TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Yurii Holovatiuk vs Jaroslav Prokupek 3-2 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Oct 8Finished
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1214117118411118
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:53 and never touched: 54.5% is still 54.5%
Graded at full timeJaroslav Prokupek to win
54.5%
54.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingYurii Holovatiuk above · Jaroslav Prokupek below
Set 1 · 12-14
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 4-11
Set 5 · 11-8
Point 97 set 5, 11-8 · our read held Jaroslav Prokupek at 54.5%
97 points played in total.
H2H Yurii Holovatiuk 13–14 Jaroslav Prokupek Yurii Holovatiuk has won 13 of their 27 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 17:5354.5%Our read57.9%to break even at 1.727
short by 3.4pp57.9% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.727 they are the same number)
What took a side2 for · 0 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Prokupek
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
13-14 in 27
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Holovatiuk 1445 vs Prokupek 1501
Prokupek
Wrong
both rated, 56 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Holovatiuk 60% vs Prokupek 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Holovatiuk 40% vs Prokupek 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Holovatiuk +1 · Prokupek +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 4 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% · Coin-flip (leans Prokupek) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHolovatiuk 2.00 / Prokupek 1.727
Signal prob.46% / 55%
Edge (Prokupek)-3.4pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13258354
Holovatiuk2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 2 days ago (Oct 06)
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog36% won 59 of 164
Down 0–1, comes back18% 17 of 93
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 60
Prokupek1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite51% won 85 of 166
Up 2–0, closes it91% 50 of 55
Up 1–0, closes it73% 64 of 88
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHolovatiuk5wins
AwayProkupek5wins
5 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHolovatiuk75%3 of 4
AwayProkupek66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Holovatiuk4Prokupek6n = 10Prokupek took 6 of 10
S2Holovatiuk4Prokupek6n = 10Prokupek took 6 of 10
S3Holovatiuk5Prokupek5n = 10split evenly
S4Holovatiuk4Prokupek4n = 8split evenly
S5Holovatiuk3Prokupek2n = 5Holovatiuk took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricHolovatiukProkupekH − PBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match40.641.4−0.8per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHolovatiukProkupekBasisWin rate · lifetime343 / 693 vs 664 / 139449.5%47.6%343 / 693 vs 664 / 1394Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.637.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
ProkupekHolovatiuk 2.00/Prokupek 1.73
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54.5%
Prokupek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Holovatiuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 21 · 18:00Y. Holovatiuk46111375102J. Prokupek527111111123
LSep 15 · 20:30Y. Holovatiuk356117111J. Prokupek4411911133
LSep 14 · 18:00Y. Holovatiuk2651290J. Prokupek361114113
WSep 10 · 19:00Y. Holovatiuk45116116113J. Prokupek3961151162
WSep 5 · 22:00Y. Holovatiuk47111114113J. Prokupek341381211
WAug 24 · 00:30Y. Holovatiuk44111111113J. Prokupek33513691
WAug 22 · 11:30Y. Holovatiuk491241111113J. Prokupek46101151372
LMar 22 · 22:00Y. Holovatiuk43510111162J. Prokupek51111298113
WMar 22 · 19:30Y. Holovatiuk49811612123J. Prokupek451131110102
LMar 18 · 19:30Y. Holovatiuk2251070J. Prokupek341112113
Y. Holovatiuk10
WOct 6 · 17:30T. Dousa1.5369110Y. Holovatiuk2.381111133LOct 6 · 16:00Y. Holovatiuk2.38131412592T. Dousa1.5315121011113WOct 6 · 15:30F. Briza2.637111181Y. Holovatiuk1.4411139113WOct 6 · 14:00Y. Holovatiuk1.67101111113T. Kolenic2.10123491LOct 5 · 16:59T. Dousa1.504141111113Y. Holovatiuk2.5011168982LOct 5 · 16:00Y. Holovatiuk2.6361261252T. Dousa1.4411101110113LOct 5 · 15:30T. Kolenic2.381111113Y. Holovatiuk1.535770LOct 5 · 14:00Y. Holovatiuk2.38115941J. Dedek1.5391111113LOct 1 · 17:30J. Dedek1.50411611113Y. Holovatiuk2.5011711792WOct 1 · 16:00Y. Holovatiuk2.63911911113T. Dousa1.4411311752
J. Prokupek10
WOct 8 · 12:58J. Prokupek1.8011611113J. Dedek1.91611681LOct 8 · 12:30K. Darin1.9141111113J. Prokupek1.80115361LOct 8 · 11:30J. Prokupek2.2010950R. Pavelka1.611211113WOct 8 · 10:30J. Dedek2.10513100J. Prokupek1.671115123WOct 7 · 21:30M. Vedmoch1.6512781192J. Prokupek2.101011115113LOct 7 · 20:00J. Prokupek2.257111071M. Vedmoch1.5711812113WOct 7 · 19:30J. Plachy1.737121181J. Prokupek2.0011149113WOct 7 · 18:00J. Prokupek1.831112113J. Dedek1.8341030LOct 7 · 13:10R. Pavelka1.33111179113J. Prokupek3.2556111142LOct 7 · 12:00R. Pavelka1.6111117123J. Prokupek2.204911101
Upcoming Matches
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J. Prokupek
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