Oleksandr Osadchyi vs Maksym Stetsenko 3-0

TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup

Setka Cup

Played Oct 12Finished

Oleksandr Osadchyi

Home

1.33

At publish

Won last 1

Form at publish

6–4Last 10Won last 1

Final

3 – 0

Set by set

1151412116––––

Maksym Stetsenko

Away

3.25

At publish

Won last 2

Form at publish

5–5Last 10Won last 2

The read, and what happenedsealed at 05:43 and never touched: 74.4% is still 74.4%

Graded at full time

Oleksandr Osadchyi to win

74.4%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Right

not sent

«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.

How it is goingOleksandr Osadchyi above · Maksym Stetsenko below

Set 1 · 11-5

Set 2 · 14-12

Set 3 · 11-6

Point 59 set 3, 11-6 · our read held Oleksandr Osadchyi at 74.4%

59 points played in total.

H2H Oleksandr Osadchyi 11–2 Maksym Stetsenko Maksym Stetsenko has won 2 of their 13 meetings.

Last 10 · 8–2Same sideHead to head

Deep Dive by Market

One tab per market

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction

Match Winner

Osadchyi

Osadchyi 1.33/Stetsenko 3.25

Read onlywould have hit

What we said

74.4%

Osadchyi · sealed before the serve

What happened

3–0

Osadchyi won

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 05:43

74.4%Our read75.0%to break even at 1.333

short by 0.6pp

75.0% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.333 they are the same number)

What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.33 (71%)

Osadchyi

Correct

no bar to clear: a priced side always votes

H2H

11-2 in 13

Osadchyi

Correct

gap of 9 in 13, over the gap of 2

Rating (G2)

Osadchyi 1470 vs Stetsenko 1447

Osadchyi

Correct

both rated, 23 points apart, no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Osadchyi 80% vs Stetsenko 60%

Osadchyi

Correct

20pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Osadchyi 60% vs Stetsenko 50%

—

Too close

10pp gap, under the 15pp bar

Streak

Osadchyi +1 · Stetsenko +2

—

Too close

neither holds a run of 3 on their own

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

4 for, 2 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 74% · Strong (leans Osadchyi) · sealed before the serve

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Stetsenko: form 60%, the price implies 31%

Market vs Signals

Market oddsOsadchyi 1.333 / Stetsenko 3.25

Signal prob.74% / 26%

Edge (Osadchyi)-0.6pp

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeOsadchyi8wins

AwayStetsenko2wins

3 of 10 to a deciderOsadchyi leads 8–2, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeOsadchyi100%6 of 6

AwayStetsenko50%2 of 4

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Osadchyi6Stetsenko4n = 10Osadchyi took 6 of 10

S2Osadchyi5Stetsenko5n = 10split evenly

S3Osadchyi8Stetsenko2n = 10Osadchyi took 8 of 10

S4Osadchyi3Stetsenko3n = 6split evenly

S5Osadchyi3Stetsenko0n = 3Osadchyi took 3 of 3

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home330%

3–1Four sets, home220%

3–2Decider, home330%

2–3Decider, away00%

1–3Four sets, away110%

0–3Straight, away110%

These 10 meetings

MetricOsadchyiStetsenkoO − SBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match38.132.8+5.3per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricOsadchyiStetsenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime449 / 870 vs 459 / 87851.6%52.3%449 / 870 vs 459 / 878Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.236.9per match

Setka Cup · #13281038

Osadchyi1.33

60%won 6 of 10 · last 10

Last match: 2 days ago (Oct 10)

oldest → newest

50%takes the first set · 5 of 10

As favourite68% won 118 of 174

Up 2–0, closes it97% 62 of 64

Up 1–0, closes it79% 85 of 108

Stetsenko3.25

50%won 5 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

Won last 2

oldest → newest

70%takes the first set · 7 of 10

As underdog42% won 91 of 215

Down 0–1, comes back23% 29 of 125

Down 0–2, comes back5% 3 of 62

Oleksandr Osadchyi vs Maksym Stetsenko 3-0 · Setka Cup

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Match Winner

Decision Summary

Oleksandr Osadchyi vs Maksym Stetsenko 3-0 · Setka Cup

Deep Dive by Market

Match Winner

Decision Summary

Today's matches are already sealed.