Pawel Polok vs Witold Buczynski 0-3

TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series

TT Elite SeriesOSP 1 · Czestochowa

Played Oct 12Finished

Pawel Polok

Home

1.40

At publish

Lost last 1

Form at publish

5–5Last 10Lost last 1

Final

0 – 3

Set by set

511911611––––

Witold Buczynski

Away

2.75

At publish

Lost last 1

Form at publish

2–8Last 10Lost last 1

The read, and what happenedsealed at 03:23 and never touched: 70.7% is still 70.7%

Graded at full time

Pawel Polok to win

70.7%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Wrong

not sent

How it is goingPawel Polok above · Witold Buczynski below

Set 1 · 5-11

Set 2 · 9-11

Set 3 · 6-11

Point 53 set 3, 6-11 · our read held Pawel Polok at 70.7%

53 points played in total.

H2H Pawel Polok 7–2 Witold Buczynski Witold Buczynski has won 2 of their 9 meetings.

Last 9 · 7–2Same sideHead to head

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One tab per market

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction

Match Winner

Polok

Polok 1.40/Buczynski 2.75

Read onlywould have missed

What we said

70.7%

Polok · sealed before the serve

What happened

0–3

Buczynski won

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 03:23

70.7%Our read71.4%to break even at 1.40

short by 0.7pp

71.4% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.40 they are the same number)

What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.40 (66%)

Polok

Wrong

no bar to clear: a priced side always votes

H2H

7-2 in 9

Polok

Wrong

gap of 5 in 9, over the gap of 2

Rating (G2)

Polok 1400 vs Buczynski 1277

Polok

Wrong

both rated, 123 points apart, no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Polok 60% vs Buczynski 20%

Polok

Wrong

40pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Polok 50% vs Buczynski 20%

Polok

Wrong

30pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Streak

Polok -1 · Buczynski -1

—

Too close

neither holds a run of 3 on their own

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

5 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 71% · Strong (leans Polok) · sealed before the serve

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Buczynski: form 20%, the price implies 36%

Market vs Signals

Market oddsPolok 1.40 / Buczynski 2.75

Signal prob.71% / 29%

Edge (Polok)-0.7pp

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 9 meetings

HomePolok7wins

AwayBuczynski2wins

3 of 9 to a deciderPolok leads 7–2, and 3 of those 9 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomePolok100%4 of 4

AwayBuczynski40%2 of 5

Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Polok4Buczynski5n = 9Buczynski took 5 of 9

S2Polok7Buczynski2n = 9Polok took 7 of 9

S3Polok4Buczynski5n = 9Buczynski took 5 of 9

S4Polok5Buczynski3n = 8Polok took 5 of 8

S5Polok3Buczynski0n = 3Polok took 3 of 3

How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9. A scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home111%

3–1Four sets, home333%

3–2Decider, home333%

2–3Decider, away00%

1–3Four sets, away222%

0–3Straight, away00%

These 9 meetings

MetricPolokBuczynskiP − BBasisWins72+5in 9 meetingsFirst set45−1of 9Avg pointsper match43.036.4+6.6per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricPolokBuczynskiBasisWin rate · lifetime190 / 305 vs 469 / 118262.3%39.7%190 / 305 vs 469 / 1182Avg sets wonper match2.21.8per matchAvg pointsper match38.036.3per match

TT Elite Series · #13279337

Polok1.40

50%won 5 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

oldest → newest

20%takes the first set · 2 of 10

As favourite65% won 136 of 210

Up 2–0, closes it95% 80 of 84

Up 1–0, closes it84% 112 of 134

Buczynski2.75

20%won 2 of 10 · last 10

Last match: 1 day ago (Oct 10)

oldest → newest

30%takes the first set · 3 of 10

As underdog39% won 201 of 522

Down 0–1, comes back22% 67 of 308

Down 0–2, comes back4% 6 of 168

Pawel Polok vs Witold Buczynski 0-3 · TT Elite Series

Deep Dive by Market

Match Winner

Decision Summary

Pawel Polok vs Witold Buczynski 0-3 · TT Elite Series

Deep Dive by Market

Match Winner

Decision Summary

Today's matches are already sealed.