TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Vaclav Kosar vs David Horak 3-2 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 27Finished
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
115511118511118
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:11 and never touched — 57.8% is still 57.8%
Graded at full timeDavid Horak to win
57.8%
57.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingVaclav Kosar above · David Horak below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 5-11
Set 5 · 11-8
Point 86 set 5, 11-8 — our read held David Horak at 57.8%
86 points played in total.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:11What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Horak
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Kosar 1448 vs Horak 1401
Kosar
Correct
both rated, 47 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kosar 60% vs Horak 40%
Kosar
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kosar 40% vs Horak 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kosar +3 · Horak +2
Kosar
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Horak) · live re-read · sealed at 58% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Horak form (40%) is below what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKosar 2.20 / Horak 1.61
Signal prob.45% / 55%
Edge (Horak)-2.8pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13200513
Kosar2.20
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog49% won 65 of 133
Down 0–1, comes back30% 20 of 67
Down 0–2, comes back9% 3 of 35
Horak1.61
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite62% won 135 of 218
Up 2–0, closes it93% 74 of 80
Up 1–0, closes it80% 101 of 127
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricKosarHorakBasisWin rate · lifetime220 / 419 vs 281 / 52052.5%54%220 / 419 vs 281 / 520Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.338.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HorakKosar 2.20/Horak 1.61
Miss
What we said
54.9%
Horak · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Kosar won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
V. Kosar10
WSep 27 · 11:30F. Briza1.671241111112V. Kosar2.10141148133WSep 27 · 10:00V. Kosar2.5011716123A. Svoboda1.5041114101WSep 26 · 21:09M. Stefek1.837150V. Kosar1.831111113LSep 26 · 20:30V. Kosar2.38171141182M. Fisera1.531581113113LSep 26 · 19:00V. Kosar1.73461181M. Stefek2.0011118113LSep 26 · 18:00J. Didi2.0011611113V. Kosar1.73711881LSep 23 · 20:58V. Kosar1.678690J. Moravek2.101111113WSep 23 · 20:30V. Kosar2.101111113J. Moravek1.672780LSep 23 · 19:00V. Kosar1.919750J. Steffan1.801111113LSep 23 · 18:00R. Bartunek1.61117115133V. Kosar2.20611911112
D. Horak10
WSep 27 · 11:00A. Svoboda1.619111191D. Horak2.2011813113WSep 27 · 10:30D. Horak1.6151111113F. Briza2.20116991LSep 27 · 08:59A. Svoboda1.57511811113D. Horak2.2511911662LSep 27 · 08:00M. Placek1.44711116113D. Horak2.6311691172LSep 27 · 07:00F. Briza2.25981111113D. Horak1.5711118892LSep 27 · 06:30D. Horak2.101141071A. Svoboda1.6781112113WSep 25 · 17:30D. Horak1.611311113F. Briza2.2011980LSep 25 · 16:00D. Horak1.61971231O. Fejtek2.20111110113WSep 25 · 15:30F. Briza2.2012870D. Horak1.611411113WSep 25 · 14:00D. Horak1.611114116113T. Kolenic2.2071671172
Upcoming Matches
V. Kosar
D. Horak
Nothing scheduled
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