Oleksandr Lipeiko vs Oleksandr Mytsyk 3-2

TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup

Setka Cup

Played Oct 12Finished

Oleksandr Lipeiko

Home

1.91

At publish

Won last 1

Form at publish

2–8Last 10Won last 1

Final

3 – 2

Set by set

11861161113111210

Oleksandr Mytsyk

Away

1.80

At publish

Lost last 1

Form at publish

9–1Last 10Lost last 1

The read, and what happenedsealed at 06:43 and never touched: 54.0% is still 54.0%

Graded at full time

Oleksandr Mytsyk to win

54.0%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Wrong

not sent

How it is goingOleksandr Lipeiko above · Oleksandr Mytsyk below

Set 1 · 11-8

Set 2 · 6-11

Set 3 · 6-11

Set 4 · 13-11

Set 5 · 12-10

Point 99 set 5, 12-10 · our read held Oleksandr Mytsyk at 54.0%

99 points played in total.

H2H Oleksandr Lipeiko 31–38 Oleksandr Mytsyk Oleksandr Lipeiko has won 31 of their 69 meetings.

Last 10 · 4–6Same sideHead to head

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One tab per market

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction

Match Winner

Mytsyk

Lipeiko 1.91/Mytsyk 1.80

Read onlywould have missed

What we said

54%

Mytsyk · sealed before the serve

What happened

3–2

Lipeiko won

The pickConfirm

Sealed 06:43

54.0%Our read55.6%to break even at 1.80

short by 1.6pp

55.6% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.80 they are the same number)

What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.80 (51%)

Mytsyk

Wrong

no bar to clear: a priced side always votes

H2H

31-38 in 69

Mytsyk

Wrong

gap of 7 in 69, over the gap of 2

Rating (G2)

Lipeiko 1345 vs Mytsyk 1448

Mytsyk

Wrong

both rated, 103 points apart, no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Lipeiko 20% vs Mytsyk 80%

Mytsyk

Wrong

60pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Lipeiko 20% vs Mytsyk 90%

Mytsyk

Wrong

70pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Streak

Lipeiko +1 · Mytsyk -1

—

Too close

neither holds a run of 3 on their own

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

5 for, 1 silent, and the gate let it through as Confirm.

Signal confidence: 54% · Coin-flip (leans Mytsyk) · sealed before the serve

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Mytsyk: form 80%, the price implies 56%

Market vs Signals

Market oddsLipeiko 1.909 / Mytsyk 1.80

Signal prob.46% / 54%

Edge (Mytsyk)-1.6pp (anti-value)

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeLipeiko4wins

AwayMytsyk6wins

5 of 10 to a deciderMytsyk leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeLipeiko60%3 of 5

AwayMytsyk80%4 of 5

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Lipeiko5Mytsyk5n = 10split evenly

S2Lipeiko4Mytsyk6n = 10Mytsyk took 6 of 10

S3Lipeiko3Mytsyk7n = 10Mytsyk took 7 of 10

S4Lipeiko5Mytsyk2n = 7Lipeiko took 5 of 7

S5Lipeiko2Mytsyk2n = 4split evenly

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home110%

3–1Four sets, home110%

3–2Decider, home220%

2–3Decider, away330%

1–3Four sets, away110%

0–3Straight, away220%

These 10 meetings

MetricLipeikoMytsykL − MBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match35.438.0−2.6per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricLipeikoMytsykBasisWin rate · lifetime252 / 530 vs 538 / 107847.6%49.9%252 / 530 vs 538 / 1078Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.738.1per match

Setka Cup · #13281042

Lipeiko1.91

20%won 2 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

oldest → newest

30%takes the first set · 3 of 10

As underdog41% won 43 of 106

Down 0–1, comes back28% 16 of 58

Down 0–2, comes back7% 2 of 28

Mytsyk1.80

90%won 9 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

oldest → newest

40%takes the first set · 4 of 10

As favourite56% won 159 of 282

Up 2–0, closes it88% 71 of 81

Up 1–0, closes it79% 115 of 145

Oleksandr Lipeiko vs Oleksandr Mytsyk 3-2 · Setka Cup

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Match Winner

Decision Summary

Oleksandr Lipeiko vs Oleksandr Mytsyk 3-2 · Setka Cup

Deep Dive by Market

Match Winner

Decision Summary

Today's matches are already sealed.