TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Julius Didi vs Milan Fisera 0-3 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Oct 8Finished
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
511211411––––
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:55 and never touched: 57.0% is still 57.0%
Graded at full timeJulius Didi to win
57.0%
57.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingJulius Didi above · Milan Fisera below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 2-11
Set 3 · 4-11
Point 44 set 3, 4-11 · our read held Julius Didi at 57.0%
44 points played in total.
H2H Julius Didi 3–2 Milan Fisera Milan Fisera has won 2 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:5557.0%Our read60.0%to break even at 1.666
short by 3.0pp60.0% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.666 they are the same number)
What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Didi
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
3-2 in 5
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Didi 1435 vs Fisera 1416
Didi
Wrong
both rated, 19 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Didi 60% vs Fisera 40%
Didi
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Didi 40% vs Fisera 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Didi +2 · Fisera -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% · Slight lean (leans Didi) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDidi 1.666 / Fisera 2.10
Signal prob.57% / 43%
Edge (Didi)-3.0pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13258641
Didi1.67
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite58% won 85 of 147
Up 2–0, closes it88% 42 of 48
Up 1–0, closes it73% 63 of 86
Fisera2.10
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog32% won 17 of 54
Down 0–1, comes back21% 7 of 33
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 21
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeDidi3wins
AwayFisera2wins
2 of 5 to a deciderDidi leads 3–2, and 2 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDidi60%3 of 5
AwayFiseran = 0, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Didi5Fisera0n = 5Didi took 5 of 5
S2Didi3Fisera2n = 5Didi took 3 of 5
S3Didi2Fisera3n = 5Fisera took 3 of 5
S4Didi1Fisera3n = 4Fisera took 3 of 4
S5
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home120%
3–1Four sets, home120%
3–2Decider, home120%
2–3Decider, away120%
1–3Four sets, away120%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 5 meetings
MetricDidiFiseraD − FBasisWins32+1in 5 meetingsFirst set50+5of 5Avg pointsper match41.437.4+4.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDidiFiseraBasisWin rate · lifetime409 / 793 vs 148 / 33051.6%44.9%409 / 793 vs 148 / 330Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.937.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
DidiDidi 1.67/Fisera 2.10
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
57%
Didi · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Fisera won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
WOct 7 · 10:30J. Didi43111110113M. Fisera33581281
WSep 26 · 21:30J. Didi331111113M. Fisera238690
LSep 26 · 19:30J. Didi50121191082M. Fisera491051112113
WAug 10 · 20:00J. Didi511110118113M. Fisera4351271182
LAug 8 · 19:00J. Didi30119461M. Fisera3961111113
J. Didi10
WOct 8 · 14:00D. Barton2.508114121J. Didi1.5011911143WOct 7 · 13:17J. Didi2.5012711123T. Nohejl1.5010117101LOct 7 · 12:30T. Nohejl2.63691111113J. Didi1.4411116972LOct 7 · 11:30J. Didi2.7551161282L. Malek1.401191110113WOct 7 · 10:30M. Fisera1.91581281J. Didi1.80111110113LOct 7 · 08:58J. Didi1.8091111882J. Steffan1.91116711113WOct 7 · 08:30J. Steffan1.61119991J. Didi2.2031111113LOct 7 · 07:30J. Didi2.2011911772J. Jnr1.61911411113LOct 7 · 06:30T. Andrle1.67137115113J. Didi2.10111181162LOct 5 · 09:08J. Didi2.1086100T. Andrle1.671111123
M. Fisera10
LOct 8 · 14:30M. Fisera1.401458101M. Stefek2.75121111123LOct 7 · 13:30L. Malek1.915101113113M. Fisera1.80111251192WOct 7 · 12:00L. Malek1.677811111M. Fisera2.1011115133WOct 7 · 11:00T. Nohejl2.201413101M. Fisera1.61111111123LOct 7 · 10:30M. Fisera1.91581281J. Didi1.80111110113WOct 2 · 13:45V. Postelt1.5741491172M. Fisera2.251112116113LOct 2 · 12:30L. Malek1.731011711113M. Fisera2.0012511852LOct 2 · 11:30M. Fisera2.50101111852M. Kolar1.50125511113LOct 2 · 10:30V. Postelt1.25911212113M. Fisera3.75118111072LSep 26 · 21:30M. Fisera1.678690J. Didi2.101111113
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