TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Frantisek Briza vs Tibor Kolenic 3-2 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Oct 4Finished
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1151129118111311
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:32 and never touched: 56.9% is still 56.9%
Graded at full timeTibor Kolenic to win
56.9%
56.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
WrongSent to Pro: Tibor Kolenic @ 1.73 · Lost
How it is goingFrantisek Briza above · Tibor Kolenic below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 11-2
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 8-11
Set 5 · 13-11
Point 92 set 5, 13-11 · our read held Tibor Kolenic at 56.9%
92 points played in total.
H2H Frantisek Briza 41–57 Tibor Kolenic Frantisek Briza has won 41 of their 98 meetings.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 11:3256.9%Our read57.9%to break even at 1.727
short by 1.0pp57.9% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.727 they are the same number)
What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Kolenic
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
41-57 in 98
Kolenic
Wrong
gap of 16 in 98, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Briza 1365 vs Kolenic 1464
Kolenic
Wrong
both rated, 99 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Briza 60% vs Kolenic 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Briza 40% vs Kolenic 60%
Kolenic
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Briza +1 · Kolenic -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent, and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 57% · Slight lean (leans Kolenic) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBriza 2.00 / Kolenic 1.727
Signal prob.43% / 57%
Edge (Kolenic)-1.0pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13237853
Briza2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog33% won 77 of 236
Down 0–1, comes back23% 31 of 137
Down 0–2, comes back8% 6 of 72
Kolenic1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite60% won 75 of 126
Up 2–0, closes it98% 39 of 40
Up 1–0, closes it71% 60 of 84
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBriza3wins
AwayKolenic7wins
5 of 10 to a deciderKolenic leads 7–3, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBriza25%1 of 4
AwayKolenic66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Briza4Kolenic6n = 10Kolenic took 6 of 10
S2Briza6Kolenic4n = 10Briza took 6 of 10
S3Briza5Kolenic5n = 10split evenly
S4Briza3Kolenic5n = 8Kolenic took 5 of 8
S5Briza1Kolenic4n = 5Kolenic took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricBrizaKolenicB − KBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match38.941.4−2.5per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBrizaKolenicBasisWin rate · lifetime372 / 825 vs 243 / 51945.1%46.8%372 / 825 vs 243 / 519Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.637.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
KolenicBriza 2.00/Kolenic 1.73
Miss
What we said
56.9%
Kolenic · sealed before the serve
Sent to Pro: Tibor Kolenic @ 1.73 · Lost
What happened
3–2
Briza won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 29 · 16:30F. Briza33413971T. Kolenic44111111113
WSep 25 · 16:30F. Briza341111123T. Kolenic1844100
WSep 20 · 08:30F. Briza3841112113T. Kolenic361171081
LSep 18 · 17:30F. Briza4311911392T. Kolenic48911611113
WSep 18 · 16:30F. Briza45751111113T. Kolenic4511115992
LSep 16 · 16:30F. Briza34611981T. Kolenic3911611113
LSep 15 · 16:30F. Briza4611119872T. Kolenic49881111113
LAug 28 · 21:08F. Briza3981141152T. Kolenic45116116113
LAug 28 · 20:30F. Briza551211118132T. Kolenic571013811153
LAug 22 · 21:29F. Briza227870T. Kolenic331111113
F. Briza10
WOct 4 · 11:00F. Briza2.201511113D. Horak1.6113860LOct 4 · 10:00A. Svoboda1.61851111113F. Briza2.2011117572LOct 4 · 09:28A. Svoboda1.5011611113F. Briza2.50411631WOct 4 · 08:30M. Kolar1.5371040F. Briza2.381112113WOct 4 · 07:30F. Briza2.251111113D. Horak1.572530LOct 4 · 06:30A. Svoboda1.731111113F. Briza2.002450LOct 3 · 17:00F. Briza1.876790K. Darin1.831111113WOct 3 · 16:30D. Horak1.61761191F. Briza2.2011117113LOct 3 · 15:30F. Briza2.10961161K. Darin1.6711119113LOct 3 · 14:30M. Kolar1.531116113F. Briza2.3861470
T. Kolenic10
LOct 4 · 12:59D. Horak1.9112311113T. Kolenic1.801011631LOct 4 · 11:30T. Kolenic1.67119881A. Svoboda2.1081111113LOct 4 · 10:30D. Horak1.611111113T. Kolenic2.206440WSep 29 · 17:30T. Kolenic1.5311811113J. Dedek2.38811661WSep 29 · 16:30F. Briza2.00413971T. Kolenic1.73111111113WSep 29 · 15:30T. Kolenic1.6113129113J. Dedek2.2011101181WSep 29 · 14:30J. Jnr2.758101171T. Kolenic1.4011129113WSep 25 · 17:00O. Fejtek2.20711841T. Kolenic1.6011711113LSep 25 · 16:30T. Kolenic1.6744100F. Briza2.101111123WSep 25 · 15:00T. Kolenic1.6791111113O. Fejtek2.10117691
Upcoming Matches
F. Briza
Nothing scheduled
T. Kolenic
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