TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Kamil Kleprlik vs Michal Macurak 1-3 · TT Cup
TT CupHall 20 - Czech 9 · Prague
Played Oct 10Finished
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
911118411611––
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:50 and never touched: 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMichal Macurak to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingKamil Kleprlik above · Michal Macurak below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 4-11
Set 4 · 6-11
Point 71 set 4, 6-11 · our read held Michal Macurak at 54.0%
71 points played in total.
H2H Kamil Kleprlik 6–3 Michal Macurak Michal Macurak has won 3 of their 9 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:5054.0%Our read54.6%to break even at 1.833
short by 0.6pp54.6% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.833 they are the same number)
What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Macurak
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
6-3 in 9
Kleprlik
Wrong
gap of 3 in 9, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kleprlik 1593 vs Macurak 1693
Macurak
Correct
both rated, 100 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kleprlik 60% vs Macurak 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kleprlik 40% vs Macurak 70%
Macurak
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kleprlik -1 · Macurak -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% · Coin-flip (leans Macurak) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKleprlik 1.833 / Macurak 1.833
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Macurak)-0.6pp
TT Cup · #13273228
Kleprlik1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
Macurak1.83
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeKleprlik6wins
AwayMacurak3wins
2 of 9 to a deciderKleprlik leads 6–3, and 2 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKleprlik85.7%6 of 7
AwayMacurakn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kleprlik7Macurak2n = 9Kleprlik took 7 of 9
S2Kleprlik7Macurak2n = 9Kleprlik took 7 of 9
S3Kleprlik5Macurak4n = 9Kleprlik took 5 of 9
S4Kleprlik2Macurak3n = 5Macurak took 3 of 5
S5
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home444%
3–1Four sets, home111%
3–2Decider, home111%
2–3Decider, away111%
1–3Four sets, away222%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 9 meetings
MetricKleprlikMacurakK − MBasisWins63+3in 9 meetingsFirst set72+5of 9Avg pointsper match36.229.9+6.3per matchSweeps40+43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKleprlikMacurakBasisWin rate · lifetime274 / 556 vs 264 / 51549.3%51.3%274 / 556 vs 264 / 515Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.638.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
MacurakKleprlik 1.83/Macurak 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Macurak · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Macurak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
LJul 17 · 17:20K. Kleprlik27311581M. Macurak4211911113
WJul 17 · 13:45K. Kleprlik341211113M. Macurak2410770
WApr 25 · 16:50K. Kleprlik4012116113M. Macurak321041171
LApr 25 · 13:45K. Kleprlik33119671M. Macurak4291111113
WJan 14 · 14:40K. Kleprlik331111113M. Macurak188280
WJan 2 · 21:10K. Kleprlik341211113M. Macurak1810530
WDec 18 · 18:10K. Kleprlik5411101111113M. Macurak3751261312
WDec 18 · 14:40K. Kleprlik351113113M. Macurak2681170
K. Kleprlik10
WOct 10 · 15:10D. Velky Jr2.504860K. Kleprlik1.501111113LOct 9 · 21:10K. Kleprlik1.61891181D. Vitasek2.2011118113WOct 9 · 19:40K. Kleprlik1.571291112113A. Kanak2.25101151492LOct 9 · 18:40K. Kleprlik1.83811101142I. Heuman1.83119127113WOct 9 · 17:40K. Kleprlik1.73121011113D. Vitasek2.001012881WOct 5 · 16:39L. Dzida1.801191091K. Kleprlik1.9191112113LOct 5 · 16:10K. Kleprlik1.8081191152L. Dzida1.91119118113LOct 5 · 14:40F. Chaloupka1.8012115163K. Kleprlik1.9110911141LOct 5 · 14:10D. Skulina1.5311117123K. Kleprlik2.386811101LOct 3 · 21:14K. Kleprlik2.106111111102I. Heuman1.67111379123
M. Macurak10
WOct 10 · 14:40J. Krupnik2.38114111192M. Macurak1.53611137113LOct 9 · 17:15B. Moravec1.501211113M. Macurak2.5010440WOct 9 · 16:15J. Krupnik2.2591080M. Macurak1.571112113WOct 9 · 15:15M. Macurak2.251611113F. Chaloupka1.5714980LOct 9 · 13:45B. Moravec1.501112113M. Macurak2.5081080WOct 3 · 17:14M. Macurak1.831114163T. Krenek1.83612140WOct 3 · 15:45M. Macurak1.6111118113J. Krupnik2.20771151WOct 3 · 14:45M. Macurak1.911211413113T. Krenek1.80106111572WOct 3 · 13:45M. Macurak2.001111119113K. Kleprlik1.7361351132WOct 3 · 12:45J. Krupnik1.801156101M. Macurak1.9181111123
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