TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Julius Didi vs Milan Smrcek 3-1 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Oct 5Finished
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
9111161181311––
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:26 and never touched: 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMilan Smrcek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingJulius Didi above · Milan Smrcek below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 13-11
Point 80 set 4, 13-11 · our read held Milan Smrcek at 54.0%
80 points played in total.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:2654.0%Our read54.6%to break even at 1.833
short by 0.6pp54.6% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.833 they are the same number)
What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Smrcek
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Didi 1446 vs Smrcek 1415
Didi
Correct
both rated, 31 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Didi 20% vs Smrcek 60%
Smrcek
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Didi 40% vs Smrcek 60%
Smrcek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Didi -1 · Smrcek +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% · Coin-flip (leans Smrcek) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Didi form (20%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDidi 1.833 / Smrcek 1.833
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Smrcek)-0.6pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13243608
Didi1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Smrcek1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands: it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricDidiSmrcekBasisWin rate · lifetime404 / 782 vs 248 / 50751.7%48.9%404 / 782 vs 248 / 507Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.837.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
SmrcekDidi 1.83/Smrcek 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Smrcek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Didi won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together: one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
J. Didi10
LOct 5 · 09:08J. Didi2.1086100T. Andrle1.671111123LOct 5 · 07:00J. Didi1.9110780J. Steffan1.801211113WOct 5 · 06:00T. Andrle1.8051181172J. Didi1.91117118113LOct 4 · 02:00J. Steffan1.8311117163J. Didi1.839911141LOct 4 · 00:30J. Didi2.0051090M. Placek1.731112113LOct 3 · 23:00J. Didi1.7391111852O. Kucirek2.00114811113WOct 3 · 22:00T. Andrle1.57141111972J. Didi2.25167911113LOct 3 · 09:30V. Nohejl1.707111211113J. Didi2.0211614882WOct 3 · 08:30J. Didi1.88111011113J. Steffan1.82812971LOct 3 · 07:00J. Didi1.73771151V. Nohejl2.0011116113
M. Smrcek10
LOct 5 · 09:30M. Smrcek1.534990J. Steffan2.381111113WOct 5 · 07:30M. Smrcek1.83119117113T. Andrle1.8371151182WOct 5 · 06:30J. Steffan2.107950M. Smrcek1.671111113LOct 4 · 02:58M. Smrcek1.367114111V. Dolezal3.0011011133WOct 4 · 02:30M. Smrcek1.501112119113M. Stefek2.5091411162LOct 4 · 01:30R. Bartunek2.631111113M. Smrcek1.446970WOct 4 · 00:00M. Smrcek1.441111113V. Dolezal2.638740WOct 3 · 23:00L. Sulava2.50911781M. Smrcek1.5011811113LSep 17 · 03:30P. Picek1.7311311133M. Smrcek2.007113111LSep 17 · 02:00P. Picek1.80611117113M. Smrcek1.9111871152
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