by 1.0pp

66.7% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.50 they are the same number)

What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.50 (63%)

Osadchyi

Correct

no bar to clear: a priced side always votes

H2H

9-5 in 14

Osadchyi

Correct

gap of 4 in 14, over the gap of 2

Rating (G2)

Osadchyi 1501 vs Lipeiko 1381

Osadchyi

Correct

both rated, 120 points apart, no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Osadchyi 80% vs Lipeiko 80%

—

Too close

0pp gap, under the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Osadchyi 70% vs Lipeiko 50%

Osadchyi

Correct

20pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Streak

Osadchyi +4 · Lipeiko +4

—

Too close

neither holds a run of 3 on their own

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

4 for, 2 silent when this read was sealed. The pick sent to Pro came from a re-read before the serve.

Signal confidence: 66% · Clear lean (leans Osadchyi) · sealed before the serve

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Lipeiko: form 80%, the price implies 40%

Market vs Signals

Market oddsOsadchyi 1.50 / Lipeiko 2.50

Signal prob.66% / 34%

Edge (Osadchyi)-1.0pp (anti-value)

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeOsadchyi7wins

AwayLipeiko3wins

1 of 10 to a deciderOsadchyi leads 7–3, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeOsadchyi85.7%6 of 7

AwayLipeiko66.7%2 of 3

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Osadchyi7Lipeiko3n = 10Osadchyi took 7 of 10

S2Osadchyi4Lipeiko6n = 10Lipeiko took 6 of 10

S3Osadchyi8Lipeiko2n = 10Osadchyi took 8 of 10

S4Osadchyi5Lipeiko1n = 6Osadchyi took 5 of 6

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home330%

3–1Four sets, home440%

3–2Decider, home00%

2–3Decider, away110%

1–3Four sets, away110%

0–3Straight, away110%

These 10 meetings

MetricOsadchyiLipeikoO − LBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match37.129.1+8.0per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricOsadchyiLipeikoBasisWin rate · lifetime448 / 868 vs 253 / 53051.6%47.7%448 / 868 vs 253 / 530Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.237.7per match

Setka Cup · #13281070

Osadchyi1.50

70%won 7 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

Won last 4

oldest → newest

60%takes the first set · 6 of 10

As favourite68% won 118 of 174

Up 2–0, closes it97% 62 of 64

Up 1–0, closes it79% 85 of 108

Lipeiko2.50

50%won 5 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

Won last 4

oldest → newest

50%takes the first set · 5 of 10

As underdog41% won 43 of 106

Down 0–1, comes back28% 16 of 58

Down 0–2, comes back7% 2 of 28

Oleksandr Osadchyi vs Oleksandr Lipeiko 3-0 · Setka Cup

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Match Winner

Decision Summary

Oleksandr Osadchyi vs Oleksandr Lipeiko 3-0 · Setka Cup

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Match Winner

Decision Summary

Today's matches are already sealed.