Pawel Polok vs Kacper Slawinski 0-3

TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series

TT Elite SeriesOSP 1 · Czestochowa

Played Oct 12Finished

Pawel Polok

Home

2.25

At publish

Won last 2

Form at publish

5–5Last 10Won last 2

Final

0 – 3

Set by set

711711511––––

Kacper Slawinski

Away

1.57

At publish

Won last 3

Form at publish

8–2Last 10Won last 3

The read, and what happenedsealed at 06:28 and never touched: 61.7% is still 61.7%

Graded at full time

Kacper Slawinski to win

61.7%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Right

not sent

«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.

How it is goingPawel Polok above · Kacper Slawinski below

Set 1 · 7-11

Set 2 · 7-11

Set 3 · 5-11

Point 52 set 3, 5-11 · our read held Kacper Slawinski at 61.7%

52 points played in total.

H2H Pawel Polok 4–5 Kacper Slawinski Pawel Polok has won 4 of their 9 meetings.

Last 9 · 4–5Same sideHead to head

Deep Dive by Market

One tab per market

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction

Match Winner

Slawinski

Polok 2.25/Slawinski 1.57

Read onlywould have hit

What we said

61.7%

Slawinski · sealed before the serve

What happened

0–3

Slawinski won

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 06:28

61.7%Our read63.7%to break even at 1.571

short by 2.0pp

63.7% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.571 they are the same number)

What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.57 (59%)

Slawinski

Correct

no bar to clear: a priced side always votes

H2H

4-5 in 9

—

Too close

gap of 1, under the gap of 2

Rating (G2)

Polok 1395 vs Slawinski 1535

Slawinski

Correct

both rated, 140 points apart, no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Polok 60% vs Slawinski 80%

Slawinski

Correct

20pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Polok 50% vs Slawinski 80%

Slawinski

Correct

30pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Streak

Polok +2 · Slawinski +3

Slawinski

Correct

one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

5 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 62% · Slight lean (leans Slawinski) · sealed before the serve

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Slawinski: form 80%, the price implies 64%

Market vs Signals

Market oddsPolok 2.25 / Slawinski 1.571

Signal prob.38% / 62%

Edge (Slawinski)-2.0pp (anti-value)

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 9 meetings

HomePolok4wins

AwaySlawinski5wins

3 of 9 to a deciderSlawinski leads 5–4, and 3 of those 9 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomePolok50%2 of 4

AwaySlawinski60%3 of 5

Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Polok4Slawinski5n = 9Slawinski took 5 of 9

S2Polok5Slawinski4n = 9Polok took 5 of 9

S3Polok2Slawinski7n = 9Slawinski took 7 of 9

S4Polok3Slawinski3n = 6split evenly

S5Polok2Slawinski1n = 3Polok took 2 of 3

How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9. A scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home111%

3–1Four sets, home111%

3–2Decider, home222%

2–3Decider, away111%

1–3Four sets, away222%

0–3Straight, away222%

These 9 meetings

MetricPolokSlawinskiP − SBasisWins45−1in 9 meetingsFirst set45−1of 9Avg pointsper match36.738.2−1.5per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricPolokSlawinskiBasisWin rate · lifetime192 / 309 vs 621 / 99562.1%62.4%192 / 309 vs 621 / 995Avg sets wonper match2.22.3per matchAvg pointsper match38.038.9per match

TT Elite Series · #13279723

Polok2.25

50%won 5 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

Won last 2

oldest → newest

20%takes the first set · 2 of 10

As underdog50% won 24 of 48

Down 0–1, comes back35% 8 of 23

Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 8

Slawinski1.57

80%won 8 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

Won last 3

oldest → newest

50%takes the first set · 5 of 10

As favourite69% won 170 of 248

Up 2–0, closes it99% 80 of 81

Up 1–0, closes it81% 125 of 154

Pawel Polok vs Kacper Slawinski 0-3 · TT Elite Series

Deep Dive by Market

Match Winner

Decision Summary

Pawel Polok vs Kacper Slawinski 0-3 · TT Elite Series

Deep Dive by Market

Match Winner

Decision Summary

Today's matches are already sealed.