TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Jan Hrabec vs Vojtech Cerny 3-1 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Oct 8Finished
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
9111181311117––
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:57 and never touched: 60.5% is still 60.5%
Graded at full timeJan Hrabec to win
60.5%
60.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
RightSent to Pro: Jan Hrabec @ 1.61 · Won
How it is goingJan Hrabec above · Vojtech Cerny below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 13-11
Set 4 · 6-3
Point 72 set 4, 6-3 · our read held Jan Hrabec at 60.5%
72 points drawn · the score is 9 ahead; the rest land in a moment.
H2H Jan Hrabec 1–0 Vojtech Cerny Vojtech Cerny has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 18:5760.5%Our read61.9%to break even at 1.615
short by 1.4pp61.9% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.615 they are the same number)
What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Hrabec
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Hrabec 1569 vs Cerny 1512
Hrabec
Correct
both rated, 56 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hrabec 60% vs Cerny 20%
Hrabec
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hrabec 60% vs Cerny 30%
Hrabec
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Hrabec +1 · Cerny -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent, and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 61% · Slight lean (leans Hrabec) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Cerny form (20%) is below what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHrabec 1.615 / Cerny 2.20
Signal prob.61% / 40%
Edge (Hrabec)-1.4pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13260027
Hrabec1.61
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite66% won 55 of 83
Up 2–0, closes it96% 22 of 23
Up 1–0, closes it83% 33 of 40
Cerny2.20
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog35% won 13 of 37
Down 0–1, comes back26% 7 of 27
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 14
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeHrabec1wins
AwayCerny0wins
Hrabec leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricHrabecCernyH − CBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match33.020.0+13.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHrabecCernyBasisWin rate · lifetime138 / 248 vs 57 / 12055.7%47.5%138 / 248 vs 57 / 120Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.136.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
HrabecHrabec 1.61/Cerny 2.20
Hit
What we said
60.5%
Hrabec · sealed before the serve
Sent to Pro: Jan Hrabec @ 1.61 · Won
What happened
3–1
Hrabec won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WJul 21 · 08:00J. Hrabec331111113V. Cerny209830
J. Hrabec10
WOct 8 · 19:30M. Volny1.67111011922J. Hrabec2.10612811113WOct 8 · 18:00J. Hrabec2.251411113R. Vavrecka1.5712660LSep 27 · 09:30O. Hradil2.7591111113J. Hrabec1.40112571LSep 27 · 08:30L. Velicka1.801111113J. Hrabec1.916840WSep 27 · 07:30J. Hrabec1.401112113M. Blejchar2.7521030WSep 27 · 06:30O. Hradil2.0011129101J. Hrabec1.7381411123WSep 21 · 21:00J. Hrabec1.5311811113T. Milota2.38311671WSep 21 · 20:00J. Hrabec1.4071111113M. Blejchar2.75119581LSep 21 · 19:30R. Adam2.1091311113J. Hrabec1.671111971LSep 21 · 18:00J. Hrabec1.50811111482T. Milota2.501113412113
V. Cerny10
LOct 8 · 19:00R. Vavrecka1.7341111113V. Cerny2.00119561WOct 8 · 18:30V. Cerny2.201111710153M. Volny1.61861112132LOct 8 · 09:00P. Chovanec1.571114113V. Cerny2.2571250LOct 8 · 08:00P. Chovanec2.101111113V. Cerny1.678870LOct 8 · 07:00M. Blejchar2.75231111113V. Cerny1.4011114912LOct 8 · 06:30V. Cerny1.80811118102P. Osvald1.91116811123WOct 6 · 12:59V. Cerny1.611111113J. Levicky2.204730WOct 6 · 12:30V. Cerny1.8391111113J. Levicky1.83115641LOct 6 · 11:00V. Cerny2.204131451S. Byrtus1.61111512113LOct 6 · 10:00M. Heczko1.4411911113V. Cerny2.63011291
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