TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13120287
Played Sep 12Finished
Martin Tacinec
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
8111113118118911
Jan Kucharcik
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
9–1Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingMartin Tacinec above · Jan Kucharcik below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-13
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 11-8
Set 5 · 6-8
Point 95 set 5, 6-8
95 points drawn · the score is 6 ahead; the rest land in a moment.
H2H Martin Tacinec 1–0 Jan Kucharcik Jan Kucharcik has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 2h before this match
Tacinec beat Kucharcik 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kucharcik)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kucharcik form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTacinec 1.83 / Kucharcik 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Kucharcik)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13120287
Tacinec1.83
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Kucharcik1.83
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeTacinec1wins
AwayKucharcik0wins
Tacinec leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricTacinecKucharcikT − KBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match34.028.0+6.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTacinecKucharcikBasisWin rate · lifetime158 / 291 vs 9 / 1154.3%81.8%158 / 291 vs 9 / 11Avg sets wonper match2.12.5per matchAvg pointsper match37.637.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KucharcikTacinec 1.83/Kucharcik 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Kucharcik · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Kucharcik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WSep 12 · 12:00M. Tacinec341111123J. Kucharcik2899100
M. Tacinec10
WSep 12 · 12:00M. Tacinec2.501111123J. Kucharcik1.5099100LSep 12 · 11:30L. Havel3.00811118113M. Tacinec1.3611621132WSep 12 · 10:00M. Tacinec1.441111113M. Barta2.631540LAug 30 · 13:29M. Tacinec1.806111310102J. Briska1.911161112123WAug 30 · 12:30L. Havel2.757131161M. Tacinec1.4011159113WAug 30 · 11:30M. Tacinec1.731181015113J. Briska2.00811121362WAug 30 · 10:30D. Priesol1.5361020M. Tacinec2.381112113WAug 22 · 17:30L. Sulava2.10111191192M. Tacinec1.67913113113WAug 22 · 16:00M. Tacinec1.6711911113L. Sulava2.10511571LAug 22 · 15:30L. Havel3.0011511113M. Tacinec1.36911741
J. Kucharcik10
LSep 12 · 12:00M. Tacinec2.501111123J. Kucharcik1.5099100WSep 12 · 11:00M. Barta4.33910111192J. Kucharcik1.20111253113WSep 12 · 10:30J. Kucharcik1.22811518113L. Havel4.00119111662WJul 18 · 13:30J. Kucharcik1.22911913113L. Havel3.65117111182WJul 18 · 12:00J. Kucharcik1.571111113M. Barta2.257170WJul 18 · 11:30Z. Drabek1.9110990J. Kucharcik1.801211113WJul 18 · 10:00J. Kucharcik1.501111123L. Havel2.5083100WJul 6 · 13:00J. Kucharcik1.361113113M. Syroha3.0071160WJul 6 · 12:00T. Nohejl2.1011611992J. Kucharcik1.67711711113WJul 6 · 11:00M. Syroha2.1010550J. Kucharcik1.671211113
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