TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Julius Didi vs Yurii Holovatiuk 1-3 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProA12 · Liberec
Played Oct 10Finished
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
411511113611––
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:38 and never touched: 60.8% is still 60.8%
Graded at full timeYurii Holovatiuk to win
60.8%
60.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
RightSent to Pro: Yurii Holovatiuk @ 1.53 · Won
How it is goingJulius Didi above · Yurii Holovatiuk below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 11-3
Set 4 · 6-11
Point 62 set 4, 6-11 · our read held Yurii Holovatiuk at 60.8%
62 points played in total.
H2H Julius Didi 1–2 Yurii Holovatiuk Julius Didi has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pick
Sealed 15:38Sent to Pro: Yurii Holovatiuk @ 1.53 · Won
60.8%Our read65.2%to break even at 1.533
short by 4.4pp65.2% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.533 they are the same number)
What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Holovatiuk
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
1-2 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Didi 1421 vs Holovatiuk 1483
Holovatiuk
Correct
both rated, 61 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Didi 20% vs Holovatiuk 80%
Holovatiuk
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Didi 40% vs Holovatiuk 70%
Holovatiuk
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Didi -2 · Holovatiuk +3
Holovatiuk
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent when this read was sealed. The pick sent to Pro came from a re-read before the serve.
Signal confidence: 61% · Slight lean (leans Holovatiuk) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Holovatiuk form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDidi 2.375 / Holovatiuk 1.533
Signal prob.39% / 61%
Edge (Holovatiuk)-4.4pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13269772
Didi2.38
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog44% won 90 of 206
Down 0–1, comes back19% 19 of 98
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 58
Holovatiuk1.53
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite68% won 90 of 132
Up 2–0, closes it97% 36 of 37
Up 1–0, closes it80% 57 of 71
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeDidi1wins
AwayHolovatiuk2wins
1 of 3 to a deciderHolovatiuk leads 2–1, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Didi2Holovatiuk1n = 3Didi took 2 of 3
S2Didi0Holovatiuk3n = 3Holovatiuk took 3 of 3
S3Didi1Holovatiuk2n = 3Holovatiuk took 2 of 3
S4
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home133%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away133%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away133%
These 3 meetings
MetricDidiHolovatiukD − HBasisWins12−1in 3 meetingsFirst set21+1of 3Avg pointsper match38.341.0−2.7per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDidiHolovatiukBasisWin rate · lifetime409 / 798 vs 344 / 69551.3%49.5%409 / 798 vs 344 / 695Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.837.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
HolovatiukDidi 2.38/Holovatiuk 1.53
Hit
What we said
60.8%
Holovatiuk · sealed before the serve
Sent to Pro: Yurii Holovatiuk @ 1.53 · Won
What happened
1–3
Holovatiuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LAug 16 · 17:30J. Didi5311942092Y. Holovatiuk598111118113
WAug 16 · 14:00J. Didi4211911113Y. Holovatiuk31411971
LAug 14 · 18:00J. Didi208750Y. Holovatiuk331111113
J. Didi10
LOct 10 · 15:30F. Briza1.731111113J. Didi2.003810LOct 10 · 14:00J. Didi2.108121071T. Kolenic1.67111012113WOct 9 · 21:03M. Stefek1.837890J. Didi1.831111113LOct 9 · 20:30M. Stefek2.10111197113J. Didi1.6789111182LOct 9 · 19:30J. Didi1.8081070R. Bartunek1.911112113LOct 9 · 18:30J. Kucharcik1.73113211113J. Didi2.0091111482WOct 8 · 17:30M. Fisera1.65115871J. Didi2.1061111113WOct 8 · 16:30J. Didi1.8011611113M. Stefek1.91711941LOct 8 · 15:00J. Didi1.675240M. Fisera2.101111113WOct 8 · 14:00D. Barton2.508114121J. Didi1.5011911143
Y. Holovatiuk10
WOct 10 · 15:00T. Kolenic2.7541070Y. Holovatiuk1.401112113WOct 10 · 14:30Y. Holovatiuk1.401171110123F. Briza2.75911912102WOct 9 · 20:58Y. Holovatiuk1.7312411113K. Novak2.001011961LOct 9 · 20:30Y. Holovatiuk2.38114751J. Dedek1.5391111113WOct 9 · 19:00Y. Holovatiuk1.44118114113A. Svoboda2.6361181152WOct 9 · 18:00K. Novak1.91611971Y. Holovatiuk1.8011911113WOct 8 · 21:00L. Krok1.53121111742Y. Holovatiuk2.38147811113LOct 8 · 20:00Y. Holovatiuk2.50111111792T. Dousa1.50139911113LOct 8 · 19:30L. Krok1.509121011123Y. Holovatiuk2.501110127102WOct 8 · 18:00Y. Holovatiuk2.001211114113J. Prokupek1.7314781182
Upcoming Matches
J. Didi
Y. Holovatiuk
Oct 10 · 22:30Y. Holovatiuk1.50L. Babicka2.50—Oct 11 · 00:00Y. Holovatiuk2.50A. Mikuska1.50—Oct 11 · 01:00Y. Holovatiuk2.20F. Jungman1.61—Oct 11 · 02:00Y. Holovatiuk1.57O. Kucirek2.25—Oct 11 · 18:00Y. Holovatiuk1.50T. Kolenic2.45—Oct 11 · 19:30Y. Holovatiuk1.45F. Briza2.60—Oct 11 · 20:00Y. Holovatiuk1.50A. Svoboda2.50—
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