TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Julius Didi vs Marek Placek 0-3 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Oct 4Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
5111012911––––
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 00:29 and never touched: 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMarek Placek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingJulius Didi above · Marek Placek below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 9-11
Point 58 set 3, 9-11 · our read held Marek Placek at 54.0%
58 points played in total.
H2H Julius Didi 0–1 Marek Placek Julius Didi has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 00:2954.0%Our read57.9%to break even at 1.727
short by 3.9pp57.9% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.727 they are the same number)
What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Placek
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Didi 1464 vs Placek 1524
Placek
Correct
both rated, 60 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Didi 40% vs Placek 80%
Placek
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Didi 50% vs Placek 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Didi -1 · Placek +3
Placek
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% · Coin-flip (leans Placek) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Placek form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDidi 2.00 / Placek 1.727
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Placek)-3.9pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13233800
Didi2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog44% won 88 of 199
Down 0–1, comes back19% 18 of 94
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 56
Placek1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite61% won 48 of 79
Up 2–0, closes it96% 25 of 26
Up 1–0, closes it83% 39 of 47
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeDidi0wins
AwayPlacek1wins
Placek leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away1
This 1 meeting
MetricDidiPlacekD − PBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match24.034.0−10.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDidiPlacekBasisWin rate · lifetime406 / 783 vs 215 / 40951.9%52.6%406 / 783 vs 215 / 409Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.838.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
PlacekDidi 2.00/Placek 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Placek · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Placek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LOct 4 · 00:30J. Didi2451090M. Placek341112113
J. Didi10
LOct 3 · 23:00J. Didi1.7391111852O. Kucirek2.00114811113WOct 3 · 22:00T. Andrle1.57141111972J. Didi2.25167911113LOct 3 · 09:30V. Nohejl1.707111211113J. Didi2.0211614882WOct 3 · 08:30J. Didi1.88111011113J. Steffan1.82812971LOct 3 · 07:00J. Didi1.73771151V. Nohejl2.0011116113WOct 3 · 06:00O. Fejtek1.57114751J. Didi2.2571111113WOct 1 · 03:00J. Didi2.101311113R. Bartunek1.6711780LOct 1 · 02:30J. Didi1.6744121172O. Fejtek2.101111108113WOct 1 · 01:30A. Svoboda2.20561161J. Didi1.6111119113LOct 1 · 00:00J. Didi1.673119101V. Kosar2.1011811123
M. Placek10
LOct 4 · 01:30M. Placek1.61121140O. Kucirek2.201413113WOct 3 · 23:30T. Andrle1.805111271M. Placek1.9111314113WOct 3 · 22:30M. Placek1.401111113J. Steffan2.757930WOct 2 · 03:00P. Picek2.758560M. Placek1.401111113LOct 2 · 02:30M. Placek1.57711641O. Kucirek2.2511311113WOct 2 · 01:30J. Steffan2.63811891M. Placek1.4411711113LOct 2 · 00:00M. Placek1.36115871P. Picek3.0091111113LOct 1 · 23:00K. Darin1.67148117113M. Placek2.10121191142LSep 30 · 03:28M. Placek1.40511991J. Steffan2.7511911113WSep 30 · 02:30M. Placek1.441111113J. Steffan2.634760
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