TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Julius Didi vs Radek Bartunek 0-3 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProA12 · Liberec
Played Oct 9Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
8111012711––––
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:03 and never touched: 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeRadek Bartunek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingJulius Didi above · Radek Bartunek below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 7-11
Point 59 set 3, 7-11 · our read held Radek Bartunek at 54.0%
59 points played in total.
H2H Julius Didi 2–5 Radek Bartunek Julius Didi has won 2 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:0354.0%Our read52.4%to break even at 1.909
clears by 1.6pp52.4% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.909 they are the same number)
What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Didi
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
2-5 in 7
Bartunek
Correct
gap of 3 in 7, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Didi 1438 vs Bartunek 1441
Bartunek
Correct
both rated, 4 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Didi 60% vs Bartunek 40%
Didi
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Didi 50% vs Bartunek 70%
Bartunek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Didi -1 · Bartunek +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% · Coin-flip (leans Bartunek) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Bartunek form (40%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDidi 1.80 / Bartunek 1.909
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Bartunek)+1.6pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13264581
Didi1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite58% won 87 of 150
Up 2–0, closes it88% 42 of 48
Up 1–0, closes it74% 65 of 88
Bartunek1.91
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog34% won 40 of 118
Down 0–1, comes back19% 14 of 72
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 48
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeDidi2wins
AwayBartunek5wins
1 of 7 to a deciderBartunek leads 5–2, and 1 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDidi50%2 of 4
AwayBartunek100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Didi4Bartunek3n = 7Didi took 4 of 7
S2Didi3Bartunek4n = 7Bartunek took 4 of 7
S3Didi3Bartunek4n = 7Bartunek took 4 of 7
S4Didi1Bartunek3n = 4Bartunek took 3 of 4
S5
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home229%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away114%
1–3Four sets, away343%
0–3Straight, away114%
These 7 meetings
MetricDidiBartunekD − BBasisWins25−3in 7 meetingsFirst set43+1of 7Avg pointsper match33.137.1−4.0per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDidiBartunekBasisWin rate · lifetime411 / 797 vs 343 / 66051.6%52%411 / 797 vs 343 / 660Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.936.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
BartunekDidi 1.80/Bartunek 1.91
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Bartunek · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Bartunek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
WOct 1 · 03:00J. Didi351311113R. Bartunek2611780
WSep 30 · 23:00J. Didi361113123R. Bartunek28711100
LSep 1 · 00:00J. Didi1610420R. Bartunek341211113
LAug 21 · 23:30J. Didi25115361R. Bartunek3961111113
LAug 17 · 22:00J. Didi35891171R. Bartunek4211119113
LAug 13 · 01:00J. Didi31811391R. Bartunek4111811113
LAug 10 · 19:30J. Didi541110101672R. Bartunek501121214113
J. Didi10
LOct 9 · 18:30J. Kucharcik1.73113211113J. Didi2.0091111482WOct 8 · 17:30M. Fisera1.65115871J. Didi2.1061111113WOct 8 · 16:30J. Didi1.8011611113M. Stefek1.91711941LOct 8 · 15:00J. Didi1.675240M. Fisera2.101111113WOct 8 · 14:00D. Barton2.508114121J. Didi1.5011911143WOct 7 · 13:17J. Didi2.5012711123T. Nohejl1.5010117101LOct 7 · 12:30T. Nohejl2.63691111113J. Didi1.4411116972LOct 7 · 11:30J. Didi2.7551161282L. Malek1.401191110113WOct 7 · 10:30M. Fisera1.91581281J. Didi1.80111110113LOct 7 · 08:58J. Didi1.8091111882J. Steffan1.91116711113
R. Bartunek10
LOct 9 · 20:00R. Bartunek1.83105110J. Kucharcik1.831211133WOct 9 · 18:00R. Bartunek1.5091311113M. Stefek2.501111961WOct 9 · 02:00T. Andrle1.36116311112R. Bartunek3.00911116133LOct 9 · 00:30R. Bartunek3.253350P. Picek1.331111113LOct 8 · 23:00R. Bartunek1.911111851V. Kosar1.8071311113LOct 8 · 22:00M. Smrcek1.73117511113R. Bartunek2.0071111942WOct 6 · 03:30R. Bartunek1.401111113M. Stefek2.757870WOct 6 · 02:30T. Regner2.3887111172R. Bartunek1.53111169113WOct 6 · 01:00M. Stefek2.63119116122R. Bartunek1.44911811143WOct 5 · 23:30R. Bartunek1.531111113M. Necas2.386530
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