TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Jakub Travnicek vs Daniel Vitasek 0-3 · TT Cup
TT CupHall 54 - H4 · Prague
Played Oct 11Finished
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
811311911––––
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:28 and never touched: 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJakub Travnicek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
WrongSent to Pro: Jakub Travnicek @ 1.91 · Lost
How it is goingJakub Travnicek above · Daniel Vitasek below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 3-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Point 53 set 3, 9-11 · our read held Jakub Travnicek at 54.0%
53 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Travnicek 29–34 Daniel Vitasek Jakub Travnicek has won 29 of their 63 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickContradict
Sealed 19:2854.0%Our read52.4%to break even at 1.909
clears by 1.6pp52.4% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.909 they are the same number)
What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Vitasek
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
29-34 in 63
Vitasek
Correct
gap of 5 in 63, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Travnicek 1611 vs Vitasek 1550
Travnicek
Wrong
both rated, 61 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Travnicek 80% vs Vitasek 60%
Travnicek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Travnicek 60% vs Vitasek 40%
Travnicek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Travnicek -1 · Vitasek -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent, and the gate let it through as Contradict.
Signal confidence: 54% · Coin-flip (leans Travnicek) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Travnicek form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTravnicek 1.909 / Vitasek 1.80
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Travnicek)+1.6pp
TT Cup · #13278365
Travnicek1.91
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog50% won 60 of 120
Down 0–1, comes back30% 21 of 70
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 34
Vitasek1.80
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite48% won 57 of 120
Up 2–0, closes it100% 32 of 32
Up 1–0, closes it75% 44 of 59
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeTravnicek5wins
AwayVitasek5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeTravnicek100%3 of 3
AwayVitasek71.4%5 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Travnicek3Vitasek7n = 10Vitasek took 7 of 10
S2Travnicek4Vitasek6n = 10Vitasek took 6 of 10
S3Travnicek3Vitasek7n = 10Vitasek took 7 of 10
S4Travnicek2Vitasek4n = 6Vitasek took 4 of 6
S5Travnicek4Vitasek0n = 4Travnicek took 4 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricTravnicekVitasekT − VBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match38.137.2+0.9per matchSweeps04−43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTravnicekVitasekBasisWin rate · lifetime229 / 456 vs 324 / 68250.2%47.5%229 / 456 vs 324 / 682Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.737.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
TravnicekTravnicek 1.91/Vitasek 1.80
Miss
What we said
54%
Travnicek · sealed before the serve
Sent to Pro: Jakub Travnicek @ 1.91 · Lost
What happened
0–3
Vitasek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LOct 1 · 17:45J. Travnicek199910D. Vitasek331111113
WSep 22 · 19:15J. Travnicek521110119113D. Vitasek3931251182
LSep 20 · 20:54J. Travnicek229490D. Vitasek331111113
WSep 20 · 20:15J. Travnicek5310111110113D. Vitasek4512851282
WSep 19 · 06:10J. Travnicek5512111110113D. Vitasek47105131272
LSep 14 · 19:40J. Travnicek27211591D. Vitasek3611311113
LAug 26 · 17:40J. Travnicek3081390D. Vitasek371115113
LAug 22 · 08:50J. Travnicek32910130D. Vitasek381112153
WAug 22 · 06:15J. Travnicek518111011113D. Vitasek3711512452
WAug 20 · 19:10J. Travnicek4011711113D. Vitasek27211681
J. Travnicek10
LOct 11 · 18:45J. Travnicek1.736911101A. Cizek2.0011119123WOct 11 · 17:45J. Travnicek1.67111113123T. Kindl2.109915101WOct 4 · 13:19J. Krupnik1.911111961J. Travnicek1.8013711113WOct 4 · 12:15J. Travnicek1.73111111113T. Molin2.00813971WOct 4 · 10:45B. Mrowetz1.61111111652J. Travnicek2.20137811113LOct 4 · 10:15J. Krupnik1.8311118113J. Travnicek1.83771191LOct 4 · 09:23F. Chaloupka1.611111119113J. Travnicek2.2077131132WOct 4 · 08:15J. Skalicky1.83811431J. Travnicek1.8311911113WOct 4 · 07:15J. Travnicek1.9151111113J. Krupnik1.80118781LOct 4 · 05:45F. Chaloupka1.5711719113J. Travnicek2.255111771
D. Vitasek10
LOct 11 · 19:15T. Kindl1.9111411113D. Vitasek1.80811821LOct 11 · 18:15D. Vitasek1.831131081A. Cizek1.8361112113WOct 10 · 21:14K. Kleprlik1.619712111D. Vitasek2.20111110133WOct 10 · 20:15D. Vitasek2.1011911113A. Kanak1.67711761WOct 10 · 18:45A. Cizek1.6769100D. Vitasek2.101111123LOct 10 · 18:15K. Kleprlik1.611111163D. Vitasek2.2099140LOct 10 · 16:45L. Dzida1.8811111110123D. Vitasek1.82139412102WOct 10 · 16:15E. Precek1.83761151D. Vitasek1.8311117113LOct 10 · 15:15D. Vitasek1.611139111L. Dzida2.2081111133LOct 10 · 13:45A. Kanak1.7311811153D. Vitasek2.007113131
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