TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Tibor Kolenic vs Yurii Holovatiuk 0-3 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProA12 · Liberec
Played Oct 10Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
4111012711––––
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:50 and never touched: 59.3% is still 59.3%
Graded at full timeYurii Holovatiuk to win
59.3%
59.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingTibor Kolenic above · Yurii Holovatiuk below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 7-11
Point 55 set 3, 7-11 · our read held Yurii Holovatiuk at 59.3%
55 points played in total.
H2H Tibor Kolenic 18–28 Yurii Holovatiuk Tibor Kolenic has won 18 of their 46 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:5059.3%Our read71.4%to break even at 1.40
short by 12.1pp71.4% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.40 they are the same number)
What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Holovatiuk
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
18-28 in 46
Holovatiuk
Correct
gap of 10 in 46, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kolenic 1427 vs Holovatiuk 1471
Holovatiuk
Correct
both rated, 43 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kolenic 60% vs Holovatiuk 80%
Holovatiuk
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kolenic 50% vs Holovatiuk 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kolenic +3 · Holovatiuk +1
Kolenic
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% · Slight lean (leans Holovatiuk) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kolenic form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (36%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKolenic 2.75 / Holovatiuk 1.40
Signal prob.41% / 59%
Edge (Holovatiuk)-12.1pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13269578
Kolenic2.75
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog30% won 39 of 130
Down 0–1, comes back16% 13 of 84
Down 0–2, comes back6% 3 of 53
Holovatiuk1.40
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite68% won 90 of 132
Up 2–0, closes it97% 36 of 37
Up 1–0, closes it80% 57 of 71
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKolenic3wins
AwayHolovatiuk7wins
2 of 10 to a deciderHolovatiuk leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKolenic50%2 of 4
AwayHolovatiuk83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kolenic4Holovatiuk6n = 10Holovatiuk took 6 of 10
S2Kolenic5Holovatiuk5n = 10split evenly
S3Kolenic5Holovatiuk5n = 10split evenly
S4Kolenic3Holovatiuk5n = 8Holovatiuk took 5 of 8
S5
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricKolenicHolovatiukK − HBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match34.436.4−2.0per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKolenicHolovatiukBasisWin rate · lifetime236 / 501 vs 342 / 69347.1%49.4%236 / 501 vs 342 / 693Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.737.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
HolovatiukKolenic 2.75/Holovatiuk 1.40
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
59.3%
Holovatiuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Holovatiuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LOct 6 · 14:00T. Kolenic28123491Y. Holovatiuk43101111113
WOct 5 · 15:30T. Kolenic331111113Y. Holovatiuk195770
LSep 16 · 17:30T. Kolenic29118461Y. Holovatiuk3521111113
WSep 16 · 15:00T. Kolenic4051113113Y. Holovatiuk361171171
LAug 28 · 19:00T. Kolenic30671161Y. Holovatiuk3511112113
LAug 26 · 21:30T. Kolenic36811891Y. Holovatiuk4011711113
LAug 26 · 18:00T. Kolenic3781141132Y. Holovatiuk43114116113
LAug 21 · 11:30T. Kolenic2348110Y. Holovatiuk351111133
WAug 15 · 17:30T. Kolenic44111111113Y. Holovatiuk33913381
LAug 15 · 14:00T. Kolenic4481111772Y. Holovatiuk45114811113
T. Kolenic10
WOct 10 · 14:00J. Didi2.108121071T. Kolenic1.67111012113WOct 6 · 16:58T. Kolenic1.80119911133F. Briza1.91711116112WOct 6 · 16:30T. Kolenic1.731115113F. Briza2.0021360LOct 6 · 15:00T. Kolenic2.75119981T. Dousa1.4011111113LOct 6 · 14:00Y. Holovatiuk1.67101111113T. Kolenic2.10123491LOct 5 · 17:30J. Dedek2.631111910113T. Kolenic1.4449111292WOct 5 · 16:30J. Dedek2.3811101151T. Kolenic1.5313129113WOct 5 · 15:30T. Kolenic2.381111113Y. Holovatiuk1.535770LOct 5 · 14:30T. Dousa1.441114113T. Kolenic2.6371290LOct 4 · 12:59D. Horak1.9112311113T. Kolenic1.801011631
Y. Holovatiuk10
WOct 10 · 16:00J. Didi2.38451161Y. Holovatiuk1.5311113113WOct 10 · 14:30Y. Holovatiuk1.401171110123F. Briza2.75911912102WOct 9 · 20:58Y. Holovatiuk1.7312411113K. Novak2.001011961LOct 9 · 20:30Y. Holovatiuk2.38114751J. Dedek1.5391111113WOct 9 · 19:00Y. Holovatiuk1.44118114113A. Svoboda2.6361181152WOct 9 · 18:00K. Novak1.91611971Y. Holovatiuk1.8011911113WOct 8 · 21:00L. Krok1.53121111742Y. Holovatiuk2.38147811113LOct 8 · 20:00Y. Holovatiuk2.50111111792T. Dousa1.50139911113WOct 6 · 14:00Y. Holovatiuk1.67101111113T. Kolenic2.10123491LOct 5 · 15:30T. Kolenic2.381111113Y. Holovatiuk1.535770
Upcoming Matches
T. Kolenic
Y. Holovatiuk
Oct 10 · 22:30Y. Holovatiuk1.50L. Babicka2.50—Oct 11 · 00:00Y. Holovatiuk2.50A. Mikuska1.50—Oct 11 · 01:00Y. Holovatiuk2.20F. Jungman1.61—Oct 11 · 02:00Y. Holovatiuk1.57O. Kucirek2.25—Oct 11 · 18:00Y. Holovatiuk1.50T. Kolenic2.45—Oct 11 · 19:30Y. Holovatiuk1.45F. Briza2.60—Oct 11 · 20:00Y. Holovatiuk1.50A. Svoboda2.50—
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.