TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Frantisek Briza vs David Horak 2-3 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Oct 3Finished
Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
6111168111210511
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
How it is goingFrantisek Briza above · David Horak below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 12-10
Set 5 · 5-11
Point 91 set 5, 5-11
91 points played in total.
H2H Frantisek Briza 41–59 David Horak Frantisek Briza has won 41 of their 100 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
Same-day rematch · 2h before this match
Briza beat Horak 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically. The market typically prices this in, which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Horak form (20%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBriza 2.07 / Horak 1.67
Czech Liga Pro · #13238566
Briza2.07
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog33% won 75 of 229
Down 0–1, comes back23% 30 of 132
Down 0–2, comes back9% 6 of 69
Horak1.67
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite62% won 130 of 210
Up 2–0, closes it92% 69 of 75
Up 1–0, closes it80% 95 of 119
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBriza5wins
AwayHorak5wins
6 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBriza40%2 of 5
AwayHorak40%2 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Briza5Horak5n = 10split evenly
S2Briza4Horak6n = 10Horak took 6 of 10
S3Briza3Horak7n = 10Horak took 7 of 10
S4Briza4Horak4n = 8split evenly
S5Briza4Horak2n = 6Briza took 4 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricBrizaHorakB − HBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match42.041.7+0.3per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBrizaHorakBasisWin rate · lifetime368 / 814 vs 282 / 52545.2%53.7%368 / 814 vs 282 / 525Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.738.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
HorakBriza 2.07/Horak 1.67
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
—
no pick shipped on this market
What happened
2–3
Horak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WOct 3 · 11:30F. Briza549121111113D. Horak49111013782
LSep 27 · 10:30F. Briza35116991D. Horak3851111113
WSep 27 · 07:00F. Briza50981111113D. Horak4711118892
LSep 25 · 17:30F. Briza2811980D. Horak351311113
LSep 25 · 15:30F. Briza2712870D. Horak361411113
WSep 20 · 09:30F. Briza41411411113D. Horak3911511932
LSep 20 · 06:00F. Briza46111110952D. Horak49691211113
LSep 19 · 02:00F. Briza4411711692D. Horak45811411113
WSep 18 · 15:30F. Briza4012116113D. Horak341081151
WSep 2 · 16:30F. Briza5511111111113D. Horak4541381372
F. Briza10
LOct 3 · 14:30M. Kolar1.531116113F. Briza2.3861470LOct 3 · 12:30M. Kolar1.53131188123F. Briza2.381131111102WOct 3 · 11:30F. Briza2.259121111113D. Horak1.57111013782LOct 3 · 10:30A. Svoboda1.73912911113F. Briza2.00111011272WSep 29 · 17:00J. Jnr1.83711781F. Briza1.8311911113LSep 29 · 16:30F. Briza2.00413971T. Kolenic1.73111111113LSep 29 · 15:00F. Briza1.571411281J. Jnr2.2516211113LSep 29 · 14:00J. Dedek1.3341111113F. Briza3.25118591LSep 27 · 12:58A. Svoboda1.7361111113F. Briza2.00118771LSep 27 · 12:30A. Svoboda1.8015127113F. Briza1.9113101171
D. Horak10
WOct 3 · 14:00K. Darin1.736990D. Horak2.001111113LOct 3 · 12:00D. Horak1.91119841A. Svoboda1.8041111113LOct 3 · 11:30F. Briza2.259121111113D. Horak1.57111013782WOct 3 · 10:00D. Horak2.201111133M. Kolar1.6144110LSep 27 · 13:31V. Kosar1.90611911133D. Horak1.80118119112LSep 27 · 12:00V. Kosar2.20115115113D. Horak1.6151181182WSep 27 · 11:00A. Svoboda1.619111191D. Horak2.2011813113WSep 27 · 10:30D. Horak1.6151111113F. Briza2.20116991LSep 27 · 08:59A. Svoboda1.57511811113D. Horak2.2511911662LSep 27 · 08:00M. Placek1.44711116113D. Horak2.6311691172
Upcoming Matches
F. Briza
Oct 3 · 15:30F. Briza2.25K. Darin1.57—Oct 3 · 16:30F. Briza2.20D. Horak1.61—Oct 4 · 06:30F. Briza2.00A. Svoboda1.73—Oct 4 · 07:30F. Briza2.20D. Horak1.61—Oct 4 · 08:30F. Briza2.25M. Kolar1.57—Oct 4 · 10:00F. Briza2.00A. Svoboda1.73—Oct 4 · 11:00F. Briza—D. Horak——Oct 4 · 12:30F. Briza2.00T. Kolenic1.73—
D. Horak
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