TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Jan Kucharcik vs Julius Didi 3-2 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProA12 · Liberec
Played Oct 9Finished
Jan Kucharcik
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
119311211114118
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:59 and never touched: 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJan Kucharcik to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingJan Kucharcik above · Julius Didi below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 3-11
Set 3 · 2-11
Set 4 · 11-4
Set 5 · 11-8
Point 81 set 5, 11-8 · our read held Jan Kucharcik at 54.0%
81 points played in total.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 17:5954.0%Our read57.9%to break even at 1.727
short by 3.9pp57.9% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.727 they are the same number)
What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Kucharcik
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Kucharcik 1581 vs Didi 1444
Kucharcik
Correct
both rated, 136 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kucharcik 60% vs Didi 80%
Didi
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kucharcik 70% vs Didi 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kucharcik -1 · Didi +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% · Coin-flip (leans Kucharcik) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Didi form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKucharcik 1.727 / Didi 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Kucharcik)-3.9pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13264593
Kucharcik1.73
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 12 days ago (Sep 27) · back after a break
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite75% won 9 of 12
Up 2–0, closes it100% 6 of 6
Up 1–0, closes it100% 6 of 6
Didi2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 1 day ago (Oct 08)
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog44% won 92 of 207
Down 0–1, comes back20% 20 of 98
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 58
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands: it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricKucharcikDidiBasisWin rate · lifetime12 / 16 vs 411 / 79675%51.6%12 / 16 vs 411 / 796Avg sets wonper match2.52.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.837.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
KucharcikKucharcik 1.73/Didi 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Kucharcik · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Kucharcik won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together: one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
J. Kucharcik10
WOct 9 · 20:00R. Bartunek1.83105110J. Kucharcik1.831211133WOct 9 · 19:00M. Stefek2.38114941J. Kucharcik1.5391111113LSep 27 · 13:30J. Kucharcik1.4471151192M. Placek2.63115117113WSep 27 · 12:30L. Malek1.731178121J. Kucharcik2.0081111143WSep 27 · 11:30J. Kucharcik2.101111113M. Placek1.677590LSep 27 · 10:30J. Steffan1.67713711113J. Kucharcik2.10111111782WSep 12 · 13:30M. Tacinec1.83811111192J. Kucharcik1.83111388113LSep 12 · 12:00M. Tacinec2.501111123J. Kucharcik1.5099100WSep 12 · 11:00M. Barta4.33910111192J. Kucharcik1.20111253113WSep 12 · 10:30J. Kucharcik1.22811518113L. Havel4.00119111662
J. Didi10
LOct 9 · 19:30J. Didi1.8081070R. Bartunek1.911112113WOct 8 · 17:30M. Fisera1.65115871J. Didi2.1061111113WOct 8 · 16:30J. Didi1.8011611113M. Stefek1.91711941LOct 8 · 15:00J. Didi1.675240M. Fisera2.101111113WOct 8 · 14:00D. Barton2.508114121J. Didi1.5011911143WOct 7 · 13:17J. Didi2.5012711123T. Nohejl1.5010117101LOct 7 · 12:30T. Nohejl2.63691111113J. Didi1.4411116972LOct 7 · 11:30J. Didi2.7551161282L. Malek1.401191110113WOct 7 · 10:30M. Fisera1.91581281J. Didi1.80111110113LOct 7 · 08:58J. Didi1.8091111882J. Steffan1.91116711113
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