TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Filip Husek vs Adam Dvoracek 1-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Oct 2Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 4
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
6116111210611––
Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 06:22 and never touched: 59.8% is still 59.8%
Graded at full timeFilip Husek to win
59.8%
59.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingFilip Husek above · Adam Dvoracek below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 6-11
Point 73 set 4, 6-11 · our read held Filip Husek at 59.8%
73 points played in total.
H2H Filip Husek 5–3 Adam Dvoracek Adam Dvoracek has won 3 of their 8 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 06:2259.8%Our read65.2%to break even at 1.533
short by 5.4pp65.2% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.533 they are the same number)
What took a side4 for · 2 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Husek
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
5-3 in 8
Husek
Wrong
gap of 2 in 8, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Husek 1408 vs Dvoracek 1468
Dvoracek
Correct
both rated, 60 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Husek 80% vs Dvoracek 60%
Husek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Husek 50% vs Dvoracek 80%
Dvoracek
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Husek +4 · Dvoracek -1
Husek
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 0 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% · Slight lean (leans Husek) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Dvoracek form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHusek 1.533 / Dvoracek 2.375
Signal prob.60% / 40%
Edge (Husek)-5.4pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13229119
Husek1.53
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite55% won 11 of 20
Up 1–0, closes it89% 8 of 9
Dvoracek2.38
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog45% won 57 of 128
Down 0–1, comes back28% 20 of 71
Down 0–2, comes back14% 5 of 37
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeHusek5wins
AwayDvoracek3wins
1 of 8 to a deciderHusek leads 5–3, and 1 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHusek100%5 of 5
AwayDvoracek100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Husek5Dvoracek3n = 8Husek took 5 of 8
S2Husek3Dvoracek5n = 8Dvoracek took 5 of 8
S3Husek6Dvoracek2n = 8Husek took 6 of 8
S4Husek5Dvoracek2n = 7Husek took 5 of 7
S5
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home113%
3–1Four sets, home450%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away113%
1–3Four sets, away225%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 8 meetings
MetricHusekDvoracekH − DBasisWins53+2in 8 meetingsFirst set53+2of 8Avg pointsper match38.834.5+4.3per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHusekDvoracekBasisWin rate · lifetime74 / 150 vs 250 / 47849.3%52.3%74 / 150 vs 250 / 478Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.938.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
HusekHusek 1.53/Dvoracek 2.38
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
59.8%
Husek · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Dvoracek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
LOct 2 · 06:30F. Husek30661261A. Dvoracek43111110113
LMar 3 · 17:43F. Husek48810111182A. Dvoracek48111268113
WMar 3 · 14:30F. Husek4515811113A. Dvoracek381311771
WFeb 17 · 16:00F. Husek4111118113A. Dvoracek32751191
WFeb 1 · 17:50F. Husek331111113A. Dvoracek206950
WFeb 1 · 16:45F. Husek3911611113A. Dvoracek30411691
WJan 9 · 11:00F. Husek43111011113A. Dvoracek26412371
LNov 28 · 11:30F. Husek31711851A. Dvoracek3911611113
F. Husek10
LOct 2 · 07:30F. Husek2.2010670M. Vana1.611211113WOct 2 · 05:30F. Husek1.91116911113O. Plyska1.8071111772WSep 11 · 09:19J. Puk1.91101141162F. Husek1.80129114113WSep 11 · 07:30M. Snizek2.20713731F. Husek1.61111111113WSep 11 · 07:00F. Husek1.57119118113P. Moulis2.2551181152LSep 11 · 06:00F. Husek1.619101191J. Puk2.2011124113LSep 4 · 16:40P. Kotrbacek2.38127712113F. Husek1.531011111092LSep 4 · 15:30F. Husek2.0081191192L. Tuma1.73119115113LSep 4 · 14:30F. Husek2.0071111862P. Kotrbacek1.73118511113LSep 4 · 13:30F. Husek1.83511391K. Jirousek1.8311711113
A. Dvoracek10
LOct 2 · 06:00M. Vana1.611013116113A. Dvoracek2.20121181152WOct 1 · 13:00A. Dvoracek1.44911116113M. Melisek2.6311761162WOct 1 · 12:00A. Dvoracek1.401111123J. Jnr2.7533100LOct 1 · 10:30J. Puk2.3881111113A. Dvoracek1.53116731WOct 1 · 10:00M. Melisek2.63111951A. Dvoracek1.4451111113WSep 30 · 08:38A. Dvoracek1.5711116133P. Cizek2.255711111WSep 30 · 07:30P. Cizek2.257711101A. Dvoracek1.5711114123WSep 30 · 07:00A. Dvoracek1.73118118123D. Sabuka2.00811611102WSep 30 · 06:00A. Dvoracek1.615111112113M. Obraz2.2011741452WSep 26 · 16:59J. Hanacek1.831181391A. Dvoracek1.8371115113
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.