TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Lukas Dzida vs Daniel Vitasek 3-2 · TT Cup
TT CupHall 53 - H3 · Prague
Played Oct 10Finished
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
111311911410121210
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
How it is goingLukas Dzida above · Daniel Vitasek below
Set 1 · 11-13
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-4
Set 4 · 10-12
Set 5 · 12-10
Point 103 set 5, 12-10
103 points played in total.
H2H Lukas Dzida 1–1 Daniel Vitasek Dead even across their 2 meetings.
Last 2 · 1–1Head to head
Same-day rematch · 2h before this match
Dzida beat Vitasek 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically. The market typically prices this in, which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Dzida form (40%) is below what odds imply (53%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDzida 1.88 / Vitasek 1.82
TT Cup · #13275539
Dzida1.88
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog55% won 44 of 80
Down 0–1, comes back39% 17 of 44
Down 0–2, comes back11% 2 of 18
Vitasek1.82
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite48% won 57 of 120
Up 2–0, closes it100% 32 of 32
Up 1–0, closes it76% 44 of 58
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeDzida1wins
AwayVitasek1wins
Level at 1–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricDzidaVitasekD − VBasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set02−2of 2Avg pointsper match34.036.0−2.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDzidaVitasekBasisWin rate · lifetime138 / 260 vs 321 / 67553.1%47.6%138 / 260 vs 321 / 675Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.037.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
VitasekDzida 1.88/Vitasek 1.82
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
—
no pick shipped on this market
What happened
3–2
Dzida won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LAug 30 · 07:15L. Dzida34991151D. Vitasek3611113113
L. Dzida10
LOct 10 · 15:45A. Kanak1.7311811113L. Dzida2.00811581WOct 10 · 15:15D. Vitasek1.611139111L. Dzida2.2081111133LOct 10 · 14:15L. Dzida2.25111113952E. Precek1.57871511113WOct 10 · 12:44E. Precek1.6749111172L. Dzida2.10111159113LOct 10 · 11:45L. Dzida1.61117101172E. Precek2.20811127113LOct 10 · 10:45L. Dzida1.80101360O. Bolcarovic1.911215113LOct 10 · 09:45L. Dzida1.507620T. Molin2.501111113LOct 7 · 13:19R. Benes1.501111113L. Dzida2.507750WOct 7 · 12:15L. Kantor2.00841641L. Dzida1.73111114113WOct 7 · 11:15L. Dzida1.9115911113T. Kindl1.801311491
D. Vitasek10
WOct 10 · 16:15E. Precek1.83761151D. Vitasek1.8311117113LOct 10 · 15:15D. Vitasek1.611139111L. Dzida2.2081111133LOct 10 · 13:45A. Kanak1.7311811153D. Vitasek2.007113131WOct 9 · 21:10K. Kleprlik1.61891181D. Vitasek2.2011118113WOct 9 · 20:10I. Heuman1.674101181D. Vitasek2.1011125113WOct 9 · 19:10D. Vitasek2.10311119113A. Kanak1.6711971192LOct 9 · 17:40K. Kleprlik1.73121011113D. Vitasek2.001012881WOct 7 · 21:15D. Vitasek1.4411117113D. Branny2.63691171LOct 7 · 19:45A. Kanak1.57671111113D. Vitasek2.2511119682WOct 7 · 19:15J. Przybyla1.914780D. Vitasek1.801111113
Upcoming Matches
L. Dzida
Nothing scheduled
D. Vitasek
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