Jakub Pruszkowski vs Sebastian Szostok 0-3

TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series

TT Elite SeriesOSP 1 · Czestochowa

Played Oct 12Finished

Jakub Pruszkowski

Home

1.83

At publish

Lost last 1

Form at publish

6–4Last 10Lost last 1

Final

0 – 3

Set by set

711911611––––

Sebastian Szostok

Away

1.83

At publish

Won last 1

Form at publish

4–6Last 10Won last 1

The read, and what happenedsealed at 04:27 and never touched: 54.0% is still 54.0%

Graded at full time

Jakub Pruszkowski to win

54.0%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Wrong

not sent

How it is goingJakub Pruszkowski above · Sebastian Szostok below

Set 1 · 7-11

Set 2 · 9-11

Set 3 · 6-11

Point 55 set 3, 6-11 · our read held Jakub Pruszkowski at 54.0%

55 points played in total.

H2H Jakub Pruszkowski 33–51 Sebastian Szostok Jakub Pruszkowski has won 33 of their 84 meetings.

Last 10 · 4–6Same sideHead to head

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One tab per market

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction

Match Winner

Pruszkowski

Pruszkowski 1.83/Szostok 1.83

Read onlywould have missed

What we said

54%

Pruszkowski · sealed before the serve

What happened

0–3

Szostok won

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 04:27

54.0%Our read54.6%to break even at 1.833

short by 0.6pp

54.6% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.833 they are the same number)

What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.83 (50%)

Szostok

Correct

no bar to clear: a priced side always votes

H2H

33-51 in 84

Szostok

Correct

gap of 18 in 84, over the gap of 2

Rating (G2)

Pruszkowski 1404 vs Szostok 1385

Pruszkowski

Wrong

both rated, 19 points apart, no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Pruszkowski 80% vs Szostok 60%

Pruszkowski

Wrong

20pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Pruszkowski 60% vs Szostok 40%

Pruszkowski

Wrong

20pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Streak

Pruszkowski -1 · Szostok +1

—

Too close

neither holds a run of 3 on their own

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

3 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 54% · Coin-flip (leans Pruszkowski) · sealed before the serve

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Pruszkowski: form 80%, the price implies 55%

Market vs Signals

Market oddsPruszkowski 1.833 / Szostok 1.833

Signal prob.54% / 46%

Edge (Pruszkowski)-0.6pp

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomePruszkowski4wins

AwaySzostok6wins

6 of 10 to a deciderSzostok leads 6–4, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomePruszkowski50%3 of 6

AwaySzostok75%3 of 4

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Pruszkowski6Szostok4n = 10Pruszkowski took 6 of 10

S2Pruszkowski1Szostok9n = 10Szostok took 9 of 10

S3Pruszkowski3Szostok7n = 10Szostok took 7 of 10

S4Pruszkowski6Szostok2n = 8Pruszkowski took 6 of 8

S5Pruszkowski3Szostok3n = 6split evenly

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home00%

3–1Four sets, home110%

3–2Decider, home330%

2–3Decider, away330%

1–3Four sets, away110%

0–3Straight, away220%

These 10 meetings

MetricPruszkowskiSzostokP − SBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match38.842.6−3.8per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricPruszkowskiSzostokBasisWin rate · lifetime1169 / 1854 vs 899 / 156263.1%57.6%1169 / 1854 vs 899 / 1562Avg sets wonper match2.32.2per matchAvg pointsper match39.140.2per match

TT Elite Series · #13279739

Pruszkowski1.83

60%won 6 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

oldest → newest

20%takes the first set · 2 of 10

Szostok1.83

40%won 4 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

oldest → newest

50%takes the first set · 5 of 10

Jakub Pruszkowski vs Sebastian Szostok 0-3 · TT Elite Series

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Match Winner

Decision Summary

Jakub Pruszkowski vs Sebastian Szostok 0-3 · TT Elite Series

Deep Dive by Market

Match Winner

Decision Summary

Today's matches are already sealed.