TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Adam Dvoracek vs Filip Husek 3-0 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Oct 9Finished
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
117117114––––
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 05:56 and never touched: 54.9% is still 54.9%
Graded at full timeFilip Husek to win
54.9%
54.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingAdam Dvoracek above · Filip Husek below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-4
Point 51 set 3, 11-4 · our read held Filip Husek at 54.9%
51 points played in total.
H2H Adam Dvoracek 4–6 Filip Husek Adam Dvoracek has won 4 of their 10 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 05:5654.9%Our read57.9%to break even at 1.727
short by 3.0pp57.9% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.727 they are the same number)
What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Husek
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
4-6 in 10
Husek
Wrong
gap of 2 in 10, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Dvoracek 1477 vs Husek 1409
Dvoracek
Correct
both rated, 68 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Dvoracek 60% vs Husek 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Dvoracek 60% vs Husek 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Dvoracek -1 · Husek +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% · Coin-flip (leans Husek) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDvoracek 2.00 / Husek 1.727
Signal prob.45% / 55%
Edge (Husek)-3.0pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13265862
Dvoracek2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 3 days ago (Oct 06)
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog46% won 60 of 131
Down 0–1, comes back29% 20 of 69
Down 0–2, comes back14% 5 of 35
Husek1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 7 days ago (Oct 02) · back after a break
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite50% won 9 of 18
Up 1–0, closes it86% 6 of 7
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDvoracek4wins
AwayHusek6wins
1 of 10 to a deciderHusek leads 6–4, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDvoracek100%4 of 4
AwayHusek100%6 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Dvoracek4Husek6n = 10Husek took 6 of 10
S2Dvoracek6Husek4n = 10Dvoracek took 6 of 10
S3Dvoracek4Husek6n = 10Husek took 6 of 10
S4Dvoracek2Husek6n = 8Husek took 6 of 8
S5
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away550%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricDvoracekHusekD − HBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match33.436.8−3.4per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDvoracekHusekBasisWin rate · lifetime254 / 485 vs 73 / 14852.4%49.3%254 / 485 vs 73 / 148Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.437.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
HusekDvoracek 2.00/Husek 1.73
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54.9%
Husek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Dvoracek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WOct 9 · 06:00A. Dvoracek331111113F. Husek187740
LOct 2 · 08:44A. Dvoracek25361151F. Husek4011117113
WOct 2 · 06:30A. Dvoracek43111110113F. Husek30661261
WMar 3 · 17:43A. Dvoracek48111268113F. Husek48810111182
LMar 3 · 14:30A. Dvoracek381311771F. Husek4515811113
LFeb 17 · 16:00A. Dvoracek32751191F. Husek4111118113
LFeb 1 · 17:50A. Dvoracek206950F. Husek331111113
LFeb 1 · 16:45A. Dvoracek30411691F. Husek3911611113
LJan 9 · 11:00A. Dvoracek26412371F. Husek43111011113
WNov 28 · 11:30A. Dvoracek3911611113F. Husek31711851
A. Dvoracek10
LOct 6 · 13:10A. Dvoracek2.101261181M. Vana1.6714117113WOct 6 · 12:00A. Dvoracek2.5011118113O. Plyska1.50791191WOct 6 · 10:30M. Vana1.611112111392A. Dvoracek2.2013101311113WOct 6 · 10:00M. Melisek2.63113771A. Dvoracek1.4411111113LOct 2 · 08:44A. Dvoracek1.83361151F. Husek1.8311117113LOct 2 · 08:00A. Dvoracek2.63111177112O. Plyska1.44881111133WOct 2 · 06:30F. Husek1.53661261A. Dvoracek2.38111110113LOct 2 · 06:00M. Vana1.611013116113A. Dvoracek2.20121181152WOct 1 · 13:00A. Dvoracek1.44911116113M. Melisek2.6311761162WOct 1 · 12:00A. Dvoracek1.401111123J. Jnr2.7533100
F. Husek10
WOct 9 · 06:30M. Snizek2.2011890F. Husek1.611311113WOct 2 · 08:44A. Dvoracek1.83361151F. Husek1.8311117113LOct 2 · 07:30F. Husek2.2010670M. Vana1.611211113LOct 2 · 06:30F. Husek1.53661261A. Dvoracek2.38111110113WOct 2 · 05:30F. Husek1.91116911113O. Plyska1.8071111772WSep 11 · 09:19J. Puk1.91101141162F. Husek1.80129114113WSep 11 · 07:30M. Snizek2.20713731F. Husek1.61111111113WSep 11 · 07:00F. Husek1.57119118113P. Moulis2.2551181152LSep 11 · 06:00F. Husek1.619101191J. Puk2.2011124113LSep 4 · 16:40P. Kotrbacek2.38127712113F. Husek1.531011111092
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.