Pawel Polok vs Jakub Pruszkowski 1-3

TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series

TT Elite SeriesOSP 1 · Czestochowa

Played Oct 12Finished

Pawel Polok

Home

1.83

At publish

Lost last 1

Form at publish

5–5Last 10Lost last 1

Final

1 – 3

Set by set

101210121210911––

Jakub Pruszkowski

Away

1.83

At publish

Won last 2

Form at publish

6–4Last 10Won last 2

The read, and what happenedsealed at 07:43 and never touched: 54.0% is still 54.0%

Graded at full time

Jakub Pruszkowski to win

54.0%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Right

not sent

«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.

How it is goingPawel Polok above · Jakub Pruszkowski below

Set 1 · 10-12

Set 2 · 10-12

Set 3 · 12-10

Set 4 · 9-11

Point 86 set 4, 9-11 · our read held Jakub Pruszkowski at 54.0%

86 points played in total.

H2H Pawel Polok 0–3 Jakub Pruszkowski Pawel Polok has won 0 of their 3 meetings.

Last 3 · 0–3Same sideHead to head

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One tab per market

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction

Match Winner

Pruszkowski

Polok 1.83/Pruszkowski 1.83

Read onlywould have hit

What we said

54%

Pruszkowski · sealed before the serve

What happened

1–3

Pruszkowski won

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 07:43

54.0%Our read54.6%to break even at 1.833

short by 0.6pp

54.6% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.833 they are the same number)

What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.83 (50%)

Pruszkowski

Correct

no bar to clear: a priced side always votes

H2H

0-3 in 3

Pruszkowski

Correct

gap of 3 in 3, over the gap of 2

Rating (G2)

Polok 1395 vs Pruszkowski 1410

Pruszkowski

Correct

both rated, 15 points apart, no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Polok 40% vs Pruszkowski 60%

Pruszkowski

Correct

20pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Polok 50% vs Pruszkowski 60%

—

Too close

10pp gap, under the 15pp bar

Streak

Polok -1 · Pruszkowski +2

—

Too close

neither holds a run of 3 on their own

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

4 for, 2 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 54% · Coin-flip (leans Pruszkowski) · sealed before the serve

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Polok: form 40%, the price implies 55%

Market vs Signals

Market oddsPolok 1.833 / Pruszkowski 1.833

Signal prob.46% / 54%

Edge (Pruszkowski)-0.6pp

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 3 meetings

HomePolok0wins

AwayPruszkowski3wins

1 of 3 to a deciderPruszkowski leads 3–0, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

Not enough first sets

Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.

Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Polok1Pruszkowski2n = 3Pruszkowski took 2 of 3

S2Polok1Pruszkowski2n = 3Pruszkowski took 2 of 3

S3Polok1Pruszkowski2n = 3Pruszkowski took 2 of 3

Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate

Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate

How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3. A scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home00%

3–1Four sets, home00%

3–2Decider, home00%

2–3Decider, away133%

1–3Four sets, away133%

0–3Straight, away133%

These 3 meetings

MetricPolokPruszkowskiPolok − PruszkowskiBasisWins03−3in 3 meetingsFirst set12−1of 3Avg pointsper match31.342.3−11.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricPolokPruszkowskiBasisWin rate · lifetime192 / 309 vs 1169 / 185462.1%63.1%192 / 309 vs 1169 / 1854Avg sets wonper match2.22.3per matchAvg pointsper match38.039.1per match

TT Elite Series · #13279832

Polok1.83

50%won 5 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

oldest → newest

20%takes the first set · 2 of 10

Pruszkowski1.83

60%won 6 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

Won last 2

oldest → newest

40%takes the first set · 4 of 10

Pawel Polok vs Jakub Pruszkowski 1-3 · TT Elite Series

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Match Winner

Decision Summary

Pawel Polok vs Jakub Pruszkowski 1-3 · TT Elite Series

Deep Dive by Market

Match Winner

Decision Summary

Today's matches are already sealed.