TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Vojtech Cerny vs Jakub Levicky 3-1 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Oct 6Finished
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
911115116114––
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:27 and never touched: 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJakub Levicky to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingVojtech Cerny above · Jakub Levicky below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 11-4
Point 68 set 4, 11-4 · our read held Jakub Levicky at 54.0%
68 points played in total.
H2H Vojtech Cerny 4–6 Jakub Levicky Vojtech Cerny has won 4 of their 10 meetings.
They have already met 2 times today · last one 4h before this match
Levicky beat Cerny 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically. The market typically prices this in, which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:2754.0%Our read54.6%to break even at 1.833
short by 0.6pp54.6% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.833 they are the same number)
What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Levicky
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
4-6 in 10
Levicky
Wrong
gap of 2 in 10, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Cerny 1532 vs Levicky 1546
Levicky
Wrong
both rated, 14 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Cerny 20% vs Levicky 40%
Levicky
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Cerny 30% vs Levicky 50%
Levicky
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Cerny -3 · Levicky -2
Cerny
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% · Coin-flip (leans Levicky) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Levicky form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsCerny 1.833 / Levicky 1.833
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Levicky)-0.6pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13248920
Cerny1.83
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Levicky1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeCerny4wins
AwayLevicky6wins
1 of 10 to a deciderLevicky leads 6–4, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeCerny50%3 of 6
AwayLevicky75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Cerny6Levicky4n = 10Cerny took 6 of 10
S2Cerny4Levicky6n = 10Levicky took 6 of 10
S3Cerny4Levicky6n = 10Levicky took 6 of 10
S4Cerny3Levicky3n = 6split evenly
S5
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricCernyLevickyC − LBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match34.135.6−1.5per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricCernyLevickyBasisWin rate · lifetime54 / 112 vs 458 / 90548.2%50.6%54 / 112 vs 458 / 905Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.237.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
LevickyCerny 1.83/Levicky 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Levicky · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Cerny won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LOct 6 · 08:59V. Cerny4311491182J. Levicky49811118113
WOct 6 · 08:00V. Cerny3961111113J. Levicky34117791
LJul 12 · 21:30V. Cerny2791260J. Levicky361114113
LJul 12 · 18:00V. Cerny36158671J. Levicky46131111113
LJul 10 · 14:30V. Cerny144550J. Levicky331111113
WJul 6 · 08:00V. Cerny391117113J. Levicky2551550
LJun 4 · 11:00V. Cerny331110661J. Levicky4171211113
WJun 3 · 11:00V. Cerny341111123J. Levicky2789100
LJun 3 · 07:00V. Cerny35781191J. Levicky4011117113
WNov 29 · 18:30V. Cerny4111118113J. Levicky25751121
V. Cerny10
WOct 6 · 12:59V. Cerny1.611111113J. Levicky2.204730LOct 6 · 11:00V. Cerny2.204131451S. Byrtus1.61111512113LOct 6 · 10:00M. Heczko1.4411911113V. Cerny2.63011291LOct 6 · 08:59J. Levicky1.83811118113V. Cerny1.8311491182WOct 6 · 08:00J. Levicky1.61117791V. Cerny2.2061111113LOct 6 · 07:00P. Danko1.8391111113V. Cerny1.83116891LOct 6 · 06:30V. Cerny2.508470M. Heczko1.501111113LSep 20 · 21:28D. Oborny2.0011511113V. Cerny1.73411851LSep 20 · 20:00D. Oborny2.381111153V. Cerny1.5386130WSep 20 · 19:00L. Velicka1.918560V. Cerny1.801111113
J. Levicky10
LOct 6 · 12:59V. Cerny1.611111113J. Levicky2.204730LOct 6 · 11:30J. Levicky1.801480M. Heczko1.911111113LOct 6 · 10:30S. Byrtus1.7391111113J. Levicky2.00116771WOct 6 · 08:59J. Levicky1.83811118113V. Cerny1.8311491182LOct 6 · 08:00J. Levicky1.61117791V. Cerny2.2061111113WOct 6 · 07:30M. Heczko1.91771311102J. Levicky1.801111115123LOct 6 · 06:00J. Levicky2.25111197102P. Danko1.57481111123WOct 5 · 09:30S. Byrtus1.73156100J. Levicky2.001711123WOct 5 · 08:00J. Levicky1.5311513113O. Hradil2.386111191WOct 5 · 07:30M. Heczko1.91410111172J. Levicky1.80111269113
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