Jakub Pruszkowski vs Pawel Polok 3-0

TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series

TT Elite SeriesOSP 1 · Czestochowa

Played Oct 12Finished

Jakub Pruszkowski

Home

1.83

At publish

Won last 4

Form at publish

8–2Last 10Won last 4

Final

3 – 0

Set by set

117119119––––

Pawel Polok

Away

1.83

At publish

Won last 1

Form at publish

5–5Last 10Won last 1

The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:05 and never touched: 54.0% is still 54.0%

Graded at full time

Jakub Pruszkowski to win

54.0%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Right

not sent

«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.

How it is goingJakub Pruszkowski above · Pawel Polok below

Set 1 · 11-7

Set 2 · 11-9

Set 3 · 11-9

Point 58 set 3, 11-9 · our read held Jakub Pruszkowski at 54.0%

58 points played in total.

H2H Jakub Pruszkowski 3–0 Pawel Polok Pawel Polok has won 0 of their 3 meetings.

Last 3 · 3–0Same sideHead to head

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Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction

Match Winner

Pruszkowski

Pruszkowski 1.83/Polok 1.83

Read onlywould have hit

What we said

54%

Pruszkowski · sealed before the serve

What happened

3–0

Pruszkowski won

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 10:05

54.0%Our read54.6%to break even at 1.833

short by 0.6pp

54.6% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.833 they are the same number)

What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.83 (50%)

Polok

Wrong

no bar to clear: a priced side always votes

H2H

3-0 in 3

Pruszkowski

Correct

gap of 3 in 3, over the gap of 2

Rating (G2)

Pruszkowski 1431 vs Polok 1392

Pruszkowski

Correct

both rated, 38 points apart, no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Pruszkowski 80% vs Polok 60%

Pruszkowski

Correct

20pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Pruszkowski 80% vs Polok 50%

Pruszkowski

Correct

30pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Streak

Pruszkowski +4 · Polok +1

Pruszkowski

Correct

one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

5 for, 0 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 54% · Coin-flip (leans Pruszkowski) · sealed before the serve

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Pruszkowski: form 80%, the price implies 55%

Market vs Signals

Market oddsPruszkowski 1.833 / Polok 1.833

Signal prob.54% / 46%

Edge (Pruszkowski)-0.6pp

Same-day rematch · 2h before this match

Pruszkowski beat Polok 3-1.

Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically. The market typically prices this in, which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 3 meetings

HomePruszkowski3wins

AwayPolok0wins

1 of 3 to a deciderPruszkowski leads 3–0, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

Not enough first sets

Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.

Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Pruszkowski2Polok1n = 3Pruszkowski took 2 of 3

S2Pruszkowski2Polok1n = 3Pruszkowski took 2 of 3

S3Pruszkowski2Polok1n = 3Pruszkowski took 2 of 3

Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate

Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate

How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3. A scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home133%

3–1Four sets, home133%

3–2Decider, home133%

2–3Decider, away00%

1–3Four sets, away00%

0–3Straight, away00%

These 3 meetings

MetricPruszkowskiPolokPruszkowski − PolokBasisWins30+3in 3 meetingsFirst set21+1of 3Avg pointsper match42.331.3+11.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricPruszkowskiPolokBasisWin rate · lifetime1171 / 1855 vs 193 / 31163.1%62.1%1171 / 1855 vs 193 / 311Avg sets wonper match2.32.2per matchAvg pointsper match39.138.0per match

TT Elite Series · #13279741

Pruszkowski1.83

80%won 8 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

Won last 4

oldest → newest

60%takes the first set · 6 of 10

Polok1.83

50%won 5 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

oldest → newest

20%takes the first set · 2 of 10

Jakub Pruszkowski vs Pawel Polok 3-0 · TT Elite Series

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Match Winner

Decision Summary

Jakub Pruszkowski vs Pawel Polok 3-0 · TT Elite Series

Deep Dive by Market

Match Winner

Decision Summary

Today's matches are already sealed.