TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Tibor Kolenic vs Yurii Holovatiuk 3-0 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Oct 5Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 5
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
115117117––––
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:22 and never touched: 61.2% is still 61.2%
Graded at full timeYurii Holovatiuk to win
61.2%
61.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingTibor Kolenic above · Yurii Holovatiuk below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-7
Point 52 set 3, 11-7 · our read held Yurii Holovatiuk at 61.2%
52 points played in total.
H2H Tibor Kolenic 17–27 Yurii Holovatiuk Tibor Kolenic has won 17 of their 44 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:2261.2%Our read65.2%to break even at 1.533
short by 4.0pp65.2% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.533 they are the same number)
What took a side4 for · 2 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Holovatiuk
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
17-27 in 44
Holovatiuk
Wrong
gap of 10 in 44, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kolenic 1424 vs Holovatiuk 1448
Holovatiuk
Wrong
both rated, 24 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kolenic 0% vs Holovatiuk 40%
Holovatiuk
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kolenic 50% vs Holovatiuk 30%
Kolenic
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kolenic -5 · Holovatiuk -2
Kolenic
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 0 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% · Slight lean (leans Holovatiuk) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Holovatiuk form (40%) is below what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKolenic 2.375 / Holovatiuk 1.533
Signal prob.39% / 61%
Edge (Holovatiuk)-4.0pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13243081
Kolenic2.38
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 5
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog30% won 38 of 126
Down 0–1, comes back16% 13 of 83
Down 0–2, comes back6% 3 of 52
Holovatiuk1.53
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite68% won 85 of 126
Up 2–0, closes it97% 35 of 36
Up 1–0, closes it79% 53 of 67
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKolenic3wins
AwayHolovatiuk7wins
3 of 10 to a deciderHolovatiuk leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKolenic50%2 of 4
AwayHolovatiuk83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kolenic4Holovatiuk6n = 10Holovatiuk took 6 of 10
S2Kolenic4Holovatiuk6n = 10Holovatiuk took 6 of 10
S3Kolenic5Holovatiuk5n = 10split evenly
S4Kolenic3Holovatiuk6n = 9Holovatiuk took 6 of 9
S5Kolenic1Holovatiuk2n = 3Holovatiuk took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricKolenicHolovatiukK − HBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match36.838.2−1.4per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKolenicHolovatiukBasisWin rate · lifetime240 / 517 vs 340 / 68646.4%49.6%240 / 517 vs 340 / 686Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.737.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
HolovatiukKolenic 2.38/Holovatiuk 1.53
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
61.2%
Holovatiuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Kolenic won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 16 · 17:30T. Kolenic29118461Y. Holovatiuk3521111113
WSep 16 · 15:00T. Kolenic4051113113Y. Holovatiuk361171171
LAug 28 · 19:00T. Kolenic30671161Y. Holovatiuk3511112113
LAug 26 · 21:30T. Kolenic36811891Y. Holovatiuk4011711113
LAug 26 · 18:00T. Kolenic3781141132Y. Holovatiuk43114116113
LAug 21 · 11:30T. Kolenic2348110Y. Holovatiuk351111133
WAug 15 · 17:30T. Kolenic44111111113Y. Holovatiuk33913381
LAug 15 · 14:00T. Kolenic4481111772Y. Holovatiuk45114811113
LJul 29 · 15:00T. Kolenic381197111Y. Holovatiuk4161111133
WJul 24 · 19:00T. Kolenic47115119113Y. Holovatiuk3951191132
T. Kolenic10
WOct 5 · 16:30J. Dedek2.3811101151T. Kolenic1.5313129113LOct 5 · 14:30T. Dousa1.441114113T. Kolenic2.6371290LOct 4 · 12:59D. Horak1.9112311113T. Kolenic1.801011631LOct 4 · 12:30F. Briza2.00111198133T. Kolenic1.73521111112LOct 4 · 11:30T. Kolenic1.67119881A. Svoboda2.1081111113LOct 4 · 10:30D. Horak1.611111113T. Kolenic2.206440WSep 29 · 17:30T. Kolenic1.5311811113J. Dedek2.38811661WSep 29 · 16:30F. Briza2.00413971T. Kolenic1.73111111113WSep 29 · 15:30T. Kolenic1.6113129113J. Dedek2.2011101181WSep 29 · 14:30J. Jnr2.758101171T. Kolenic1.4011129113
Y. Holovatiuk10
LOct 5 · 16:00Y. Holovatiuk2.6361261252T. Dousa1.4411101110113LOct 5 · 14:00Y. Holovatiuk2.38115941J. Dedek1.5391111113LOct 1 · 17:30J. Dedek1.50411611113Y. Holovatiuk2.5011711792WOct 1 · 16:00Y. Holovatiuk2.63911911113T. Dousa1.4411311752LOct 1 · 15:30J. Dedek1.44511116113Y. Holovatiuk2.6311251152WOct 1 · 14:00Y. Holovatiuk1.611411133M. Kolar2.20125110LSep 23 · 21:30P. Fojt1.431111113Y. Holovatiuk2.655450LSep 23 · 20:30Y. Holovatiuk2.6311911672P. Fojt1.44811711113WSep 23 · 19:00Y. Holovatiuk2.631011911113T. Dousa1.4412711862LSep 23 · 18:00P. Klusacek1.8371111113Y. Holovatiuk1.83115391
Upcoming Matches
T. Kolenic
Y. Holovatiuk
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.