TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Martin Stefek vs Jan Kucharcik 1-3 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProA12 · Liberec
Played Oct 9Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
119411911411––
Jan Kucharcik
Away
1.53
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:46 and never touched: 60.8% is still 60.8%
Graded at full timeJan Kucharcik to win
60.8%
60.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingMartin Stefek above · Jan Kucharcik below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 4-11
Point 70 set 4, 4-11 · our read held Jan Kucharcik at 60.8%
70 points played in total.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:4660.8%Our read65.2%to break even at 1.533
short by 4.4pp65.2% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.533 they are the same number)
What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Kucharcik
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Stefek 1424 vs Kucharcik 1581
Kucharcik
Correct
both rated, 157 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Stefek 40% vs Kucharcik 60%
Kucharcik
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Stefek 50% vs Kucharcik 70%
Kucharcik
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Stefek -1 · Kucharcik -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% · Slight lean (leans Kucharcik) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStefek 2.375 / Kucharcik 1.533
Signal prob.39% / 61%
Edge (Kucharcik)-4.4pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13264051
Stefek2.38
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog43% won 184 of 427
Down 0–1, comes back22% 51 of 233
Down 0–2, comes back8% 10 of 134
Kucharcik1.53
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 12 days ago (Sep 27) · back after a break
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite75% won 9 of 12
Up 2–0, closes it100% 6 of 6
Up 1–0, closes it100% 6 of 6
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands: it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricStefekKucharcikBasisWin rate · lifetime633 / 1303 vs 12 / 1648.6%75%633 / 1303 vs 12 / 16Avg sets wonper match2.02.5per matchAvg pointsper match37.239.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
KucharcikStefek 2.38/Kucharcik 1.53
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
60.8%
Kucharcik · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Kucharcik won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together: one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
M. Stefek10
LOct 9 · 18:00R. Bartunek1.5091311113M. Stefek2.501111961WOct 8 · 16:59D. Barton1.366990M. Stefek3.001111113LOct 8 · 16:30J. Didi1.8011611113M. Stefek1.91711941LOct 8 · 15:30M. Stefek2.638860D. Barton1.441111113WOct 8 · 14:30M. Fisera1.401458101M. Stefek2.75121111123WOct 8 · 13:30A. Svoboda1.48119611142M. Stefek2.45511115163LOct 8 · 12:00A. Svoboda1.44911811113M. Stefek2.6311911692WOct 8 · 11:00R. Hasmanda2.008121051M. Stefek1.73111012113LOct 8 · 10:30M. Stefek2.2571131162V. Dolezal1.57113116113WOct 6 · 21:30M. Stefek1.651111113T. Regner2.108880
J. Kucharcik10
WOct 9 · 20:00R. Bartunek1.83105110J. Kucharcik1.831211133WOct 9 · 18:30J. Kucharcik1.73113211113J. Didi2.0091111482LSep 27 · 13:30J. Kucharcik1.4471151192M. Placek2.63115117113WSep 27 · 12:30L. Malek1.731178121J. Kucharcik2.0081111143WSep 27 · 11:30J. Kucharcik2.101111113M. Placek1.677590LSep 27 · 10:30J. Steffan1.67713711113J. Kucharcik2.10111111782WSep 12 · 13:30M. Tacinec1.83811111192J. Kucharcik1.83111388113LSep 12 · 12:00M. Tacinec2.501111123J. Kucharcik1.5099100WSep 12 · 11:00M. Barta4.33910111192J. Kucharcik1.20111253113WSep 12 · 10:30J. Kucharcik1.22811518113L. Havel4.00119111662
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