TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Marek Placek vs Jan Steffan 3-0 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 30Finished
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
114117116––––
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 02:18 and never touched: 66.1% is still 66.1%
Graded at full timeMarek Placek to win
66.1%
66.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingMarek Placek above · Jan Steffan below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-6
Point 50 set 3, 11-6 · our read held Marek Placek at 66.1%
50 points played in total.
H2H Marek Placek 19–7 Jan Steffan Jan Steffan has won 7 of their 26 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 02:18What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Placek
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
19-7 in 26
Placek
Correct
gap of 12 in 26, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Placek 1501 vs Steffan 1490
Placek
Correct
both rated, 11 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Placek 80% vs Steffan 60%
Placek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Placek 70% vs Steffan 70%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Placek +2 · Steffan +3
Steffan
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% · Clear lean (leans Placek) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Steffan form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPlacek 1.44 / Steffan 2.63
Signal prob.66% / 34%
Edge (Placek)+1.6pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13211216
Placek1.44
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite61% won 46 of 76
Up 2–0, closes it92% 23 of 25
Up 1–0, closes it82% 36 of 44
Steffan2.63
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog39% won 86 of 223
Down 0–1, comes back18% 20 of 114
Down 0–2, comes back3% 2 of 66
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePlacek5wins
AwaySteffan5wins
5 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePlacek75%3 of 4
AwaySteffan66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Placek4Steffan6n = 10Steffan took 6 of 10
S2Placek5Steffan5n = 10split evenly
S3Placek5Steffan5n = 10split evenly
S4Placek7Steffan2n = 9Placek took 7 of 9
S5Placek2Steffan3n = 5Steffan took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricPlacekSteffanP − SBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match40.337.4+2.9per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPlacekSteffanBasisWin rate · lifetime210 / 403 vs 462 / 96152.1%48.1%210 / 403 vs 462 / 961Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.437.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
PlacekPlacek 1.44/Steffan 2.63
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
66.1%
Placek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Placek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 27 · 12:00M. Placek44115512113J. Steffan41711111022
LSep 8 · 00:00M. Placek29811371J. Steffan3711411113
LMay 22 · 23:00M. Placek47711511132J. Steffan44113114153
WMar 23 · 01:00M. Placek351113113J. Steffan2891180
WFeb 10 · 04:30M. Placek3711411113J. Steffan33911491
WFeb 10 · 02:00M. Placek3851111113J. Steffan30114961
LDec 2 · 14:00M. Placek4511871182J. Steffan42611113113
LDec 2 · 11:00M. Placek341061171J. Steffan3712113113
LOct 6 · 22:00M. Placek4586111192J. Steffan44111147113
WOct 1 · 00:30M. Placek49711911113J. Steffan3811611912
M. Placek10
LSep 30 · 03:28M. Placek1.40511991J. Steffan2.7511911113WSep 30 · 01:30P. Picek2.75951171M. Placek1.4011115113WSep 30 · 00:00M. Placek2.00111112133O. Fejtek1.734914111LSep 29 · 23:00R. Bartunek2.20111011123M. Placek1.616129101WSep 27 · 13:30J. Kucharcik1.4471151192M. Placek2.63115117113WSep 27 · 12:00M. Placek1.53115512113J. Steffan2.38711111022LSep 27 · 11:30J. Kucharcik2.101111113M. Placek1.677590WSep 27 · 10:00M. Placek1.831111113L. Malek1.831990LSep 27 · 09:29M. Placek1.531411871F. Briza2.3816911113WSep 27 · 08:00M. Placek1.44711116113D. Horak2.6311691172
J. Steffan10
WSep 30 · 03:28M. Placek1.40511991J. Steffan2.7511911113WSep 30 · 01:00O. Fejtek1.831011591J. Steffan1.8312911113WSep 29 · 23:30J. Steffan1.91412124113P. Picek1.801110101192WSep 29 · 22:00J. Steffan1.831171111113R. Bartunek1.8391113352LSep 27 · 13:00J. Steffan1.5791111282L. Malek2.25115711113LSep 27 · 12:00M. Placek1.53115512113J. Steffan2.38711111022LSep 27 · 11:00L. Malek2.75117711113J. Steffan1.4091111562WSep 27 · 10:30J. Steffan1.67713711113J. Kucharcik2.10111111782WSep 25 · 13:30K. Darin1.6361211992J. Steffan2.151110511113WSep 25 · 12:30J. Steffan1.8011118133A. Svoboda1.916711111
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