TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Julius Didi vs Jan Steffan 0-3 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Oct 5Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
1012711811––––
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 06:53 and never touched: 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJan Steffan to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingJulius Didi above · Jan Steffan below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Point 59 set 3, 8-11 · our read held Jan Steffan at 54.0%
59 points played in total.
H2H Julius Didi 2–4 Jan Steffan Julius Didi has won 2 of their 6 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 06:5354.0%Our read55.6%to break even at 1.80
short by 1.6pp55.6% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.80 they are the same number)
What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Steffan
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
2-4 in 6
Steffan
Correct
gap of 2 in 6, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Didi 1446 vs Steffan 1430
Didi
Wrong
both rated, 16 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Didi 40% vs Steffan 60%
Steffan
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Didi 50% vs Steffan 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Didi +1 · Steffan -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% · Coin-flip (leans Steffan) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Didi form (40%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDidi 1.909 / Steffan 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Steffan)-1.6pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13243662
Didi1.91
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog45% won 90 of 202
Down 0–1, comes back20% 19 of 95
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 56
Steffan1.80
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite61% won 119 of 195
Up 2–0, closes it90% 60 of 67
Up 1–0, closes it80% 92 of 115
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeDidi2wins
AwaySteffan4wins
2 of 6 to a deciderSteffan leads 4–2, and 2 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDidi50%2 of 4
AwaySteffann = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Didi4Steffan2n = 6Didi took 4 of 6
S2Didi0Steffan6n = 6Steffan took 6 of 6
S3Didi3Steffan3n = 6split evenly
S4Didi2Steffan3n = 5Steffan took 3 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home117%
3–2Decider, home117%
2–3Decider, away117%
1–3Four sets, away233%
0–3Straight, away117%
These 6 meetings
MetricDidiSteffanD − SBasisWins24−2in 6 meetingsFirst set42+2of 6Avg pointsper match39.341.5−2.2per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDidiSteffanBasisWin rate · lifetime404 / 782 vs 463 / 97251.7%47.6%404 / 782 vs 463 / 972Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.837.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
SteffanDidi 1.91/Steffan 1.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Steffan · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Steffan won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
LOct 5 · 07:00J. Didi2510780J. Steffan341211113
LOct 4 · 02:00J. Didi439911141J. Steffan4511117163
WOct 3 · 08:30J. Didi43111011113J. Steffan36812971
WSep 9 · 16:00J. Didi50119118113J. Steffan4481181162
LAug 31 · 21:30J. Didi29125661J. Steffan43101111113
LAug 31 · 19:30J. Didi46111071172J. Steffan47512118113
J. Didi10
WOct 5 · 06:00T. Andrle1.8051181172J. Didi1.91117118113LOct 4 · 02:00J. Steffan1.8311117163J. Didi1.839911141LOct 4 · 00:30J. Didi2.0051090M. Placek1.731112113LOct 3 · 23:00J. Didi1.7391111852O. Kucirek2.00114811113WOct 3 · 22:00T. Andrle1.57141111972J. Didi2.25167911113LOct 3 · 09:30V. Nohejl1.707111211113J. Didi2.0211614882WOct 3 · 08:30J. Didi1.88111011113J. Steffan1.82812971LOct 3 · 07:00J. Didi1.73771151V. Nohejl2.0011116113WOct 3 · 06:00O. Fejtek1.57114751J. Didi2.2571111113WOct 1 · 03:00J. Didi2.101311113R. Bartunek1.6711780
J. Steffan10
LOct 5 · 06:30J. Steffan2.107950M. Smrcek1.671111113LOct 4 · 03:30M. Placek1.35861115113J. Steffan2.90111181362WOct 4 · 02:00J. Steffan1.8311117163J. Didi1.839911141WOct 4 · 01:00J. Steffan1.6711118113T. Andrle2.10881191WOct 4 · 00:00O. Kucirek2.10101191162J. Steffan1.67127114113LOct 3 · 22:30M. Placek1.401111113J. Steffan2.757930LOct 3 · 08:59O. Fejtek1.801111113J. Steffan1.917760LOct 3 · 08:30J. Didi1.88111011113J. Steffan1.82812971WOct 3 · 07:30J. Steffan1.73117118123O. Fejtek2.00611811102LOct 3 · 06:28V. Nohejl1.8311811113J. Steffan1.83911271
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.