Kacper Slawinski vs Jakub Pruszkowski 3-2

TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series

TT Elite SeriesOSP 1 · Czestochowa

Played Oct 12Finished

Kacper Slawinski

Home

1.57

At publish

Lost last 1

Form at publish

7–3Last 10Lost last 1

Final

3 – 2

Set by set

11611131113118117

Jakub Pruszkowski

Away

2.25

At publish

Won last 4

Form at publish

6–4Last 10Won last 4

The read, and what happenedsealed at 03:42 and never touched: 59.7% is still 59.7%

Graded at full time

Kacper Slawinski to win

59.7%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Right

not sent

«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.

How it is goingKacper Slawinski above · Jakub Pruszkowski below

Set 1 · 11-6

Set 2 · 11-13

Set 3 · 11-13

Set 4 · 11-8

Set 5 · 11-7

Point 102 set 5, 11-7 · our read held Kacper Slawinski at 59.7%

102 points played in total.

H2H Kacper Slawinski 34–29 Jakub Pruszkowski Jakub Pruszkowski has won 29 of their 63 meetings.

Last 10 · 6–4Same sideHead to head

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Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction

Match Winner

Slawinski

Slawinski 1.57/Pruszkowski 2.25

Read onlywould have hit

What we said

59.7%

Slawinski · sealed before the serve

What happened

3–2

Slawinski won

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 03:42

59.7%Our read63.7%to break even at 1.571

short by 4.0pp

63.7% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.571 they are the same number)

What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.57 (59%)

Slawinski

Correct

no bar to clear: a priced side always votes

H2H

34-29 in 63

Slawinski

Correct

gap of 5 in 63, over the gap of 2

Rating (G2)

Slawinski 1501 vs Pruszkowski 1412

Slawinski

Correct

both rated, 89 points apart, no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Slawinski 80% vs Pruszkowski 80%

—

Too close

0pp gap, under the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Slawinski 70% vs Pruszkowski 60%

—

Too close

10pp gap, under the 15pp bar

Streak

Slawinski -1 · Pruszkowski +4

Pruszkowski

Wrong

one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

3 for, 2 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 60% · Slight lean (leans Slawinski) · sealed before the serve

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Pruszkowski: form 80%, the price implies 44%

Market vs Signals

Market oddsSlawinski 1.571 / Pruszkowski 2.25

Signal prob.60% / 40%

Edge (Slawinski)-4.0pp (anti-value)

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeSlawinski6wins

AwayPruszkowski4wins

3 of 10 to a deciderSlawinski leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeSlawinski66.7%4 of 6

AwayPruszkowski50%2 of 4

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Slawinski6Pruszkowski4n = 10Slawinski took 6 of 10

S2Slawinski4Pruszkowski6n = 10Pruszkowski took 6 of 10

S3Slawinski5Pruszkowski5n = 10split evenly

S4Slawinski7Pruszkowski2n = 9Slawinski took 7 of 9

S5Slawinski1Pruszkowski2n = 3Pruszkowski took 2 of 3

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home00%

3–1Four sets, home550%

3–2Decider, home110%

2–3Decider, away220%

1–3Four sets, away110%

0–3Straight, away110%

These 10 meetings

MetricSlawinskiPruszkowskiS − PBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match40.439.6+0.8per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricSlawinskiPruszkowskiBasisWin rate · lifetime617 / 991 vs 1170 / 185462.3%63.1%617 / 991 vs 1170 / 1854Avg sets wonper match2.32.3per matchAvg pointsper match38.939.1per match

TT Elite Series · #13279746

Slawinski1.57

70%won 7 of 10 · last 10

Last match: 4 days ago (Oct 08)

oldest → newest

50%takes the first set · 5 of 10

As favourite68% won 169 of 247

Up 2–0, closes it99% 80 of 81

Up 1–0, closes it81% 124 of 153

Pruszkowski2.25

60%won 6 of 10 · last 10

Last match: 4 days ago (Oct 08)

Won last 4

oldest → newest

20%takes the first set · 2 of 10

As underdog52% won 62 of 119

Down 0–1, comes back32% 18 of 57

Down 0–2, comes back5% 1 of 21

Kacper Slawinski vs Jakub Pruszkowski 3-2 · TT Elite Series

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Match Winner

Decision Summary

Kacper Slawinski vs Jakub Pruszkowski 3-2 · TT Elite Series

Deep Dive by Market

Match Winner

Decision Summary

Today's matches are already sealed.