TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Frantisek Briza vs Kyryl Darin 0-3 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Oct 3Finished
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
611711911––––
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingFrantisek Briza above · Kyryl Darin below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Point 55 set 3, 9-11
55 points played in total.
H2H Frantisek Briza 33–24 Kyryl Darin Kyryl Darin has won 24 of their 57 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 2h before this match
Darin beat Briza 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically. The market typically prices this in, which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Briza form (20%) is below what odds imply (53%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBriza 1.87 / Darin 1.83
Czech Liga Pro · #13239616
Briza1.87
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog33% won 75 of 229
Down 0–1, comes back23% 30 of 132
Down 0–2, comes back9% 6 of 69
Darin1.83
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite59% won 164 of 278
Up 2–0, closes it93% 83 of 89
Up 1–0, closes it78% 112 of 144
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBriza2wins
AwayDarin8wins
4 of 10 to a deciderDarin leads 8–2, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBrizan = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayDarin71.4%5 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Briza2Darin7n = 9Darin took 7 of 9
S2Briza4Darin5n = 9Darin took 5 of 9
S3Briza6Darin3n = 9Briza took 6 of 9
S4Briza0Darin8n = 8Darin took 8 of 8
S5Briza2Darin2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away550%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricBrizaDarinB − DBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set27−5of 9Avg pointsper match37.642.2−4.6per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBrizaDarinBasisWin rate · lifetime369 / 818 vs 782 / 158045.1%49.5%369 / 818 vs 782 / 1580Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.737.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
DarinBriza 1.87/Darin 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
—
no pick shipped on this market
What happened
0–3
Darin won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
LOct 3 · 15:30F. Briza32961161K. Darin4211119113
LSep 11 · 03:30F. Briza361112941K. Darin45131011113
LSep 11 · 01:00F. Briza30841171K. Darin4211119113
WSep 6 · 10:00F. Briza51911119113K. Darin4211841182
LAug 28 · 16:30F. Briza32791151K. Darin3911116113
LAug 24 · 21:30F. Briza4611118792K. Darin49881111113
WAug 24 · 19:30F. Briza44311118113K. Darin3711361162
LAug 1 · 22:00F. Briza49118111182K. Darin51811813113
LJul 31 · 18:00F. Briza188640K. Darin331111113
F. Briza10
WOct 3 · 16:30D. Horak1.61761191F. Briza2.2011117113LOct 3 · 15:30F. Briza2.10961161K. Darin1.6711119113LOct 3 · 14:30M. Kolar1.531116113F. Briza2.3861470LOct 3 · 13:12F. Briza2.0761181252D. Horak1.671161110113LOct 3 · 12:30M. Kolar1.53131188123F. Briza2.381131111102WOct 3 · 11:30F. Briza2.259121111113D. Horak1.57111013782LOct 3 · 10:30A. Svoboda1.73912911113F. Briza2.00111011272WSep 29 · 17:00J. Jnr1.83711781F. Briza1.8311911113LSep 29 · 16:30F. Briza2.00413971T. Kolenic1.73111111113LSep 29 · 15:00F. Briza1.571411281J. Jnr2.2516211113
K. Darin10
LOct 3 · 16:00K. Darin2.7561230M. Kolar1.401114113WOct 3 · 15:30F. Briza2.10961161K. Darin1.6711119113LOct 3 · 14:00K. Darin1.736990D. Horak2.001111113WOct 2 · 21:30T. Dousa1.738511111K. Darin2.0011119133WOct 2 · 20:30J. Dedek1.837670K. Darin1.831111113WOct 2 · 19:30K. Darin2.101111511123T. Dousa1.67591113102LOct 2 · 18:30M. Sedlak1.53911911113K. Darin2.3811311892WOct 2 · 03:30K. Darin1.4711812113O. Kucirek2.508111081WOct 2 · 02:00P. Picek2.2551161142K. Darin1.57115118113WOct 2 · 00:30K. Darin1.5371111113J. Steffan2.38117491
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