TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Adam Dvoracek vs Marian Melisek 3-2 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Oct 1Finished
Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
911117116611116
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
How it is goingAdam Dvoracek above · Marian Melisek below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 6-11
Set 5 · 11-6
Point 89 set 5, 11-6
89 points played in total.
H2H Adam Dvoracek 28–13 Marian Melisek Marian Melisek has won 13 of their 41 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 3h before this match
Dvoracek beat Melisek 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically. The market typically prices this in, which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Melisek form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDvoracek 1.444 / Melisek 2.625
Setka Cup · #13228062
Dvoracek1.44
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite59% won 72 of 122
Up 2–0, closes it97% 32 of 33
Up 1–0, closes it78% 52 of 67
Melisek2.63
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog42% won 63 of 151
Down 0–1, comes back23% 17 of 74
Down 0–2, comes back9% 3 of 34
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDvoracek7wins
AwayMelisek3wins
Dvoracek leads 7–3.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDvoracek80%4 of 5
AwayMelisek40%2 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Dvoracek5Melisek5n = 10split evenly
S2Dvoracek7Melisek3n = 10Dvoracek took 7 of 10
S3Dvoracek6Melisek4n = 10Dvoracek took 6 of 10
S4Dvoracek5Melisek2n = 7Dvoracek took 5 of 7
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home550%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricDvoracekMelisekD − MBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match33.231.6+1.6per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDvoracekMelisekBasisWin rate · lifetime252 / 479 vs 224 / 46152.6%48.6%252 / 479 vs 224 / 461Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.338.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
DvoracekDvoracek 1.44/Melisek 2.63
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
—
no pick shipped on this market
What happened
3–2
Dvoracek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WOct 1 · 10:00A. Dvoracek3851111113M. Melisek26111951
WSep 16 · 11:00A. Dvoracek331111113M. Melisek228770
LSep 11 · 09:30A. Dvoracek28117461M. Melisek3851111113
WAug 30 · 14:30A. Dvoracek3521111113M. Melisek31117761
WAug 18 · 10:30A. Dvoracek3811133113M. Melisek399111181
LAug 7 · 10:30A. Dvoracek258890M. Melisek331111113
WAug 1 · 15:15A. Dvoracek3961111113M. Melisek34119861
LJul 30 · 12:59A. Dvoracek24721141M. Melisek3811115113
WJul 30 · 12:00A. Dvoracek3912115113M. Melisek351051191
WJun 24 · 10:00A. Dvoracek331111113M. Melisek206680
A. Dvoracek10
WOct 1 · 12:00A. Dvoracek1.401111123J. Jnr2.7533100LOct 1 · 10:30J. Puk2.3881111113A. Dvoracek1.53116731WOct 1 · 10:00M. Melisek2.63111951A. Dvoracek1.4451111113WSep 30 · 08:38A. Dvoracek1.5711116133P. Cizek2.255711111WSep 30 · 07:30P. Cizek2.257711101A. Dvoracek1.5711114123WSep 30 · 07:00A. Dvoracek1.73118118123D. Sabuka2.00811611102WSep 30 · 06:00A. Dvoracek1.615111112113M. Obraz2.2011741452WSep 26 · 16:59J. Hanacek1.831181391A. Dvoracek1.8371115113LSep 26 · 16:00A. Dvoracek1.831110661J. Hanacek1.8351211113WSep 26 · 14:30F. Schmidtmayer2.204770A. Dvoracek1.611111113
M. Melisek10
WOct 1 · 11:30J. Puk2.505670M. Melisek1.501111113WOct 1 · 11:00M. Melisek1.5381111113J. Jnr2.38116481LOct 1 · 10:00M. Melisek2.63111951A. Dvoracek1.4451111113WSep 25 · 16:59M. Melisek1.731111113K. Polak2.006770WSep 25 · 16:00K. Polak1.67134881M. Melisek2.10111111113LSep 25 · 15:00T. Stejskal1.731311113M. Melisek2.0011480LSep 25 · 13:30F. Schmidtmayer1.33119711113M. Melisek3.2571111862WSep 23 · 13:03M. Melisek1.6711117113J. Blazek2.10891191WSep 23 · 12:00M. Melisek1.3611116113D. Sabuka3.00761161WSep 23 · 10:30R. Slunecko1.57711871M. Melisek2.2511811113
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