TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Kamil Kleprlik vs Daniel Vitasek 3-0 · TT Cup
TT CupHall 54 - H4 · Prague
Played Oct 10Finished
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1191191614––––
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:54 and never touched: 60.5% is still 60.5%
Graded at full timeKamil Kleprlik to win
60.5%
60.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingKamil Kleprlik above · Daniel Vitasek below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 16-14
Point 70 set 3, 16-14 · our read held Kamil Kleprlik at 60.5%
70 points played in total.
H2H Kamil Kleprlik 14–20 Daniel Vitasek Kamil Kleprlik has won 14 of their 34 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 17:5460.5%Our read61.9%to break even at 1.615
short by 1.4pp61.9% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.615 they are the same number)
What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Kleprlik
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
14-20 in 34
Vitasek
Wrong
gap of 6 in 34, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kleprlik 1602 vs Vitasek 1550
Kleprlik
Correct
both rated, 52 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kleprlik 60% vs Vitasek 40%
Kleprlik
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kleprlik 60% vs Vitasek 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kleprlik +3 · Vitasek -1
Kleprlik
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% · Slight lean (leans Kleprlik) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKleprlik 1.615 / Vitasek 2.20
Signal prob.61% / 40%
Edge (Kleprlik)-1.4pp (anti-value)
TT Cup · #13273917
Kleprlik1.61
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite54% won 55 of 102
Up 2–0, closes it96% 26 of 27
Up 1–0, closes it73% 38 of 52
Vitasek2.20
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog47% won 96 of 204
Down 0–1, comes back22% 24 of 108
Down 0–2, comes back3% 2 of 61
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKleprlik6wins
AwayVitasek4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderKleprlik leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKleprlik100%5 of 5
AwayVitasek80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kleprlik5Vitasek5n = 10split evenly
S2Kleprlik6Vitasek4n = 10Kleprlik took 6 of 10
S3Kleprlik6Vitasek4n = 10Kleprlik took 6 of 10
S4Kleprlik6Vitasek3n = 9Kleprlik took 6 of 9
S5Kleprlik1Vitasek2n = 3Vitasek took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKleprlikVitasekK − VBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match43.338.7+4.6per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKleprlikVitasekBasisWin rate · lifetime277 / 560 vs 321 / 67649.5%47.5%277 / 560 vs 321 / 676Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.637.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
KleprlikKleprlik 1.61/Vitasek 2.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
60.5%
Kleprlik · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Kleprlik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LOct 9 · 21:10K. Kleprlik36891181D. Vitasek4111118113
WOct 9 · 17:40K. Kleprlik44121011113D. Vitasek381012881
WOct 3 · 19:15K. Kleprlik43111011113D. Vitasek31612671
LOct 2 · 20:15K. Kleprlik4889111192D. Vitasek46111149113
WSep 26 · 21:15K. Kleprlik4291111113D. Vitasek34119861
WSep 26 · 19:10K. Kleprlik371214113D. Vitasek29101270
LAug 30 · 09:20K. Kleprlik397111381D. Vitasek4511815113
WAug 30 · 06:15K. Kleprlik43111110113D. Vitasek33791251
WAug 23 · 08:15K. Kleprlik5311111010113D. Vitasek4888121282
LAug 22 · 10:15K. Kleprlik48711101192D. Vitasek42116122113
K. Kleprlik10
WOct 10 · 17:10M. Macurak1.736811101K. Kleprlik2.0011112123WOct 10 · 15:40J. Krupnik3.251179101K. Kleprlik1.3331111123WOct 10 · 15:10D. Velky Jr2.504860K. Kleprlik1.501111113LOct 10 · 14:10K. Kleprlik1.83911461M. Macurak1.8311811113LOct 9 · 21:10K. Kleprlik1.61891181D. Vitasek2.2011118113WOct 9 · 19:40K. Kleprlik1.571291112113A. Kanak2.25101151492LOct 9 · 18:40K. Kleprlik1.83811101142I. Heuman1.83119127113WOct 9 · 17:40K. Kleprlik1.73121011113D. Vitasek2.001012881WOct 5 · 16:39L. Dzida1.801191091K. Kleprlik1.9191112113LOct 5 · 16:10K. Kleprlik1.8081191152L. Dzida1.91119118113
D. Vitasek10
WOct 10 · 18:45A. Cizek1.6769100D. Vitasek2.101111123LOct 10 · 16:45L. Dzida1.8811111110123D. Vitasek1.82139412102WOct 10 · 16:15E. Precek1.83761151D. Vitasek1.8311117113LOct 10 · 15:15D. Vitasek1.611139111L. Dzida2.2081111133LOct 10 · 13:45A. Kanak1.7311811153D. Vitasek2.007113131WOct 9 · 21:10K. Kleprlik1.61891181D. Vitasek2.2011118113WOct 9 · 20:10I. Heuman1.674101181D. Vitasek2.1011125113WOct 9 · 19:10D. Vitasek2.10311119113A. Kanak1.6711971192LOct 9 · 17:40K. Kleprlik1.73121011113D. Vitasek2.001012881WOct 7 · 21:15D. Vitasek1.4411117113D. Branny2.63691171
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