TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Tomas Nohejl vs Julius Didi 3-2 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Oct 7Finished
Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
611911116119117
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:28 and never touched: 54.9% is still 54.9%
Graded at full timeTomas Nohejl to win
54.9%
54.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingTomas Nohejl above · Julius Didi below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 11-9
Set 5 · 11-7
Point 92 set 5, 11-7 · our read held Tomas Nohejl at 54.9%
92 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Nohejl 4–2 Julius Didi Julius Didi has won 2 of their 6 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:2854.9%Our read38.1%to break even at 2.625
clears by 16.8pp38.1% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 2.625 they are the same number)
What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Didi
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
4-2 in 6
Nohejl
Correct
gap of 2 in 6, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Nohejl 1414 vs Didi 1423
Didi
Wrong
both rated, 9 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Nohejl 40% vs Didi 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Nohejl 20% vs Didi 40%
Didi
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Nohejl -2 · Didi -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% · Coin-flip (leans Nohejl) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Didi form (40%) is below what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsNohejl 2.625 / Didi 1.444
Signal prob.55% / 45%
Edge (Nohejl)+16.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13254212
Nohejl2.63
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog50% won 15 of 30
Down 0–1, comes back33% 7 of 21
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 7
Didi1.44
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite58% won 84 of 144
Up 2–0, closes it89% 41 of 46
Up 1–0, closes it74% 62 of 84
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeNohejl4wins
AwayDidi2wins
1 of 6 to a deciderNohejl leads 4–2, and 1 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeNohejl100%3 of 3
AwayDidi66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Nohejl3Didi3n = 6split evenly
S2Nohejl3Didi3n = 6split evenly
S3Nohejl3Didi3n = 6split evenly
S4Nohejl3Didi1n = 4Nohejl took 3 of 4
S5
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home117%
3–1Four sets, home233%
3–2Decider, home117%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away117%
0–3Straight, away117%
These 6 meetings
MetricNohejlDidiN − DBasisWins42+2in 6 meetingsFirst set330of 6Avg pointsper match35.234.3+0.9per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricNohejlDidiBasisWin rate · lifetime120 / 220 vs 407 / 79054.6%51.5%120 / 220 vs 407 / 790Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.737.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
NohejlNohejl 2.63/Didi 1.44
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.9%
Nohejl · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Nohejl won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
WJun 28 · 15:00T. Nohejl331111113J. Didi218490
WJun 25 · 12:00T. Nohejl4011711113J. Didi34711791
LMay 17 · 07:30T. Nohejl2011360J. Didi351311113
WMar 23 · 09:00T. Nohejl45571111113J. Didi4311115792
LFeb 26 · 09:00T. Nohejl29911361J. Didi4011711113
WFeb 23 · 13:00T. Nohejl44111111113J. Didi33591361
T. Nohejl10
LOct 7 · 13:17J. Didi2.5012711123T. Nohejl1.5010117101LOct 7 · 11:00T. Nohejl2.201413101M. Fisera1.61111111123LOct 7 · 10:00L. Malek1.611111113T. Nohejl2.205690WOct 5 · 13:00T. Nohejl2.00712711113V. Dolezal1.73111011892LOct 5 · 12:00A. Svoboda1.531211113T. Nohejl2.3810770WOct 5 · 11:00M. Svedik1.8311991162T. Nohejl1.83711117113LOct 5 · 10:30T. Nohejl1.6711891182V. Dolezal2.10311118113LOct 5 · 08:58V. Dolezal1.91111011113T. Nohejl1.80312781LOct 5 · 08:00T. Nohejl2.2051030A. Svoboda1.611112113LOct 5 · 07:30V. Dolezal2.008111111113T. Nohejl1.7311613362
J. Didi10
WOct 7 · 13:17J. Didi2.5012711123T. Nohejl1.5010117101LOct 7 · 11:30J. Didi2.7551161282L. Malek1.401191110113WOct 7 · 10:30M. Fisera1.91581281J. Didi1.80111110113LOct 7 · 08:58J. Didi1.8091111882J. Steffan1.91116711113WOct 7 · 08:30J. Steffan1.61119991J. Didi2.2031111113LOct 7 · 07:30J. Didi2.2011911772J. Jnr1.61911411113LOct 7 · 06:30T. Andrle1.67137115113J. Didi2.10111181162LOct 5 · 09:08J. Didi2.1086100T. Andrle1.671111123WOct 5 · 08:30J. Didi1.8391111133M. Smrcek1.831168111LOct 5 · 07:00J. Didi1.9110780J. Steffan1.801211113
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