Julius Didi vs Tibor Kolenic 1-3

TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro

Czech Liga ProA12 · Liberec

Played Oct 10Finished

Julius Didi

Home

2.10

At publish

Won last 1

Form at publish

5–5Last 10Won last 1

Final

1 – 3

Set by set

81112101012711––

Tibor Kolenic

Away

1.67

At publish

Won last 2

Form at publish

4–6Last 10Won last 2

The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:46 and never touched: 55.8% is still 55.8%

Graded at full time

Tibor Kolenic to win

55.8%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Right

not sent

«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.

How it is goingJulius Didi above · Tibor Kolenic below

Set 1 · 8-11

Set 2 · 12-10

Set 3 · 10-12

Set 4 · 6-7

Point 76 set 4, 6-7 · our read held Tibor Kolenic at 55.8%

76 points drawn · the score is 5 ahead; the rest land in a moment.

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 13:46

55.8%Our read60.0%to break even at 1.666

short by 4.2pp

60.0% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.666 they are the same number)

What took a side2 for · 0 against · 4 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.67 (56%)

Kolenic

Correct

no bar to clear: a priced side always votes

H2H

No meetings

—

No value

they have never met

Rating (G2)

Didi 1428 vs Kolenic 1438

Kolenic

Correct

both rated, 10 points apart, no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Didi 40% vs Kolenic 40%

—

Too close

0pp gap, under the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Didi 50% vs Kolenic 40%

—

Too close

10pp gap, under the 15pp bar

Streak

Didi +1 · Kolenic +2

—

Too close

neither holds a run of 3 on their own

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

2 for, 4 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 56% · Slight lean (leans Kolenic) · sealed before the serve

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Kolenic form (40%) is below what odds imply (60%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsDidi 2.10 / Kolenic 1.666

Signal prob.44% / 56%

Edge (Kolenic)-4.2pp (anti-value)

Czech Liga Pro · #13268150

Didi2.10

50%won 5 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

oldest → newest

50%takes the first set · 5 of 10

As underdog44% won 90 of 206

Down 0–1, comes back19% 19 of 98

Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 58

Kolenic1.67

40%won 4 of 10 · last 10

Last match: 4 days ago (Oct 06)

Won last 2

oldest → newest

60%takes the first set · 6 of 10

As favourite59% won 78 of 133

Up 2–0, closes it98% 41 of 42

Up 1–0, closes it72% 63 of 88

Head to head

H2H window

First meeting

These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands: it is the only comparison available.

Career, not this matchup

MetricDidiKolenicBasisWin rate · lifetime412 / 800 vs 240 / 51651.5%46.5%412 / 800 vs 240 / 516Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.937.8per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction

Match Winner

Kolenic

Didi 2.10/Kolenic 1.67

Read onlywould have hit

What we said

55.8%

Kolenic · sealed before the serve

What happened

1–3

Kolenic won

Total sets · Score

These two have never met.

The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together: one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.

Recent Results

J. Didi10